Four Parties, Four Americas

[😥]

Composition of the Governors by parties
November 2018
                
R-Republican Party
D-Democratic Party
M-Moderate Party
N-New Republican Party
 

Alabama
Kay Ivey (R-AL)

Alaska
Bill Walker (M-AK)

Arizona
Doug Duchey (R-AZ)

Arkansas
Asa Hutchinson (R-AR)

California
Jerry Brown (D-CA)

Colorado
John Hickenlooper (M-CO)

Connecticut
Dan Malloy (D-CT)

Delaware
John Carney (D-DE)

Florida
Rick Scott (R-FL)

Georgia
Nathan Deal (R-GA)

Hawaii
David Ige (D-HI)

Idaho
Butch Otter (N-ID)

Illinois
Bruce Rauner (N-IL)

Indiana
Eric Holcomb (R-IN)

Iowa
Kim Reynolds (R-IA)

Kansas
Jeff Coleyr (N-KS)

Kentucky
Matt Bevin (R-KY)

Louisiana
John Bel Edwards (M-LA)

Maine
Paul LePage (R-ME)

Maryland
Larry Hogan (N-MD)

Massachusetts
Charlie Baker (M-MA)

Minnesota
Mark Dayton (D-MN)

Michigan
Rick Snyder (R-MI)

Mississippi
Phil Bryant (N-MS)

Missouri
Mike Parson (R-MO)

Montana
Steve Bullock (M-MT)

Nebraska
Pete Ricketts (R-NE)

Nevada
Brian Sandoval (N-NV)

New Hampshire
Chris Sununu (N-NH)

New Jersey
Kim Guadagno (R-NJ)

New Mexico
Susana Martinez (N-NM)

New York
Andrew Cuomo (M-NY)

North Carolina
Roy Cooper (M-NC)

North Dakota
Doug Burgum (R-ND)

Ohio
John Kasich (N-OH)

Oklahoma
Mary Falin (R-OK)

Oregon
Kate Brown (M-OR)

Pennsylvania
Tom Wolf (M-PA)

Rhode Island
Gina Raimondo (D-RI)

South Carolina
Henry McMaster (N-SC)

South Dakota
Dennis Daugaard (N-SD)

Tennessee
Bill Haslam (N-TN)

Texas
Greg Abbott (R-TX)

Utah
Gary Herbert (R-UT)

Vermont
Phil Scott (N-VT)

Virginia
Ed Gillespie (R-VA)

Washington
Jay Inslee (D-WA)

West Virginia
Jim Justice (R-WV)

Wisconsin
Scott Walker (R-WI)

Wyoming
Matt Mead (N-WY)


22 Republican
14 New Republican
9 Moderate
7 Democratic

[😥]

Сomposition of the House of Representatives by parties
November 2018

Republican Party: 188 seats
Democratic Party: 157 seats
New Republican Party: 50 seats
Moderate Party: 40 seats


Majority Leader: Jim Jordan (R-OH)

Majority Whip: Mark Meadows (R-NC)


Minority Leader: Raul Grijalva (D-AZ)

Minority Whip: David Cicilline (D-RI)



New Republican Party Leader: John Katko (N-NY)

New Republican Party Whip: Mia Love (N-PA)



Moderate Party Leader: Dan Lipinski (M-IL)

Moderate Party Whip: Stephanie Murphy (M-FL)[/size]

[😥]

2018 Senate results

Before election:
Class I: D- 13
              M- 13
              R- 5
              N- 4


1. Arizona
Kyrsten Sinema (M) 29,89%
Marta McSally (N) 27,65%
Ruben Gallego (D) 24,83%
Kelli Ward (R) 17,63%

Note. Raul Grijalva drops out the race after being elected as Democratic Leader in House of Representatives. Democrats replace his by Congressman RUben Gallego

M gain from N

Kyrsten Sinema is elected


2. California
Dianne Feinstein (M) 61,43%
Kevin De Leon (D) 38,57%

M hold

Dianne Feinstein is reelected


3. Connecticut
Chris Murphy (D/M) 64,62%
Matthew Corey (R/N) 35,38%

D hold

Chris Murphy is reelected


4. Delaware
Tom Carper (M/D) 65,69%
Rob Arlett (R/N) 34,31%

M hold

Tom Carper is reelected


5. Florida
Bill Nelson (M/D) 52,31%
Rick Scott (R/N) 47,69%

M hold

Bill Nelson is reelected


6. Hawaii
Mazie Hirono (D/M) 73,84%
Ron Curtis (R) 26,16%

D hold

Mazie Hirono is reelected


7. Indiana
Joe Donnelly (M/N/D) 55,81%
Marlin Stutzman (R) 44,19%

M hold

Joe Donnelly is reelected


8. Maine
Angus King (M/N) 55,74%
Troy Jackson (D) 27,92%
Garrett Mason (R) 16,34%

M hold

Angus King is reelected


9. Maryland
Ben Cardin (D/M) 59,80%
Tony Campbell (R/N) 40,20%

D hold

Ben Cardin is reelected


10. Massachusetts
Elizabeth Warren (D) 62,63%
Geoff Diehl (R) 28,76%
Shiva Ayyadurai (N) 8,61%

D hold

Elizabeth Warren is reelected


11. Michigan
Debbie Stabenow (D/M/N) 59,86%
Sandy Pensler (R) 40,14%

D hold

Debbie Stabenow is reelected

12. Minnesota
Amy Klobuchar (M/D) 62,11%
Jim Newberger (R) 37,89%

M gain (Klobuchar changed party on election day)

Amy Klobuchar is reelected


13. MN-special
Tina Smith (M/N) 49,56%
Karin Housley (R) 40,21%
Ilhan Omar (D) 10,23%

M hold

Tina Smith is elected to full term


14. Mississipi
Roger Wicker (R/N) 60,86%
Howard Sherman (D) 39,14%

R hold

Roger Wicker is reelected


15. MS-special
Mike Espy (M/D) 50,32%
Chris McDaniel (R) 25,41%
w/i Cindy-Hyde Smith (R) 24,27%

M gain from R

Mike Espy is elected


16. Missouri
Josh Hawley (R) 41,27%
Claire McCaskill (M/N) 39,83%
Lacy Clay (D) 18,90%

R gain from M

Josh Hawley is elected


17. Montana
Jon Tester (M/D/N) 60,12%
Matt Rosendale (R) 39,88%

M hold

Jon Tester is reelected

18. Nebraska
Deb Fischer (N/R) 59,87%
Jane Raybould (M/D) 40,13%

N hold

Deb Fischer is reelected

[😥]

2018 Senate results (part 2)

19. Nevada
Dean Heller (N/R) 49,23%
Jacky Rosen (D/M) 48,11%

N hold

Dean Heller is reelected


20. New Jersey
Frank LoBiondo (N/M) 39,87%
Bob Menendez (D) 33,21%
Chris Christie (R) 26,92%

N gain from D

Frank LoBiondo is elected


21. New Mexico
Martin Heinrich (D) 62,63%
Mick Rich (R) 37,37%

D hold

Martin Heinrich is reelected


22. New York
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 86,62%
Third Parties 13,38%[/color]

D hold

Kirsten Gillibrand is reelected


23. North Dakota
Heidi Heitkamp (M/N/D) 50,74%
Kevin Cramer (R) 49,26%

M hold

Heidi Heitkamp is reelected


24. Ohio
Sherrod Brown (M/D/N) 59,21%
Jim Rennacci (R) 40,89%

M hold

Sherrod Brown is reelected


25. Pennsylvania
Bob Casey Jr. (M/D/N) 84,10%
Third parties 15,90%

M hold

Bob Casey Jr. is reelected


26. Rhode Island
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) 68,22%
Robert Flanders (R) 31,78%

D hold

Sheldon Whitehouse is reelected


27. Tennessee
Phil Bredesen (M/N) 49,31%
Marsha Blackburn (R) 47,84%
Write-in (D) 2,85%

M gain from N

Phil Bredesen is elected


28. Texas
Beto O'Rourke (D/M) 51,34%
Ted Cruz (R/N) 48,66%

D gain from R

Beto O'Rourke is elected


29. Utah
Mitt Romney (N/R) 71,36%
Jenny Wilson (D) 28,64%

N gain from R

Mitt Romney is elected


30. Vermont
Bernie Sanders (D) 73,82%
Lawrence Zupan (R) 26,18%

D hold

Bernie Sanders is reelected


31. Virginia
Tim Kaine (D/M) 61,42%
Corey Stewart (R) 38,58%

D hold

Tim Kaine is reelected


32. Washington
Maria Cantwell (D) 61,36%
Susan Hutchinson (R) 38,64%

D hold

Maria Cantwell is reelected


33. West Virginia
Joe Manchin (M/N) 60,04%
Jim Justice (R) 35,92%
Paula Jean Sweagerin (D) 4,04%

M hold

Joe Manchin is reelected


34. Wisconsin
Tammy Baldwin (D/M) 55,49%
Leah Vukmir (N/R) 44,51%

D hold

Tammy Baldwin is reelected


35. Wyoming
John Barrasso (R) 71,76%
Gary Trauner (M/D) 28,24%

R hold

John Barrasso is reelected


After elections:
Moderate Party- 16 seats (+3)
Democratic Party- 12 seats (-1)
New Republican Party- 4 seats (+-)
Republican Party- 3 seats (-2)

[😥]

2018 Gubernatorial elections results

Before elections:
Republicans-22
New Republicans-14
Moderates-9
Democrats-7        


1.Alabama
Kay Ivey (R/N) inc. 57,25%
Walt Maddox (M/D) 40,74%

R hold

Kay Ivey is elected to full term


2. Alaska
Bill Walker, inc. (M) 37,12%
Mark Begich (D/N) 36,07%
Sarah Palin (R) 26,81%

M hold

Bill Walker is reelected


3. Arizona
Doug Ducey (N/R) inc. 54,86%
David Garcia (D) 45,14%

N gain from R
Note. Doug Ducey changed parties from Republican to New Republican after election day

Doug Ducey is reelected


4. Arkansas
Asa Hutchinson (R/N) inc. 71,59%
Jared Henderson (D/M) 28,41%

R hold

Asa Hutchinson is reelected


5. California
Gavin Newsom (D) 50,49%
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 49,51%

D hold

Gavin Newsom is elected


6. Colorado
Mike Coffman (N/M) 39,24%
Doug Lamborn (R) 32,75%
Donna Lynne (D) 28,01%

N gain from M

Mike Coffman is elected

7. Connecticut
Joe Lieberman (M) 42,21%
Ned Lamont (D) 39,88%
Bob Stefanowski (R/N) 17,91%

M gain from D

Joe Lieberman is elected


8. Florida
Gwen Graham (M) 27,11%
Adam Putnam (N) 26,25%
Andrew Gillum (D) 25,80%
Ron DeSantis (R) 20,84%

M gain from R

Gwen Graham is elected


9. Georgia
Stacey Abrams (D/M) 47,83%
Brian Kemp (R) 27,14%
Casey Cagle (N) 25,03%

Run-off
Stacey Abrams (D/M) 50,14%
Brian Kemp (R) 49,86%

D gain from R

Stacey Abrams is elected


10. Hawaii
Colleen Hanabusa (D) 73,12%
Andria Tupola (R/N) 26,88%

D hold

Colleen Hanabusa is elected


11. Idaho
Brad Little (N/M) 47,81%
Raul Labrador (R) 28,36%
Paulette Jordan (D) 23,83%

N hold

Brad Little is elected


12. Illinois
J.B. Pritzker (M) 28,72%
Bruce Rauner (N) inc. 28,01%
Chris Kennedy (D) 26,12%
Jeanne Ives (R) 17,15%

M gain from N

JB Pritzker is elected


13. Iowa
Fred Hubbell (M/D) 51,23%
Kim Reynolds (R/N) inc.  48,77%

M gain from R

Fred Hubbell is elected


14. Kansas
Laura Kelly (M) 29,23%
Greg Orman (N) 28,04%
Kris Kobach (R) 26,37%
Sharice Davids (D) 16,36%

M gain from N

Laura Kelly is elected


15. Maine
Olympia Snowe (M/N) 59,74%
Troy Jackson (D) 25,87%
Garrett Mason (R) 14,39%

M gain from R

Olympia Snowe is elected


16. Maryland
Larry Hogan (N/M/R/D) inc. 94,02%
Third Parties 5,98%

N hold

Larry Hogan is reelected


17. Massachusetts
Charlie Baker (M/N/R/D) inc. 94,88%
Third Parties 5,12%

M hold

Charlie Baker is reelected


18. Michigan
Fred Upton (N/M) 37,18%
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 37,15%
Patrick Colbeck (R) 25,67%

N gain from R

Fred Upton is elected

[😥]

2018 Gubernatorial elections results (part 2)

19. Minnesota
Tim Walz (M) 39,62%
Norm Coleman (N) 38,51%
Michele Bachmann (R) 11,82%
Keith Ellison (D) 10,05%

M gain from D

Tim Walz is elected


20. Nebraska
Pete Ricketts (R/N) 58,64%
Bob Krist (M/D) 41,36%

R hold

Pete Ricketts is reelected


21. Nevada
Joe Heck (N/M) 49,73%
Jullia Ratti (D) 28,83%
Danny Tarkanian (R) 21,44%

N hold

Joe Heck is elected


22. New Hampshire
Chris Sununu (N/M/R) 57,03%
Molly Kelly (D) 42,97%

N hold

Chris Sununu is reelected


23. New Mexico
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D/N) 57,34%
Steve Pearce (R/N) 42,66%

D gain from N

Michelle Lujan Grisham is elected


24. New York
Andrew Cuomo (M/N) 69,84%
Cynthia Nixon (D) 30,16%

M hold

Andrew Cuomo is reelected


25. Ohio
Mike DeWine (R) 49,96%
Richard Cordray (D) 48,27%

R gain from N

Mike DeWine is elected


26. Oklahoma
Drew Edmondson (M/N) 50,15%
Kevin Stitt (R) 49,85%

M gain from R

Drew Edmondson is elected


27. Oregon
Kate Brown (M/D) 52,64%
Knute Buehler (R/N) 47,36%

M hold

Kate Brown is reelected


28. Pennsylvania
Tom Wolf (M/D) 62,33%
Scott Wagner (R) 37,67%

M hold

Tom Wolf is reelected


29. Rhode Island
Allan Fung (N/M/R) 51,80%
Gina Raimondo (D) 48,20%

N gain from D

Allan Fung is elected


30. South Carolina
Henry McMaster (N/R) 53,76%
James Smith (M/D) 46,24%

N hold

Henry McMaster is elected to full term


31. South Dakota
Kristi Noem (N/M) 62,32%
Marty Jackley (R) 37,68%

N hold

Kristi Noem is elected


32. Tennessee
Jim Cooper (M/D/N) 55,72%
Scott DesJarlais (R) 44,28%

M gain from N

Jim Cooper is elected


33. Texas
Greg Abbott (R/N) 59,87%
Lupe Valdez (D) 40,13%

R hold

Greg Abbott is reelected


34. Vermont
Phil Scott (N/M/R) 63,92%
Christine Hallquist (D) 36,08%

N hold

Phil Scott is reelected


35. Wisconsin
Ron Kind (M) 53,84%
Scott Walker (R) inc. 42,02%
Write-in- DEM 2,31%
Write-in- NRP 1,83%

M gain from R

Ron Kind is elected


36. Wyoming
Mark Gordon (N/M/R) 65,23%
Mary Throne (D) 34,77%

N gain from R

Mark Gordon is elected


After elections:
Moderate Party-18 (+10)
New Republican Party- 14 (+-)
Repiblican Party-12 (-8)
Democratic Party-5 (-2)

Note. Governor Doug Burgum changed parties after elections

[NyIndy]

I'm happy LoBiondo won his race. Good to see my former congressman moving up, anyways good job on this story, love it so far.

[😥]

I'm happy LoBiondo won his race. Good to see my former congressman moving up, anyways good job on this story, love it so far.

Thank you

[😥]

2018 House elections results

Alabama:
Before elections: 6 Republicans, 1 Democrats
After elections: 6 Republicans, 1 Democrats

Alaska:
Before elections: 1 Republican
After elections: 1 New Republican (Don Young changed parties on election day)

Arizona:
Before elections: 4 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 2 Moderates, 1 New Republican
After elections: 3 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 1 New Republican

Arkansas:
Before elections: 4 Republicans
After elections: 3 Republicans, 1 New Republican (French Hill changed parties after election)

California:
Before elections: 5 Republicans, 34 Democrats, 5 Moderates, 9 New Republicans
After elections: 3 Republicans, 33 Democrats, 8 Moderates, 9 New Republicans

Colorado:
Before elections: 3 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican
After elections: 3 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 2 Moderate

Connecticut:
Before elections: 4 Democrats, 1 Moderate
After elections: 4 Democrats, 1 Moderate

Delaware:
Before elections: 1 Democrat
After elections: 1 Democrat

Florida:
Before elections: 12 Republicans, 7 Democrats, 4 Moderates, 6 New Republicans
After elections: 9 Republicans, 8 Democrats, 5 Moderates, 5 New Republicans

Georgia:
Before elections: 10 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 2 Moderates
After elections: 10 Republicans, 3 Democrats, 2 Moderates

Hawaii:
Before elections: 2 Democrats
After elections: 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate

Idaho:
Before elections: 1 Republican, 1 New Republican
After elections: 1 Republican, 1 New Republican

Illinois:
Before elections: 4 Republicans, 8 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 3 New Republicans
After elections: 3 Republicans, 8 Democrats, 4 Moderates, 3 New Republicans

Indiana:
Before elections: 6 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican
After elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate, 2 New Republicans

Iowa:
Before elections: 2 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 New Republican
After elections: 1 Democrat, 2 Moderates, 1 New Republican

Kansas:
Before elections: 3 Republicans, 1 New Republican
After elections: 1 Republican, 1 Moderate, 2 New Republicans

Kentucky:
Before elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat
After elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat

Louisiana:
Before elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat
After elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat

Maine:
Before elections: 1 Republican, 1 Democrat
After elections: 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican

Maryland:
Before elections: 6 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican
After elections: 7 Democrats, 1 New Republican

Massachusetts:
Before elections: 8 Democrats, 1 Moderate
After elections: 8 Democrats, 1 Moderate

Michigan:
Before elections: 7 Republicans, 4 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 2 New Republicans
After elections: 5 Republicans, 4 Democrats, 2 Moderates, 3 New Republicans

Minnesota:
Before elections: 2 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 1 New Republican
After elections: 2 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 4 Moderates

Mississippi:
Before elections: 3 Republicans, 1 Democrat
After elections: 3 Republicans, 1 Democrat

Missouri:
Before elections: 5 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 1 New Republican
After elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican

Montana:
Before elections: 1 Republican
After elections: 1 Moderate

Nebraska:
Before elections: 2 Republicans, 1 New Republican
After elections: 2 Republicans, 1 New Republican

Nevada:
Before elections: 1 Republican, 3 Democrats
After elections: 1 Republican, 2 Democrats, 1 Moderate

New Hampshire:
Before elections: 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate
After elections: 1 Democrat, 1 New Republican

New Jersey:
Before elections: 2 Republicans, 5 Democrats, 2 Moderates, 3 New Republicans
After elections: 5 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 4 New Republicans

New Mexico:
Before elections: 1 Republican, 2 Democrats
After elections: 2 Democrats, 1 Moderate

New York:
Before elections: 7 Republicans, 18 Democrats, 2 New Republicans
After elections: 2 Republicans, 17 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 5 New Republicans

North Carolina:
Before elections: 9 Republicans, 3 Democrats, 1 New Republican
After elections: 8 Republicans, 3 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican

North Dakota:
Before elections: 1 Republican
After elections: 1 Republican

Ohio:
Before elections: 10 Republicans, 3 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 2 New Republicans
After elections: 8 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 2 Moderates, 4 New Republicans

Oklahoma:
Before elections: 5 Republicans
After elections: 4 Republicans, 1 Moderate

Oregon:
Before elections: 3 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican
After elections: 3 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 1 New Republican

Pennsylvania:
Before elections: 7 Republicans, 6 Democrats, 2 Moderates, 3 New Republicans
After elections: 6 Republicans, 5 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 4 New Republicans

Rhode Island:
Before elections: 2 Democrats
After elections: 2 Democrats

South Carolina:
Before elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 New Republican
After elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 New Republican

South Dakota:
Before elections: 1 Republican
After elections: 1 Republican

Tennessee:
Before elections: 7 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate
After elections: 5 Republicans, 1 Democrat, 1 Moderate, 2 New Republicans

Texas:
Before elections: 23 Republicans, 7 Democrats, 4 Moderates, 2 New Republicans
After elections: 20 Republicans, 8 Democrats, 5 Moderates, 3 New Republicans

Utah:
Before elections: 2 Republican, 2 New Republicans
After elections: 1 Republican, 3 New Republicans

Vermont:
Before elections: 1 Democrat
After elections: 1 Democrat

Virginia:
Before elections: 6 Republicans, 4 Democrats, 1 New Republican
After elections: 3 Republicans, 4 Democrats, 3 Moderates, 1 New Republican

Washington:
Before elections: 1 Republican, 6 Democrats, 3 New Republicans
After elections: 1 Republican, 5 Democrats, 1 Moderate, 3 New Republicans

West Virginia:
Before elections: 2 Republicans, 1 New Republican
After elections: 3 New Republicans

Wisconsin:
Before elections: 5 Republican, 2 Democrats, 1 Moderate
After elections: 5 Republicans, 2 Democrats, 1 Moderate

Wyoming:
Before elections:  1 Republican
After elections: 1 Republican


House of Representatives (2017-2019; 115 U.S. Congress)
Republican Party: 188 seats
Democratic Party: 157 seats
New Republican Party: 50 seats
Moderate Party: 40 seats

Speaker of the House: Cheri Bustos (M-IL)

House of Representatives (2019-2021; 116 U.S. Congress)
Democratic Party: 155 seats (-2)
Republican Party: 145 seats (-43)
New Republican Party: 68 seats (+18)
Moderate Party: 67 seats (+27)

Speaker of the House: TBD

[😥]

Return of Nancy Pelosi?

After Nancy Pelosi resigned from Congress in early 2018, in May she said she would run again in her old district (CA-12), a seat still vacant. Subsequently, she won the election as a Democrat, it became a big surprise, since in March 2018 she talked about completing her political career



The elections became more or less successful for Democrats, they managed to keep almost all their seats in the House. Already after the general election, 78-year-old Pelosi announced that he would fight for the Democrat leader in the House

It marked the centrist turn of the party. Anti-Pelosi united extremely progressive figures of the Democratic Party. This association existed around the current leader of the Democrats, Raul Grijalva (D-AZ-03). More centrist Democrats supported Pelosi in her quest to return to leadership, led by Ben Ray Lujan (D-NM-03)

Mass media say Nancy Pelosi has promised Ben Ray Lujan position of a Democratic Leader in the House if Pelosi will be the Speaker. Nancy Pelosi conducted an active campaign, met with almost all Democrats in the House, working and newly elected. While Raul Grijalva claimed that Pelosi was unable to run the House and resist Trump worthy of it. The main issue of divergence is the impeachment of the President. While Grijalva advocated the immediate impeachment of Trump, Pelosi argued that it was necessary to wait for the preliminary findings of the Mueller commission

There was also a question about the existence of 4 parties in the House. How should this happen? 1 variant was the formation of a coalition, 2 was the same system as in the 2nd half of the 115th Congress. Pelosi met the leaders of the Moderate Party, after which two of the leaders of the Moderates Stephanie Murphy and Collin Peterson declared their readiness to form a coalition with the Democratic Party, provided that its leader will be Pelosi. This was also stated by the more moderate NRP members who rallied around Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. So, if Democrats choose their leader, Nancy Pelosi, they will be able to form and lead a coalition in the House

Full list of candidates for the Demicratic Leader in the House of Representatives:
1) Nancy Pelosi (D-CA-12)
2) Raul Grijalva (D-AZ-03)
3) Terri Sewell (D-AL-07)

It is known that the fight will be held between Nancy Pelosi and Raul Grijalva.

Former Presidents Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, former Vice President Joe Biden and many other officials have recently announced their support for Pelosi.
While Bernie Sanders, Jeff Merkley and Elizabeth Warren provided full-fledged support to the current Leader Raul Grijalva

[😥]

04th December 2018
Election of Democratic Party Chairs in the House of Representatives

Democratic Leader election
Raul Grijalva (D-AZ) inc. 79 votes
Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) 67 votes
Terri Sewell (D-AL) 9 votes

Raul Grijalva is reelected

Democratic Whip election
David Cicilline (D-RI) inc. 79 votes
Ben Ray Lujan (D-NM) 76 votes

David Cicilline is reelected

08th December 2018
Ben Ray Lujan announces his unexpected withdrawal from the Democratic Party and joining the Moderate Party

11th December 2018
Nancy Pelosi also leaving the Democratic Party and joining to Moderates

03th January 2019

The beginning of the meeting of the new 116th Congress

Composition of the Senate on 116th Congress

R-Republican Party
D-Democratic Party
M-Moderate Party
N-New Republican Party
 
Alabama:  
Doug Jones (M-AL)
Richard Shelby (R-AL)
Alaska:  
Lisa Murkowski (N-AK)  
Dan Sullivan (R-AK)
Arizona:
Cindy McCain (N-AZ)
Kyrsten Sinema (M-AZ)
Arkansas:  
John Boozman (R-AR)
Tom Cotton (R-AR)
California:  
Dianne Feinstein (M-CA)  
Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Colorado:  
Michael Bennet (D-CO)  
Cory Gardner (N-CO)
Connecticut:  
Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)
Chris Murphy (D-CT)
Delaware:  
Tom Carper (M-DE)
Chris Coons (D-DE)
Florida:  
Bill Nelson (M-FL)  
Marco Rubio (N-FL)
Georgia:  
Johnny Isakson (R-GA)
David Perdue (R-GA)
Hawaii:  
Mazie Hirono (D-HI)
Brian Schatz (D-HI)
Idaho:  
Mike Crapo (R-ID)  
Jim Risch (R-ID)
Illinois:  
Tammy Duckworth (D-IL)
Dick Durbin (D-IL)
Indiana:  
Joe Donnelly (M-IN)  
Todd Young  (N-IN)
Iowa:  
Joni Ernst (N-IA)
Chuck Grassley (N-IA)
Kansas:  
Jerry Moran (R-KS)
Pat Roberts (R-KS)
Kentucky:  
Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Rand Paul (R-KY)
Louisiana:  
Bill Cassidy (R-LA)
John Neely Kennedy (N-LA)
Maine:  
Susan Collins (N-ME)
Angus King (M-ME)
Maryland:  
Ben Cardin (D-MD)
Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)
Massachusetts:  
Ed Markey (D-MA)
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)  
Michigan:  
Gary Peters (D-MI)
Debbie Stabenow (M-MI)
Minnesota:  
Amy Klobuchar (M-MN)
Tina Smith (M-MN)
Mississippi:  
Mike Espy (M-MS)
Roger Wicker (R-MS)
Missouri:  
Roy Blunt (R-MO)
Josh Hawley (R-MO)
Montana:  
Steve Daines (R-MT)
Jon Tester (M-MT)
Nebraska:  
Deb Fischer (N-NE)
Ben Sasse (N-NE)
Nevada:
Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)  
Dean Heller (N-NV)
New Hampshire:  
Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
Jeanne Shaheen (M-NH)
New Jersey:
Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Frank LoBiondo (N-NJ)
New Mexico:  
Martin Heinrich (D-NM)
Tom Udall (D-NM)
New York:  
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
Chuck Schumer (D-NY)
North Carolina:  
Richard Burr (R-NC)
Thom Tillis (R-NC)
North Dakota:  
Heidi Heitkamp (M-ND)
John Hoeven (N-ND)
Ohio:  
Sherrod Brown (M-OH)
Rob Portman (N-OH)  
Oklahoma:  
Jim Inhofe (R-OK)
James Lankford (R-OK)
Oregon:  
Jeff Merkley (D-OR)
Ron Wyden (D-OR)
Pennsylvania:  
Bob Casey (M-PA)
Pat Toomey (R-PA)
Rhode Island:  
Jack Reed (M-RI)
Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
South Carolina:  
Lindsey Graham (N-SC)
Tim Scott (R-SC)
South Dakota:  
Mike Rounds (R-SC)
John Thune (R-SC)
Tennessee:  
Lamar Alexander (N-TN)
Phil Bredesen (M-TN)
Texas:  
John Cornyn (R-TX)
Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
Utah:  
Mike Lee (R-UT)
Mitt Romney (N-UT)
Vermont:  
Patrick Leahy (D-VT)
Bernie Sanders (D-VT)
Virginia:  
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
Mark Warner (M-VA)
Washington:
Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
Patty Murray (D-WA)
West Virginia:
Shelley Moore Capito (N-WV)
Joe Manchin (M-WV)
Wisconsin:  
Tammy Baldwin (D-WI)
Ron Johnson (R-WI)
Wyoming:  
John Barrasso (R-WY)  
Mike Enzi (R-WY)


30 Republican Party + Vice President
30 Democratic Party
21 Moderate Party
19 New Republican Party


Senate Majority Leader: Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Senate Majority Whip: John Thune (R-SD)

Senate Minority Leader: Chuck Schumer (D-NY)
Senate Minority Whip: Dick Durbin (D-IL)

New Republican Leader: Rob Portman (N-OH)
New Republican Whip: John Hoeven (N-ND)

Moderate Leader: Bob Casey Jr. (M-PA)
Moderate Whip: Joe Donnelly (M-IN)

Composition of the House of Represenatives on 116th Congress

Democratic Party: 153 seats
Republican Party: 145 seats
Moderate Party: 69 seats
New Republican Party: 68 seats

Speaker of the House: TBD

Majority Leader: Jim Jordan (R-OH)
Majority Whip: Mark Meadows (R-NC)

Minority Leader: Raul Grijalva (D-AZ)
Minority Whip: David Cicilline (D-RI)

Moderate Party Leader: Stephanie Murphy (M-FL)
Moderate Party Whip: Collin Peterson (M-MN)

New Republican Party Leader: John Katko (N-NY)
New Republican Party Whip: Brian Fitzpatrick (N-PA)

[😥]

03th January 2019
Speaker of the House of Representatives election

Nominee: Majority Leader Raul Grijavla (D-AZ)
Need to win: 218 votes

Results:
NAY 282 votes
YEA 153 votes

By party
DEM    153 YEA        0 NAY
REP         0 YEA   145 NAY
MOD        0 YEA     69 NAY
NRP         0 YEA     68 NAY

Rejected


Second voting
Nominee: Minority Leader Jim Jordan (R-OH)
Need to win: 218 seats

Results:
NAY  290 votes
YEA  145 votes

By party
DEM        0 YEA  153 NAY
REP    145 YEA       0 NAY
MOD       0 YEA     69 NAY
NRP        0 YEA     68 NAY

Rejected


04th January 2019
After the failure of two candidates from the largest parties, the leaders of all four parties represented in the Parliament gathered to find a compromise
Incumbent Speaker of Cheri Bustos (M-IL) has been selected as a compromise candidate. The leaders of the MOD and the NRP said that they and the party in full will vote for she. The leaders of the Democrats and Republicans said that they will not vote for her, but each member of the party will decide for himself

Third voting
Nominee: Speaker Cheri Bustos (M-IL)
Need to win: 218 seats

Results:
YEA  246 votes
NAY 189 votes

By party
DEM      61 YEA    92 NAY
REP       48 YEA    97 NAY
MOD     69 YEA       0 NAY
NRP      68 YEA       0 NAY

Confirmed


Cheri Bustos is elected


23th January 2019
Trump's second meeting with Putin



Trump second time met Putin with one-on-one. They discussed important issues within 5 hours. The meeting was held in Stockholm, Sweden
After the meeting Tramp proposed to withdraw from Russia sanctions. The next day the House of Representatives voted against it 421-13 with Congressman Walter Jones (N-NC)  was at the same time at the hospice. Senate rejected bill 98-1 with Republican Rand Paul voted in favor for it and Democrat Bernie Sanders non-voting. Trump was subjected to large-scale criticism

President Trump approval rating
Approve: 42%
Dissapprove: 54%
-12 approval rating

2020 Presidential election poll:
Generic Moderate 27%
Generic New Republican 24%
Generic Democrat 22%
Donald Trump 22%

2019 Gubernatorial elections poll

Kentucky
Andy Beshear (M) 50%
Matt Bevin (R) 43%

Louisiana
John Bel Edwards (M/D/N) 55%
Ralph Abraham (R) 40%

Mississippi
Jim Hood (M/N) 49%
Tate Reeves (R) 47%

[😥]

28th January 2019

Trump's tour of the Asian countries and of the Middle East

21-22 February 2019
Kuwait


22-23 February 2019
Saudi Arabia


24 February 2019
Oman


25-26 February 2019
India


27-28 February 2019
Indonesia


01 March 2019
Japan


The results of his numerous meetings with the heads of state were:
signing multi-million contracts on the supply of arms to Saudi Arabia, Oman and Indonesia;

partial withdrawal of sanctions on Indian goods that were introduced by Trump about four months ago;

support for Saudi Arabia and allies in the fight against Iran

[😥]

14th March 2019
Democratic Party

Elizabeth Warren declared her candidacy to run for President


14th March 2019
Republican Party

Donald Trump will run for a second term


18th March 2019
Republican Party

Don Blankenship declared his candidacy to run for President


03th April 2019
Democratic Party

Kirsten Gillibrand declared her candidacy to run for President


18th April 2019
Democratic Party

Cory Booker declared his candidacy to run for President


19th April 2019
New Republican Party

Mike Coffman declared his candidacy to run for President


20th May 2019
New Republican Party

Brian Sandoval declared his candidacy to run for President


23th May 2019
Moderate Party

Andrew Cuomo declared his candidacy to run for President


25th May 2019
Moderate Party

Fred Hubbell declared his candidacy to run for President


03th June 2019
Democratic Party

Gavin Newsom declared his candidacy to run for President


03th June 2019
Democratic Party

Kamala Harris declared her candidacy to run for President

[😥]

17th June 2019

Тerrorist attack in a school in Georgia

A terrorist attack took place in one of Georgia's schools. As a result, 53 people (30 african and 23 white) were killed. 47 students and 6 teachers were killed. Another 90 people are wounded in hospitals. So far, nobody has assumed responsibility for it.

Governor Stacey Abrams urgently convened a press conference. In parallel, Donald Trump spoke at the White House with immediate appeal to the nation, the President instructed all special services to initially investigate the terrorist attack.

An excerpt from Governor Stacey Abrams's speech:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Stacey began to cry. A press conference was announced. After 5 minutes, she turned around. She has just started to say the traditional slogans that are typical of democrats and moderate:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

She said a lot of slogans
And then she started crying again. Her hysterics began. Doctors ran to her, they began to calm her. Under her own shouts, "You are all punished. You do not deserve to live!", Stacy fell. She was taken to resuscitation. An hour later the doctors announced the death of the governor.


Lieutenant Governor John Barrow, who was elected in 2018 began to assume the duties of the Governor.

Donald Trump was calm today.
In his press conference, he expressed his broad condolences to the victims and the families of the dead, and also promised to kill the organizers of the terrorist attack on his own. After announcing the Governor's death, he immediately expressed his condolences on Twitter


President Trump approval rating
Approve: 46% (+4%)
Dissapprove: 49% (-5%)
-3 approval rating

2020 Presidential election poll
Generic Democrat 27% (+5%)
Generic Republican (Trump) 27% (+5%)
Generic Moderate 24% (-3%)
Generic New Republican 22% (-2%)

2020 Democratic Party presidential primary
Kirsten Gillibrand 24%
Kamala Harris 22%
Cory Booker 21%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Gavin Newsom 15%

2020 Moderate Party presidential primary
Andrew Cuomo 60%
Fred Hubbell 40%

2020 New Republican Party presidential primary
Brian Sandoval 64%
Mike Coffman 36%

2020 Republican Party presidential primary
Donald Trump 65%
Don Blankenship 35%

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

She said a lot of slogans
And then she started crying again.

Thank you Andriy, very cool!

[😥]

She said a lot of slogans
And then she started crying again.

Thank you Andriy, very cool!

All for you

[😥]

19th June 2019

The responsibility for the terrorist attack in Georgia was taken by the group of ISILs. The leader of the terrorist organization, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, addressed this appeal. Special services inhere found that the terrorist act was a 46-year-old local resident, whose name is not yet disclosed

US President Donald Trump canceled his decision to withdraw troops from Syria and ordered an additional military contingent to be eliminated with the task of liquidating a terrorist leader

This decision of the President was supported by all four major parties. And New Republican Party leaders Rob Portman, John Kasich and Shelley Moore Capito called for more rigorous actions against Islamists in Syria.
On the part of the Republicans, slogans began to be heard on made re-block the entry of US citizens from Muslim countries where terrorist organizations operate.


21th June 2019


The governor of Georgia, John Barrow, in a statement to citizens, said he would initiate an investigation into the death of former governor Stacey Abrams, who died as a result of a heart attack, according to a previous version 4 days ago.

Meanwhile, residents of Georgia in mourning, for 4 days they mourn for the victims of the terrorist attack, the number of which has increased to 71. Extremely many Georgians in mourning for their popular Democratic Governor Stacey Abrams


23th June 2019


American troops have already been introduced to Syria. According to the Pentagon's spokesman, the military has already known the approximate location of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. President Trump expressed hope that al-Baghdad will be killed within 2 weeks

09th July 2019

Urgent news!
Today, at 4:27 am, the leader of the terrorist, the self-proclaimed Caliph of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Lebanese Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in 1971, was killed near the Syrian city of As-Suwayda. Donald Trump immediately announced this in a call to the Americans, pre-writing news on Twitter


According to polls Trump now has the highest rating from the moment of taking office

This dramatically increased the popularity of the President. Some members of the New Republican Party have announced the possibility of reuniting with the Republican Party. The leadership of both parties did not comment.

President Trump approval rating
Approve: 52% (+6%)
Dissapprove: 45% (-4%)
+7 approval rating

2020 Presidential election poll
Generic Relublican (Trump) 29% (+2%)
Generic Moderate 26% (+2%)
Generic Democrat 24% (-3%)
Generic New Republican 21% (-1%)

2019 Kentucky Gubernatorial election poll
Andy Beshear (M) 47% (-3%)
Matt Bevin (R) 46% (+3%)

2019 Louisiana Gubernatorial election poll
John Bel Edwards (M/D/N) 54% (-1%)
Ralph Abraham (R) 42% (+2%)

2019 Mississippi Gubernatorial election poll
Tate Reeves (R) 50% (+3%)
Jim Hood (M/N) 48% (-1%)

[😥]

12th July 2019
Moderate Party


John Hickenlooper declared his candidacy to run for President

20th July 2019
New Republican Party


Phil Scott declared his candidacy to run for President

25th July 2019
New Republican Party


Greg Orman declared his candidacy to run for President

28th July 2019
Democratic Party


Jeff Merkley declared his candidacy to run for President

02th August 2019
Moderate Party


Mark Warner declared his candidacy to run for President

07th August 2019
New Republican Party


Bill Haslam declared his candidacy to run for President

11th August 2019
Moderate Party


Sherrod Brown declared his candidacy to run for President

[😥]

September 2019

The opponent of the incumbent president in the primaries of the Republican party Don Blankenship begins to attack Donald Trump strongly for the ineffectiveness of his administration and insufficient opposition to the Democrats

Republican Party Presidential primary polling

National
Donald Trump 59%
Don Bankenship 41%

Iowa
Donald Trump 57%
Don Bankenship 43%

New Hampshire
Don Bankenship 51%
Donald Trump 49%


Democratic Party Presidential polling[/b]

National
Kirsten Gillibrand 24%
Kamala Harris 22%
Cory Booker 20%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Jeff Merkley 11%
Gavin Newsom 8%

Iowa
Kirsten Gillibrand 25%
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Jeff Merkley 19%
Kamala Harris 18%
Cory Booker 10%
Gavin Newsom 8%

New Hampshire
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Kirsten Gillibrand 18%
Cory Booker 17%
Jeff Merkley 17%
Gavin Newsom 16%
Kamala Harris 14%


Moderate Party Presidential primary polling

National
Sherrod Brown 25%
Mark Warner 24%
John Hickenlooper 20%
Andrew Cuomo 17%
Fred Hubbell 14%

Iowa
Fred Hubbell 27%
Sherrod Brown 25%
Mark Warner 20%
Andrew Cuomo 16%
John Hickenlooper 12%

New Hampshire
Sherrod Brown 25%
Mark Warner 25%
Andrew Cuomo 18%
John Hickenlooper 18%
Fred Hubbell 14%


New Republican Party Presidential primary polling

National
Bill Haslam 23%
Brian Sandoval 22%
Phil Scott 22%
Mike Coffman 20%
Greg Orman 13%

Iowa
Bill Haslam 26%
Phil Scott 21%
Brian Sandoval 21%
Mike Coffman 20%
Greg Orman 12%

New Hampshire
Phil Scott 38%
Brian Sandoval 19%
Bill Haslam 18%
Mike Coffman 16%
Greg Orman 9%


President Trump's job approval rating
Approve: 46% (-6%)
Dissapprove: 50% (+5%)


2020 Presidential election poll

Generic Moderate 29% (+3%)
Donald Trump (Republican) 24% (-5%)
Generic Democrat 24% (+-)
Generic New Republican 23% (+2%)

Generic Moderate 29%
Generic New Republican 28%
Generic Democrat 26%
Don Blankenship (Republican) 17%



2019 Kentucky Gubernatorial election poll
Andy Beshear (M) 50% (+3%)
Matt Bevin (R) 45% (-1%)

2019 Louisiana Gubernatorial election poll
John Bel Edwards (M/D/N) 56% (+2%)
Ralph Abraham (R) 41% (-1%)

2019 Mississippi Gubernatorial election poll
Jim Hood (M/N) 49% (+1%)
Tate Reeves (R) 49% (-1%)

[😥]

5th November 2019

ELECTION NIGHT

2019 Gubernatorial elections results

Kentucky
Andy Beshear (M/D/N) 52,23%
Matt Bevin (R) inc. 44,72%
Other 3,05%

Louisiana
John Bel Edwards (M/D/N) 59,16%
Ralph Abraham (R) 36,02%
Other R/N 3,09%
Other D/M 1,73%

Mississippi
Jim Hood (M/N) 50,03%
Tate Reeves (R) 49,61%
Other 0,36%

11th November 2019

Senate passes Trump's taxes reform

Today, United States passes Trump's taxes reform 51-50. All Democrats voted against it, while all Republican Senators voted for it. Three Moderare Senators (D.Jones, J.Manchin and K.Sinema) voted to favor of it, while two New Republican Senators (S.Collins and L.Murkowski) voted in opposition to it. So Senate balance was 50-50. Vice President of the US Mike Pence voted for it and taxes reform was accepted

The tax policy of the state determines the social philosophy and generally accepted values ​​of its society. Public debates about the choice of philosophy and approaches to taxation are often fierce, and the opponents taking part in them are irreconcilable. Discussing and choosing the tax policy of the state, society, thus, discusses and chooses what it should be and what role should be assigned in it to the state.

If the state’s fiscal policy determines the values ​​and priorities of the nation as a whole, which of these values ​​can we see in Trump’s so-called tax reform recently adopted by the US government?

On November 12, 2019, the President of the United States, Donald Trump, signed the Law “On Tax Reduction and the Creation of New Jobs” (“Tax Cuts and Jobs Act”, TCJA), which:

- reduces the corporate tax rate,
- makes taxation of ordinary Americans more understandable and, in general, is aimed at improving the economic situation in the country.
"Republicans care only about the rich" - confirmed the Democrats after the vote


Republican Party Presidential primary polling

National
Donald Trump 63%
Don Bankenship 37%

Iowa
Donald Trump 65%
Don Bankenship 35%

New Hampshire
Donald Trump 54%
Don Blankenship 46%


Democratic Party Presidential polling[/b]

National
Kamala Harris 23%
Kirsten Gillibrand 23%
Cory Booker 21%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Jeff Merkley 11%
Gavin Newsom 9%

Iowa
Kirsten Gillibrand 23%
Jeff Merkley 21%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Kamala Harris 17%
Cory Booker 11%
Gavin Newsom 9%

New Hampshire
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Kirsten Gillibrand 18%
Jeff Merkley 18%
Cory Booker 16%
Kamala Harris 15%
Gavin Newsom 14%


Moderate Party Presidential primary polling

National
Sherrod Brown 25%
Mark Warner 23%
John Hickenlooper 19%
Andrew Cuomo 18%
Fred Hubbell 15%

Iowa
Fred Hubbell 28%
Sherrod Brown 25%
Mark Warner 21%
Andrew Cuomo 15%
John Hickenlooper 11%

New Hampshire
Sherrod Brown 27%
Mark Warner 24%
Andrew Cuomo 19%
John Hickenlooper 17%
Fred Hubbell 13%


New Republican Party Presidential primary polling

National
Brian Sandoval 24%
Bill Haslam 24%
Phil Scott 23%
Mike Coffman 19%
Greg Orman 10%

Iowa
Bill Haslam 28%
Phil Scott 22%
Brian Sandoval 20%
Mike Coffman 19%
Greg Orman 11%

New Hampshire
Phil Scott 35%
Brian Sandoval 21%
Bill Haslam 18%
Mike Coffman 17%
Greg Orman 9%


President Trump's job approval rating
Approve: 43% (-3%)
Dissapprove: 53% (+3%)


2020 Presidential election poll

Generic Moderate 29% (+-)
Generic New Republican 25% (+2%)
Generic Democrat 25% (+1%)
Donald Trump (Republican) 21% (-3%)

Generic Moderate 30% (+1%)
Generic New Republican 29% (+1%)
Generic Democrat 26% (+-)
Don Blankenship (Republican) 15% (-2%)

[😥]

IOWA PRIMARY

Now all voices in Iowa are processed. And we can predict the winners in all parties. Let's start with the Democratic Party.

Democratic Party Primary

Kirsten Gillibrand 27,43%
Elizabeth Warren 26,03%
Cory Booker 20,86%
Jeff Merkley 9,14%
Kamala Harris 9,08%
Gavin Newsom 7,46%


The Democrats' results have become the unexpected rise of Warren's candidacy. Recent polls predicted her 3rd place with a large margin from the first two candidates, Gillibrand and Booker, respectively. For Gillibrand, this victory was expected. While Jeff Merkley showed a slightly worse result than expected. Kamala Harris did not focus on Iowa, so 5th place from 6 was not a surprise. The goals for Harris were Nevada and South Carolina.

There were also rumors that Governor California Gavin Newsom, which took 6th place (as expected), but with a very low score, will be out of the race. This denied the Newsom office, but the governor's further prospects were clear to everyone. He will be out of the race after New Hampshire or Nevada.

A sharp struggle will be held in New Hampshire, with just four candidates competing for victory, namely: Gillibrand, Warren, Merkley and Harris. It is believed who wins this state will have a strong impetus in the states of New England. Nevada will vote for Harris and it's not a secret. The second place there is Merkley. But in South Carolina there is a sharp struggle between Harris and Booker.

Moderate Party Primary

Sherrod Brown 27,95%
Fred Hubbell 26,88%
Mark Warner 26,12%
John Hickenlooper 11,12%
Andrew Cuomo 7,93%

The primary of the Moderate Party unexpectedly won Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown, who could count on 2 or 3 in the latest polls. Governor of Iowa Fred Hubbell took second place. This is a real blow to his campaign. Without winning his native state, where he has been a governor for a year, his chances for further victory are significantly reduced.

The real shock came from Governor New York Andrew Cuomo. He was prophesied 4th place with 15-17% of votes, instead he finished the last, having not got to 8%. At this time, we know that his campaign is already preparing an appeal for the disappearance of the race.

At the moment in the field of moderate slightly lightening. Everyone understands that the fight will be held between Senator Warner and Senator Brown. It can be said that Nevada will accurately vote for Brown, while South Carolina will vote for Warner.

Further results depend on the results of party primaries in New Hampshire, where Warner and Brown have equal chances to win

New Republican Party Primary

Phil Scott 22,36%
Bill Haslam 22,07%
Brian Sandoval 21,87%
Mike Coffman 20,43%
Greg Orman 13,27%

In New Republican Party it was a sharp rise for Governor of Vermont Phil Scott, who was to take 3rd place, but unexpectedly won. The results of the primaries became a blow to Bill Haslam, who was counting on victory. If he can not win the South Carolina, then his chances of winning the nomination will be zero.

Greg Orman, who from the start was a clear outsider, showed a low but exacerbated than expected outcome. Mike Coffman, as expected, finished fourth.

Further results are not based on New Hampshire primary, but from South Carolina primary, where all the candidates, other than Orman, can count on victory. Nevada will vote for former popular Governor of this state Brian Sandoval with 60% according to polls.

Among the New Republican Party's paramyrists, realistic odds of victory are Phil Scott, Bill Haslam and Brian Sandoval

Republican Party Primary

Donald Trump 62,23%
Don Bankenship 37,77%


The least we can say about the Republican Party. Donald Trump wins Don Blankenship with a bigger margin than expected a month ago, but much less than expected a year ago.

For the incumbent President, the victory of the primaries of the Republicans will not be a big problem

[😥]

NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY

Democratic Party Primary

Elizabeth Warren 22,14%
Kamala Harris 21,32%
Cory Booker 18,86%
Kirsten Gillibrand 18,44%
Jeff Merkley 11,43%
Gavin Newsom 7,81%

Moderate Party Primary

Sherrod Brown 40,75%
Mark Warner 36,12%
Fred Hubbell 12,65%
John Hickenlooper 10,48%

Republican Party Primary

Donald Trump 56,27%
Don Blankenship 43,73%

New Republican Party Primary

Phil Scott 32,45%
Brian Sandoval 20,11%
Bill Haslam 18,06%
Mike Coffman 16,93%
Greg Orman 12,45%


After New Hampshire primary one of Democratic Party primarists Governor of California Gavin Newsom drops out the race. He endorsed other Californian U.S. Senator Kamala Harris


After New Hampshire primary one of New Republican Party primarists perennerial candidate Greg Orman from Kansas drops out the race. He make no endorsement

[😥]

NEVADA PRIMARY

Democratic Party Primary

Kirsten Gillibrand 21,34%
Kamala Harris 21,20%
Jeff Merkley 20,87%
Cory Booker 18,52%
Elizabeth Warren 18,07%

This was very upset victory for Kirsten Gillibrand. All experts except the easist victory for Californian Senator Kamala Harris


Moderate Party Primary

Sherrod Brown 33,87%
Mark Warner 29,87%
John Hickenlooper 29,11%
Fred Hubbell 7,15%


Republican Party Primary

Donald Trump 59,73%
Don Blankenship 40,27%

New Republican Party Primary

Brian Sandoval 48,07%
Mike Coffman 23,84%
Bill Haslam 17,46%
Phil Scott 10,63%


After New Hampshire primary one of Democratic Party primarists Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts drops out the race. She endorsed Senator from Oregon Jeff Merkley


After New Hampshire primary one of Moderate Party primarists Governor of Iowa Fred Hubbell drops out the race. He endorsed winner of Nevada primary, Senator from Ohio Sherrod Brown

[😥]

Democratic Party primary map

Kirsten Gillibrand 32,44%
Kamala Harris 23,88%
Jeff Merkley 20,41%
Cory Booker 15,35%
Others 7,92%

Democratic Party nominee for 2020 presidential election in United States will be junior U.S. Senator from New York Kirsten Gillibrand

Full official list of her potential VP

1) Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ)
2) Senator Tim Kaine (I-VA)
Note. Tim Kaine leaves Democratic Party on 8th May 2020
3) Governor Gavin Newsom (D-CA)
4) Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
5) Governor Stacey Abrams (D-GA)
6) Frm. Governor Mark Dayton (D-MN)
7) Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT)
Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
9) Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM)
10) Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT)
11) Mayor Bill de Blasio (D-NY)
12) Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR)