Early VA-Sen swing map

[IceSpear]

Utterly amazing. This is Kaine doing 10 points better than in 2012.

NUT. Pound sand, Racist VA Hicks!

[Florida Man for Crime]

Good map and analysis.

The Republican party is clearly the party of racist rural hicks. That is all that is left of the GOP across the nation. It is the same pattern everywhere.

And everywhere that there are racist rural hicks is a death zone for Democrats. Basically American politics now consists of Racist rural hicks on one side (GOP) against everyone else (Democrats) on the other side.

[Panda Express]

Virginia was a bright spot - we plucked 3 GOP House seats here, including David Brat

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

You're going to love the WV swing map.

[Florida Man for Crime]

You're going to love the WV swing map.

Monongalia county, baby!

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Utterly amazing. This is Kaine doing 10 points better than in 2012.

NUT. Pound sand, Racist VA Hicks!

IceSpear is always right.

Leslie Cockburn losing sure is a shame, though.

[lfromnj]

You're going to love the WV swing map.

Anyway I think Jefferson should have done it too but Morrisey lived there so he probably got a boost there. Remember Jefferson county was a bush bush Obama county in WV so ICE Spear can't call it a racist hick county.

[IceSpear]

Utterly amazing. This is Kaine doing 10 points better than in 2012.

NUT. Pound sand, Racist VA Hicks!

IceSpear is always right.

Leslie Cockburn losing sure is a shame, though.

Not always, but I'd be lying if I said this election didn't boost my ego a bit after my post Alabama downfall, lol.

I was pretty sure Cockburn would lose despite that NYT outlier poll. The district is just too Deplorable and too rural (but I repeat myself), Gillespie won it big and I had a feeling that even KKKorey would carry it, which closed any path to victory for Cockburn. I found it amazing that some people thought it was more likely to flip than VA-02/VA-07 just because of muh no incumbency or muh Siena poll or whatever.

[lfromnj]

You're going to love the WV swing map.

Anyway I think Jefferson should have swung towards Manchin too but Morrisey lived there so he probably got a boost there. Remember Jefferson county was a bush bush Obama county in WV so ICE Spear can't call it a racist hick county.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Someone please make a TX-SEN swing (and trend map), comparing to 2012 Senate. It will be amazing to behold, and I am too lazy to do it myself.

[lfromnj]

Someone please make a TX-SEN swing (and trend map), comparing to 2012 Senate. It will be amazing to behold, and I am too lazy to do it myself.

Just look at Hays county. That one was like wtf

[Kodak]

Someone please make a TX-SEN swing (and trend map), comparing to 2012 Senate. It will be amazing to behold, and I am too lazy to do it myself.

Those maps are already up on the atlas.

[lfromnj]

Someone please make a TX-SEN swing (and trend map), comparing to 2012 Senate. It will be amazing to behold, and I am too lazy to do it myself.

Those maps are already up on the atlas.

So basically massive improvements in the triangle and probably gained some votes in the panhandle overall but destroyed in East and north texas? Also El Paso.

[MT Treasurer]

Someone please make a TX-SEN swing (and trend map), comparing to 2012 Senate. It will be amazing to behold, and I am too lazy to do it myself.

Those maps are already up on the atlas.

This map is a little depressing, tbh.

[Nyvin]

Someone please make a TX-SEN swing (and trend map), comparing to 2012 Senate. It will be amazing to behold, and I am too lazy to do it myself.

Those maps are already up on the atlas.

This map is a little depressing, tbh.

Why?  Most of the fast growing parts of Texas swung dem.    Plus that Dallas metro swing looks amazing IMO

[Florida Man for Crime]

So basically massive improvements in the triangle and probably gained some votes in the panhandle overall but destroyed in East and north texas? Also El Paso.

Yeah. Other observations -

1) Dem improvements in Midland/Odessa, and also in at least some of the rural counties in West TX and the TX panhandle - that is Hispanic population growth very very gradually taking hold.

2) Rockwall and Montgomery counties swinging by more than just a light pink shade - those are some of the most purely White suburbs/exurbs of Dallas/Houston.

3) Swings in the Hill Country north/west of San Antonio. This is originally a German settled area and is probably the single most anscestrally Republican area of TX (they opposed secession in the civil war).

4) Significant Dem improvements in Lubbock County (Texas Tech) and Bryan County (Texas A&M).

[Florida Man for Crime]

This map is a little depressing, tbh.

Why?  Most of the fast growing parts of Texas swung dem.    Plus that Dallas metro swing looks amazing IMO

Because IndyRep is not a Dem

If you are a Dem though, it looks great and very promising for the future.

[Comrade Funk]

Every state looks like this. This is the future.

[lfromnj]

This map is a little depressing, tbh.

Why?  Most of the fast growing parts of Texas swung dem.    Plus that Dallas metro swing looks amazing IMO

Because IndyRep is not a Dem

If you are a Dem though, it looks great and very promising for the future.

The East Texas trend has been happening for a while but is happening with the Rio Grande valley?

[Florida Man for Crime]

The East Texas trend has been happening for a while but is happening with the Rio Grande valley?

There is no real trend in the Rio Grande Valley (and more broadly, the general border area/South TX), and hasn't really been over the past 2 decades. It basically always votes 65-70ish% Dem, depending on the county, and it should continue to do so for the foreseeable future. The mish-mash of red/blue trends there is basically just noise, and if you look at swing maps of other previous election sin TX you will generally see the same sort of mostly random mish-mash of noise.

[MT Treasurer]

This map is a little depressing, tbh.

Why?  Most of the fast growing parts of Texas swung dem.    Plus that Dallas metro swing looks amazing IMO

Because IndyRep is not a Dem

If you are a Dem though, it looks great and very promising for the future.

Yeah, they’re obviously great for Dems. What I meant is the high levels of political polarization, which are a little scary.

[Mr. Smith]

Kaine literally won the town with Liberty University.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Kaine literally won the town with Liberty University.

College educated whites

[Mr. Smith]

Kaine literally won the town with Liberty University.

College educated whites

Evangelicals tho...

[Intell]

You do realise that gaining a majority is impossible with writing off rural (and urban, a lot of the swings in WV, OH are in semi-urban areas) hicks and I'm pretty sure suburban voters will swing against the Democrats with a Sanders presidency, allowing Democrats to be in the permanent minority.