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  AZ: Trafalgar: McSally +2.1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ: Trafalgar: McSally +2.1  (Read 768 times)
Edgar Suit Larry
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« on: November 06, 2018, 02:35:26 pm »

They got Michigan dead on last year. Then again, they had Trump up 4 in Florida. The polling average was Trump up 1 in Florida. Trump got 1.  They had Trump up like 5 in Nevada and 3 in Pennsylvania.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2018, 02:49:01 pm »

They got Michigan dead on last year. Then again, they had Trump up 4 in Florida. The polling average was Trump up 1 in Florida. Trump got 1.  They had Trump up like 5 in Nevada and 3 in Pennsylvania.

Well they got it right when it comes to Florida and Pennsylvania since Trump actually won both of these states.

Yeah...but can they be trusted when everyone else says the opposite and their leads aren't the biggest? I believe that these numbers are the best case scenario for Republicans but not the most likely outcome. 2016 was the best case scenario for the Republicans and still they just overperformed by 1.5%. That should be enough to win Missouri, Iowa and Arizona, keep the House close, and may get 52% of the TPV in KS and SD while making people sweat balls over Florida and Oregon. Don't think it would be enough to drag in Nevada, Indiana, or Montana.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2018, 03:56:09 pm »

Look at their results in Virginia and Alabama last year.


Special elections are not the same as general elections.

why?
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