2020 tipping point state (November 2018 poll)

[Politician]

Wisconsin. Of the three states that Trump most barely lost, Wisconsin is the shakiest for the Democrats.  Trump will lose Michigan by at least 10%, Pennsylvania by close to 10%, and Wisconsin by about 5%. I don't see any state becoming more D than Wisconsin that Trump lost -- not Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Arizona, or Texas.

Are you crazy? Trump will not lose Michigan by 10% IF he loses Michigan it will be by 2-3 percent at most but he has a chance of winning it again. Pennsylvania is tailor made for Trump he will win it again.

Senator Lou Barletta and Governor Scott Wagner say hi.

[IceSpear]

Virginia as always

wat

[Skill and Chance]

Torn between Michigan and Arizona.  Looking at 2018 results, of the Obama-Trump states, Pennsylvania looks like the easiest get for Democrats and could trend back toward them.  Michigan, Wisconsin, and especially Florida are likely to get noticeably Trumpier and Arizona and Georgia less so.  NC could go either way.

The upset possibilities are NH, ME-AL, or NC.