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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  New Jersey Q-Pac: Menendez +15
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Author Topic: New Jersey Q-Pac: Menendez +15  (Read 1008 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: November 05, 2018, 08:08:32 am »

Menendez 55
Hugin 40

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1059430815099183105

I'm just gonna leave this here

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/31/nyregion/bob-menendez-senate-race-hugin.html
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yeah_93
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2018, 08:09:57 am »

Obviously Menendez's race to lose. Not sure what Cook was thinking.
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Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2018, 08:20:18 am »

#Tossup
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2018, 08:21:21 am »

No Prostitute Ad Bump for Hugin.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2018, 08:29:44 am »

Paging Admiral President

Img


As someone with a senator that I hate who will nonetheless inevitably be reelected tomorrow in the form of Ted Cruz, I can tell you that its a lot easier to just accept fate ahead of time. Cheers.
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isoscelessquare
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2018, 09:12:25 am »

Eh. I don't think this will end up being 15 pts. Probably like 7-10.
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OneJ
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2018, 09:36:34 am »

I sorta thought it was gonna end up like this. A race may look kind of competitive earlier in the year, but ends up being no where near close. I think Menendez wins by 11-13 though.
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2016
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2018, 09:41:08 am »

That Menendez + 15 Poll is nonsense.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2018, 09:46:45 am »

That Menendez + 15 Poll is nonsense.

Were gonna need a Menendez Deal With It meme when he wins by double digits tomorrow
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2018, 10:33:30 am »

But I thought this race was totally competitive and not a foregone conclusion!!!

Im no Menendez fan, I wish he had retired, but hes going to win. End of story.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2018, 10:46:53 am »

Very sad that an accused child rapist is gonna win. Wow, #walkaway
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2018, 11:29:24 am »

Fun trivia: if Menendez indeed wins by 15, it will be the biggest landslide in a NJ senate race the last 30 years, after his own 20 points victory in 2012.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2018, 02:12:39 pm »

Politico: New Jersey Democrats sound alarm over Menendez race

https://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2018/11/03/new-jersey-democrats-sound-alarm-over-menendez-race-679717

Charlie Cook: Toss up

LMFAO!
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2018, 05:16:51 pm »

It looks like Menendez might win by low double digits after all. What a shame. Even though I know he has no chance of losing, not in this environment, I was hoping that Hugin would at least hold him to a single-digit margin. Polarization seems to be winning out again, as it has in Tennessee and North Dakota, among other states.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2018, 07:15:28 pm »

So, you're telling me that Hugin running on his support for Brett Kavanaugh and contrasting his supposed moderate hero credentials was a bad idea, while Menendez simultaneously runs by reminding voters about the balance of power in the Senate? No way! Tossup!
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Galletito
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2018, 07:39:07 pm »

So, you're telling me that Hugin running on his support for Brett Kavanaugh and contrasting his supposed moderate hero credentials was a bad idea, while Menendez simultaneously runs by reminding voters about the balance of power in the Senate? No way! Tossup!

Who was the user that said Hugin supporting Kavanaugh was somehow gonna help him with independents?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2018, 07:41:46 pm »

So, you're telling me that Hugin running on his support for Brett Kavanaugh and contrasting his supposed moderate hero credentials was a bad idea, while Menendez simultaneously runs by reminding voters about the balance of power in the Senate? No way! Tossup!

Who was the user that said Hugin supporting Kavanaugh was somehow gonna help him with independents?

I'm more mocking the Hugin campaign's tactics here.
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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2018, 10:39:05 pm »

#Tossup
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GMantis
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« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2018, 03:33:04 pm »

So, you're telling me that Hugin running on his support for Brett Kavanaugh and contrasting his supposed moderate hero credentials was a bad idea, while Menendez simultaneously runs by reminding voters about the balance of power in the Senate? No way! Tossup!

Who was the user that said Hugin supporting Kavanaugh was somehow gonna help him with independents?

I'm more mocking the Hugin campaign's tactics here.
For the most part they've been rather consistent (Menendez is a crook!) but he really slipped on supporting Kavanaugh. Perhaps hoping to get more outside support?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2018, 06:46:17 pm »

So, you're telling me that Hugin running on his support for Brett Kavanaugh and contrasting his supposed moderate hero credentials was a bad idea, while Menendez simultaneously runs by reminding voters about the balance of power in the Senate? No way! Tossup!

Who was the user that said Hugin supporting Kavanaugh was somehow gonna help him with independents?

I'm more mocking the Hugin campaign's tactics here.
For the most part they've been rather consistent (Menendez is a crook!) but he really slipped on supporting Kavanaugh. Perhaps hoping to get more outside support?

Well that's the thing. On the negative side he has been focused on Menendez's ethics issues but when he presents himself positively he does so as a moderate hero that barely even mentions that he's a Republican. Yet, he'll also double-down on supporting the most controversial Supreme Court nominee in decades for some reason. Well, one way or another, he's going to lose, so maybe it isn't even worth talking about anymore.
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