Senate elections by congressional district
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Author Topic: Senate elections by congressional district  (Read 14234 times)
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katman46
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« Reply #125 on: December 02, 2018, 07:23:00 PM »

Minnesota:

CD1

Klobuchar: 53.9%
Newberger: 42.3%

Smith: 46.3%
Housley: 48.6%

CD2

Klobuchar: 58.9%
Newberger: 37.6%

Smith: 50.5%
Housley: 44.9%

CD3

Klobuchar: 62.5%
Newberger: 34.8%

Smith: 54.1%
Housley: 42.2%

CD4

Klobuchar: 71.1%
Newberger: 25.2%

Smith: 64.3%
Housley: 30.7%

CD5

Klobuchar: 81.2%
Newberger: 14.9%

Smith: 77.0%
Housley: 18.3%

CD6

Klobuchar: 48.3%
Newberger: 48.2%

Smith: 39.8%
Housley: 55.2%

CD7

Klobuchar: 48.4%
Newberger: 48.3%

Smith: 40.2%
Housley: 55.2%

CD8

Klobuchar: 53.7%
Newberger: 42.8%

Smith: 46.8%
Housley: 48.3%

Just wondering, do you have a source for this?

It's all on the Minnesota Secretary of State website
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #126 on: December 02, 2018, 07:24:08 PM »

Minnesota:

CD1

Klobuchar: 53.9%
Newberger: 42.3%

Smith: 46.3%
Housley: 48.6%

CD2

Klobuchar: 58.9%
Newberger: 37.6%

Smith: 50.5%
Housley: 44.9%

CD3

Klobuchar: 62.5%
Newberger: 34.8%

Smith: 54.1%
Housley: 42.2%

CD4

Klobuchar: 71.1%
Newberger: 25.2%

Smith: 64.3%
Housley: 30.7%

CD5

Klobuchar: 81.2%
Newberger: 14.9%

Smith: 77.0%
Housley: 18.3%

CD6

Klobuchar: 48.3%
Newberger: 48.2%

Smith: 39.8%
Housley: 55.2%

CD7

Klobuchar: 48.4%
Newberger: 48.3%

Smith: 40.2%
Housley: 55.2%

CD8

Klobuchar: 53.7%
Newberger: 42.8%

Smith: 46.8%
Housley: 48.3%

Just wondering, do you have a source for this?

It's all on the Minnesota Secretary of State website

It's still astounding that Klobuchar only won MN-06 and MN-07 by a tenth of a percentage point each.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #127 on: December 02, 2018, 07:26:44 PM »

Minnesota:

CD1

Klobuchar: 53.9%
Newberger: 42.3%

Smith: 46.3%
Housley: 48.6%

CD2

Klobuchar: 58.9%
Newberger: 37.6%

Smith: 50.5%
Housley: 44.9%

CD3

Klobuchar: 62.5%
Newberger: 34.8%

Smith: 54.1%
Housley: 42.2%

CD4

Klobuchar: 71.1%
Newberger: 25.2%

Smith: 64.3%
Housley: 30.7%

CD5

Klobuchar: 81.2%
Newberger: 14.9%

Smith: 77.0%
Housley: 18.3%

CD6

Klobuchar: 48.3%
Newberger: 48.2%

Smith: 39.8%
Housley: 55.2%

CD7

Klobuchar: 48.4%
Newberger: 48.3%

Smith: 40.2%
Housley: 55.2%

CD8

Klobuchar: 53.7%
Newberger: 42.8%

Smith: 46.8%
Housley: 48.3%

Just wondering, do you have a source for this?

It's all on the Minnesota Secretary of State website

Thank you!

Wish every state did this...
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #128 on: December 04, 2018, 12:39:25 PM »



Looks like King managed to crack 50% in ME-02.
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GMantis
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« Reply #129 on: December 04, 2018, 02:59:59 PM »



Looks like King managed to crack 50% in ME-02.
So the second district is about 20% more Republican than the first which is quite a bit less than the 25% difference in 2016, but still much more than the 12% difference during the 2008 and 2012 elections. Which means that the Democratic candidate would have to win Maine by about 10% to win the second district as well in 2020.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #130 on: December 07, 2018, 12:33:04 PM »

Although I agree gerrymandering was a major part that hurt Ohio democrats in 2018 it wasn't the only thing

https://twitter.com/midawson/status/1071085961327579136?s=19

Brown won 9/16 districts. How many did he win in 2012?
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GMantis
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« Reply #131 on: December 07, 2018, 08:51:05 PM »

Although I agree gerrymandering was a major part that hurt Ohio democrats in 2018 it wasn't the only thing

https://twitter.com/midawson/status/1071085961327579136?s=19

Brown won 9/16 districts. How many did he win in 2012?
Six.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #132 on: December 08, 2018, 09:01:35 PM »



Brown carried OH-01, OH-10, OH-12, OH-14 and OH-15 while coming close in OH-02, OH-05 and OH-16. Unfortunately that didn't hold up anywhere else.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #133 on: December 08, 2018, 09:09:35 PM »

Clearly Ohio is still a #swingstate because there were so many D/R/R/R/R/R/R disticts in a D+9 Democratic wave!11!!

I'm actually starting to wonder if Brown would've lost if the GOP actually had a good candidate and heavily invested in the race.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #134 on: December 08, 2018, 09:10:54 PM »

Clearly Ohio is still a #swingstate because there were so many D/R/R/R/R/R/R disticts in a D+9 Democratic wave!11!!

BUT MUH gerrymanders
Meanwhile waiting for j miles coleman map of Beto's loss which shows him winning 16/36 districts or more possibily.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #135 on: December 08, 2018, 09:15:17 PM »

Clearly Ohio is still a #swingstate because there were so many D/R/R/R/R/R/R disticts in a D+9 Democratic wave!11!!

BUT MUH gerrymanders
Meanwhile waiting for j miles coleman map of Beto's loss which shows him winning 16/36 districts or more possibily.

Got to love how Jan McDowell came closer than any Dem challenger in Ohio did to winning their race despite basically being a nobody.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #136 on: December 08, 2018, 09:15:22 PM »

Clearly Ohio is still a #swingstate because there were so many D/R/R/R/R/R/R disticts in a D+9 Democratic wave!11!!

BUT MUH gerrymanders
Meanwhile waiting for j miles coleman map of Beto's loss which shows him winning 16/36 districts or more possibily.

Smiley Gerrymandering caused the House results in Ohio to be 14 points to the right of the country Smiley
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lfromnj
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« Reply #137 on: December 08, 2018, 09:18:01 PM »

Clearly Ohio is still a #swingstate because there were so many D/R/R/R/R/R/R disticts in a D+9 Democratic wave!11!!

BUT MUH gerrymanders
Meanwhile waiting for j miles coleman map of Beto's loss which shows him winning 16/36 districts or more possibily.

Smiley Gerrymandering caused the House results in Ohio to be 14 points to the right of the country Smiley

it also caused them to lose a state senate seat in Youngstown(yeah ik texas lost the senate 19 seat but that was a complete fluke on super low turnout)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #138 on: December 08, 2018, 09:32:30 PM »

It is pretty hilarious that Renacci only barely won his own district though, and ran like 10+ points behind every other Republican there.

This race really does look like a missed opportunity for the GOP.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #139 on: December 09, 2018, 11:01:24 PM »
« Edited: December 09, 2018, 11:05:12 PM by Ohio is the New Missouri »

Texas full map out.

Lol at bushes and sessions districts. And the dscc spend so much worrying about Moser when she could have won this easily
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lfromnj
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« Reply #140 on: December 10, 2018, 09:50:53 AM »
« Edited: December 10, 2018, 10:00:14 AM by Ohio is the New Missouri »

So anyway in 2020 all the light pink + texas 23rd + texas 24th and the 10th should all be in play.

 If democrats manage to make a net gain in 2020 due to a massive wave it will almost certainly be due to Texas.
Its incredible to see a +26 Romney district held to a tie.(texas 2nd) Its not just demographic changes as that isn't enough. Atleast some voters are changing minds.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #141 on: December 10, 2018, 09:56:51 AM »

That Austin crack needs to go
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lfromnj
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« Reply #142 on: December 10, 2018, 10:07:34 AM »

Two more maps
[tweethttps://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1072101831315197952][/tweet]
What an utter and complete burb stomping. All the dark blue districts are the burbs not those "inner cities" If any senate race best shows 2018 it would be this. Despite rural hicks turning out as hard as hard as ever the burbs closed in the gap.

Also weak candidate lupe valdez got the 11 Obama 2012 districts.
Still those rio grande margins are horrible for Valdez.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #143 on: December 10, 2018, 11:22:55 AM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #144 on: December 10, 2018, 12:08:22 PM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.

Valdez did not win TX 7th, stop.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #145 on: December 10, 2018, 04:29:31 PM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.

Valdez did not win TX 7th, stop.
Yeah but the seat is still gone. Seats just don't swing 24 points away from the national swing.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #146 on: December 10, 2018, 06:44:11 PM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.

Until we redraw the map in 2 yrs
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lfromnj
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« Reply #147 on: December 10, 2018, 06:57:47 PM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.

Until we redraw the map in 2 yrs
Just cut the losses . I'm not sure those reps will like being forced with rural hicks or fajita straps to texarkana. Just make the 7th and 32nd d sinks and give them 2 out of 3 or at least 1 seat and prepare for defense. Trying an aggressive gerrymander is playing with fire. Some of these districts swung  maybe as much 30 points since romney. A safe 24 seats is a solid deal in what may well be a virginia 2.0 by 2030
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #148 on: December 10, 2018, 08:39:00 PM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.

Until we redraw the map in 2 yrs
Just cut the losses . I'm not sure those reps will like being forced with rural hicks or fajita straps to texarkana. Just make the 7th and 32nd d sinks and give them 2 out of 3 or at least 1 seat and prepare for defense. Trying an aggressive gerrymander is playing with fire. Some of these districts swung  maybe as much 30 points since romney. A safe 24 seats is a solid deal in what may well be a virginia 2.0 by 2030

A big problem in TX and GA, is that the country club GOP congressmen are used to living the good life in their suburban/exurban McMansions, close enough to the big city, but far enough away from the blacks. With the suburban curb stomping only getting worse long term, they have the choice of having to move to hellish rural hick districts, or lose election.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #149 on: December 10, 2018, 08:45:10 PM »

Valdez won TX-07.

Looks like that seat is gone forever for Republicans.

Until we redraw the map in 2 yrs
Just cut the losses . I'm not sure those reps will like being forced with rural hicks or fajita straps to texarkana. Just make the 7th and 32nd d sinks and give them 2 out of 3 or at least 1 seat and prepare for defense. Trying an aggressive gerrymander is playing with fire. Some of these districts swung  maybe as much 30 points since romney. A safe 24 seats is a solid deal in what may well be a virginia 2.0 by 2030

A big problem in TX and GA, is that the country club GOP congressmen are used to living the good life in their suburban/exurban McMansions, close enough to the big city, but far enough away from the blacks. With the suburban curb stomping only getting worse long term, they have the choice of having to move to hellish rural hick districts, or lose election.
Yeah idk why republicans want an aggressive gerrymander of Texas . the better idea for aggressive gerrymander is ohio go 12 3. One cleveland vra. One Columbus sink and just give up on  Cincinatti. Unpack toledo and Akron Youngstown as all the areas are trending r
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