KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[Tekken_Guy]

Bollier probably won’t win unless Kobach is the nominee.

The KS GOP needs to consolidate behind one candidate to keep Kobach away from the nomination.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Dems are tied or ahead in AZ, CO, ME and NC to secure the Senate. There are other states aside from KS that can more than make up for it, KY, AK, TX and GA.

Having 7 vulnerable GOP senators is good news.

[SnowLabrador]

So Mike Pompeo is, once again, considering running for Senate. Here's a link to a relevant article (although it's behind a paywall, so I haven't read the whole thing).

https://www.wsj.com/articles/pompeo-discusses-senate-race-in-kansas-with-koch-11572116305?mod=hp_lead_pos10

[Skye]

FWIW, the Democrats have coalesced around Bollier:

https://twitter.com/LauraKellyKS/status/1189204498541092864

https://twitter.com/dscc/status/1189898943238430720

[MT Treasurer]

Not good! Barbara Bollier is exactly the kind of shrill neoliberal establishment corporatist Kansans love to elect (Kelly, Kassebaum, Sebelius), especially when Republicans nominate a radical male. Might be time to move this to Tossup, especially considering that Trump's approval rating has plummeted in the state.

[SnowLabrador]

Not good! Barbara Bollier is exactly the kind of shrill neoliberal establishment corporatist Kansans love to elect (Kelly, Kassebaum, Sebelius), especially when Republicans nominate a radical male. Might be time to move this to Tossup, especially considering that Trump's approval rating has plummeted in the state.

This assumes that Kobach is the Republican nominee, which I seriously doubt.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D+1 Sen B.Bollier😃

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This senate race is the most overrated horsesh!t besides KY and SC in the entire country.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kobach should not be elected to anything due to racial insensitivity. That's why he wasnt elected Gov and Trump is a weak Prez, where Dems can get a bunch of Senators elected in a wave. Trump has been trailing in every poll by 5-7 points to Biden, enough to repeat a 2008 and 2012 wave

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Kris Kobach could easily win the nomination then blow the general. This is not like Alabama with Moore here. Moore has a primary runoff problem, Kobach does not. The hardcore cultists can nominate Kobach, and they will.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Mark my words. The hardcore cultists are going to go all in on Kris Kobach in the Republican primary, allowing him to win the nomination with a narrow plurality, and then he will fail in the general causing the seat to flip to the Democrats.

[Pericles]

Doubt it.

[Gracile]

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Listen to Solid, this will be a 2008 wave, 5-8 senate seats

[Xing]

Considering Kobach just barely squeaked by in the primary in 2018, I see no reason to believe he'd win it this time, now that he's humiliated himself.

[We Live in Black and White]

Considering Kobach just barely squeaked by in the primary in 2018, I see no reason to believe he'd win it this time, now that he's humiliated himself.

Trumpists love humiliated failures. Exhibits A and B: Trump and themselves.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Let's hope Bollier wins.

[Pollster]

Kobach can absolutely win this primary. His popularity with the Kansas Republican base is almost always underestimated by pundits with no experience in Kansas politics, and while he did barely win the primary in 2018 its important to remember that he defeated a well-liked incumbent (with 20% of the vote going to other candidates) despite running an atrocious campaign and not getting Trump's endorsement until the last minute. His relentless harping about immigration will also be much more significant to GOP primary voters in a federal primary than a state one (where it was already pretty significant).

[Sir Mohamed]

Listen to Solid, this will be a 2008 wave, 5-8 senate seats

LOL, Dems are happy to make it to a 50-50 tie and get a majority with the VP.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

ITT: People forgetting Kansas is more then just Kansas City

[ElectionsGuy]

ITT: People forgetting Kansas is more then just Kansas City

I think people know that, they're just actually deluded into thinking that and Johnson County (which is going to trend another 20% Dem, obviously) is enough to overtake the rest of the state.

[RogueBeaver]

Pompeo looking to exit from State for a run but departure time uncertain.

[Skye]

Pompeo looking to exit from State for a run but departure time uncertain.

Pompeo should have done this months ago. Each day spent within the Trump administration is a step further into disaster. The best he can hope is that Trump hasn't soured on him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS has changed politically, even if Pompeo runs, Bollier can win

[Lambsbread]

Pompeo looking to exit from State for a run but departure time uncertain.

Fat chance there's an easy exit for him from State. The second he resigns, he's getting hit with subpoenas every day until he acquiesces.