Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Beet]

Republican chance at the House up to 33% now, and surging, when it was down to the single digits at one point. I'm getting flashbacks to election night 2016, when at one point Clinton was an 89% favorite. Of course I was called a concern troll in that election as well....

[Beet]

Republicans are now at 61% to win the House, lol NYT so predictable.

[Beet]

Man if if the Reps hold the House and gain the Senate tonight, and Trump is re-elected, by 2022 the Democrats won't have had a good election in a decade.

[Beet]

Guys, outstanding Florida vote is mostly in Broward and Miami-Dade.

It is 91% in and both Scott and DeSantis are increasing their leads. 

The Dems should've nominated Gwen Graham. She would've pulled Nelson past. But noooooh "mah neoliberal centrist white woman bad"

[Beet]

Amendment 4 should help Ds in FL in the near future.

Is there a way to get a ballot initiative in Florida banning gerrymandering? That's the only I hope I can see for Florida right now.

[Beet]

Republican House chances are creeping back up... 47% now.

[Beet]

Menendez could be in big trouble.

[Beet]

Menendez could be in big trouble.

NYT called the race for him so unless he doesnt want to go back to DC, I think hell be fine.

He's losing Union County, where Clinton won by 35 points, with 20% reporting.

[Beet]

Yeah, Menendez has this. It looks like Union County was a fluke.

[Beet]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

[Beet]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

She would have done about as good as Joe Donnelly and Claire McCaskill and Phil Bredesen.

No, Florida is not a Trump +20 state.

[Beet]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

Yep. The Graham fanboys were right all along. Looks like Gillum dragged down Nelson with him.

Huh

Not sure what is the evidence for that. FL is a state that is naturally hard for Dems to win in a midterm because the GOP base is olds, which votes in midterms. The Dem base in FL is minorities, which usually does not vote in midterms. The only reason it was even close is that Dems had decent turnout of the Dem base.

In the 2006 midterms, Nelson won in a landslide against Katherine Harris. In the 2010 midterms, the Dems nearly won the Governorship in a very unfavorable environment. This year it should have been theirs.

[Beet]

Heitkamp is actually doing better than McCaskill, Donnelly, and Bredesen.

[Beet]

I mean, there have been plenty of times where election results have gone against the will of the people, and there has been systematic bias before, but I can't think of a time where there has been systematic bias that has overturned the popular vote result over an extended period of time, in modern democracies. Just from a purely non-partisan perspective, this indicates dysfunction.

[Beet]

https://twitter.com/KING5Seattle/status/1060366315066613760

Well we've finally taken Dave Reichert's congressional district. This was the source of a very guttural and heart-wrenching wail of disappointment from a coworker of mine after election 2008. But now, the ghost of Darcy Burner's political career can finally Rest In Peace.

[Beet]

https://twitter.com/KING5Seattle/status/1060366315066613760

Well we've finally taken Dave Reichert's congressional district. This was the source of a very guttural and heart-wrenching wail of disappointment from a coworker of mine after election 2008. But now, the ghost of Darcy Burner's political career can finally Rest In Peace.

Ah, I remember the Darcy Burner days. Luckily her losses happened in otherwise amazing nights for Democrats, so it was hard to feel too bad about it.

As I see it, this race was an epic battle between two titanic forces, the Democrats' losing streak in WA-08 (an unstoppable force) and Dino Rossi's losing streak (an immovable object).

[Beet]

Dave Brat was apparently caught on tape saying "[Republicans in the House] lie all the time."

[Beet]

Mia Love is one of the few R's I'm rooting for this cycle.

[Beet]

Mia Love is one of the few R's I'm rooting for this cycle.

Why?

I’m sure it’s because her policy positions and definitely not because of her skin color and gender

Yes, her skin color factors into it. We need more black Republicans, as I've said before. If you have a problem with that, you can take a hike. It's not like most people decide strictly on policy anyways. That said, her policy positions are a lot more reasonable than most Republicans. She admirably called out Trump on some of his BS.