Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 12, 2019, 04:22:01 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL-Quinnipiac: Nelson +7
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: FL-Quinnipiac: Nelson +7  (Read 2609 times)
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: November 05, 2018, 09:51:59 am »

They generally nail the result. At most they have only been off by 2 since 2010:



Source

So, if their predictions are wrong, they're usually within the margin of error. 
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,135
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: November 05, 2018, 09:56:38 am »

Red tide Rick wanted to build Trump's wall
But red tide Ricks poll numbers took a great fall
And all of the consultants and media men
Could never put red tide Rick's polling numbers back together again
Logged
President Griffin
Adam Griffin
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,647
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2018, 09:58:04 am »

Turn your speakers up to max
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: November 05, 2018, 10:28:08 am »

A bit exaggerated, but the last batch of FL polls have been terrible for Scott and DeSantis.
Logged
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,097
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2018, 10:30:59 am »

D+5 sample seems a little too off. Not getting my hopes up high for Scott, but I'm assuming a more or less split electorate in Florida. That said, I'd "adjust" to Nelson +2.
Logged
The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,038
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2018, 10:36:37 am »

D+5 sample seems a little too off. Not getting my hopes up high for Scott, but I'm assuming a more or less split electorate in Florida. That said, I'd "adjust" to Nelson +2.

Agree more than I disagree. It will be close, but we will know by the end of the night that Nelson and Gillum brought it home.
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,135
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2018, 10:40:06 am »

Look at that hog sweat:

Logged
cg41386
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 82


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: November 05, 2018, 10:44:20 am »

Me! Me! Me!
Logged
Neoliberal EDUCATED Kansan
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,993
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: November 05, 2018, 12:52:42 pm »

Probably too generous to Nelson, but looks like fundamentals are winning out, after all. Nelson is so incredibly lucky that Trump is president right now and not a more inoffensive Republican or Clinton.
Logged
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,409
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: November 05, 2018, 02:14:31 pm »

Rick Scott will join the club of the three Losin' Scotts.

#RickScott
#ScottWalker
#ScottWagner
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: November 05, 2018, 02:46:23 pm »

Quinnipiac is pretty good at polling Florida. Even if this poll is off, I doubt it will be off by the 7+ points required to lead to a Scott/DeSantis victory. I think Nelson/Gillum have this, thankfully.
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,135
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: November 05, 2018, 02:47:23 pm »

Hahaha

Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: November 05, 2018, 02:48:18 pm »

Probably too generous to Nelson, but looks like fundamentals are winning out, after all. Nelson is so incredibly lucky that Trump is president right now and not a more inoffensive Republican or Clinton.

Are you saying #FundamentalsMatter? Tongue
Logged
The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,038
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: November 05, 2018, 02:54:32 pm »

Probably too generous to Nelson, but looks like fundamentals are winning out, after all. Nelson is so incredibly lucky that Trump is president right now and not a more inoffensive Republican or Clinton.

Are you saying #FundamentalsMatter? Tongue

And not the Fundamentalism?
Logged
Calthrina950
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,168
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: November 05, 2018, 05:14:19 pm »

Hahaha



You may laugh, but this is actually true. Nelson has never been a very high-profile legislator during his decades in Washington. It is possible, however, that this actually helps him, since he hasn't had the occasion to generate controversy or to become involved in situations that would hurt his approval ratings.

At any rate, my rating of Lean Democratic seems to be definitively justified. Nelson will not win by 7 points tomorrow, but I am fairly confident in saying that he will prevail.
Logged
Neoliberal EDUCATED Kansan
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,993
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: November 06, 2018, 10:30:02 pm »

Quinnipiac is pretty good at polling Florida. Even if this poll is off, I doubt it will be off by the 7+ points required to lead to a Scott/DeSantis victory. I think Nelson/Gillum have this, thankfully.

Haha, what happened here?
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: November 06, 2018, 10:41:25 pm »

RIP Quinnipiac gold standard.

Looks like it's only Selzer and Marquette left, depending on tonight's results...
Logged
Galaxie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 520


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: November 06, 2018, 10:53:30 pm »

This aged well.
Logged
History505
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,654
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: November 07, 2018, 12:13:02 am »

Lol, this was way off.
Logged
Strong Candidate
123NY
Full Member
***
Posts: 199


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: November 07, 2018, 12:47:47 am »

Congrats to Sir Woodbury, I guess.
Logged
SirWoodbury
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,236


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: November 07, 2018, 03:29:13 am »

Thank you! Everyone made fun of me for saying that Scott was going to win, and saying that DeSantis wasn't going to overperform Scott.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: November 07, 2018, 06:05:11 am »

Rick Scott is the Scott Walker of FL
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,422
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: November 07, 2018, 06:05:32 am »

RIP Quinnipiac gold standard.

Looks like it's only Selzer and Marquette left, depending on tonight's results...

Even Selzer missed IA by a bit.
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,377
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: November 07, 2018, 08:49:55 am »

Rick Scott has to hold a record for most wins under 1.5% or something
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC