The Megathread for All Things Hoosier!

[jamestroll]

Yup, if Curtis Hill remains on the ballot it is very likely that he will not carry Hamilton County, Indiana.

Not because it will trend into a Democratic county but because it is 1) part of a necessary coalition for a close statewide race in Indiana and 2) they are far more politically aware and educated than the dullards in the rest of the state.

[jamestroll]

Yup, if Curtis Hill remains on the ballot it is very likely that he will not carry Hamilton County, Indiana.

Not because it will trend into a Democratic county but because it is 1) part of a necessary coalition for a close statewide race in Indiana

WHAT??!?!!!!???!?

If a Democrat is having a close race or winning Indiana it is likely they are carrying Hamilton County in the future or at least losing it by a razor thin margin.

[jamestroll]

Yup, if Curtis Hill remains on the ballot it is very likely that he will not carry Hamilton County, Indiana.

Not because it will trend into a Democratic county but because it is 1) part of a necessary coalition for a close statewide race in Indiana

WHAT??!?!!!!???!?

I know you think Hamilton County is a pure toss-up, but it isn't neccesarily part of a "necessary coalition" whereas counties such as Perry and Delaware obviously are.

But this is coming from the guy who thinks a Democrat can win Ohio and lose Trumbull County, so why am I even arguing.

Hamilton isn't like a suburban county like Gwinnett GA or Lake IL that legitiamately flipped to a democratic lean. But if a Democrat is making a competitive race in Indiana it is likely they are appealing to moderate Republicans who live in Hamilton County first before elsewhere in the state. Besides some Republicans in Marion or near Chicagoland.

If a Democrat is winning Indiana they are almost certainly winning Hamilton or at least in a razor thin race there.

[jamestroll]

We will win in IN-05 and I am hoping Democrats find a credible candidate for Attorney General so we can humiliate Curtis Hill when he fails to carry Hamilton County!

Also:

https://twitter.com/BMcM2018/status/1192226673019752450

It appears the entire Marion County portion of IN-05 is represented by Democrats

[jamestroll]

Last week's elections cemented Marion as a Safe D county, perhaps even Titanium D.  They've also shifted Hamilton County from Safe to Likely R.

The Dem's chances to flip the 5th have also increased.

Increased from 0% to 1%?

My best friend from law school lives in Carmel.  He's been attesting to the changes in HamCo for quite some time.

"It's changing" doesn't mean "it's going to flip communist" all of the sudden. For example Rhode Island trended hard R in 2016, but you don't see folks on the right screeching some deluded fantasy about it "flipping" in 2020.

It is likely to flip Democratic if a Democrat wins statewide in Indiana though. It would certainly be possible for a Democrat to win statewide there without Hamilton County but the margin would have to be very thin for the GOP in Hamilton.

No, it is not going to become a Democratic stronghold and Trump will win it handily but next year will be the first time in recent history that Hamilton votes to the left of the state.

[jamestroll]

Former Evansville, Indiana mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel seems to be ready to run for Attorney General. Perhaps the only competitive statewide contest in Indiana next year.

Though he has not been on any ballot since 2007 and seems to be a has been. He is younger than State Senator Karen Tallian though.

Either way, we should certainly make a play for this.

[jamestroll]

If Pete is the nominee, IN-05 may be one of the most closely-watched battlegrounds on Election Night.

How do you feel about Attorney General?

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Per Howey:

-Attorney General race has eclipsed the governorship in fundraising. Democrats and unions have turned down giving money to Myers, but have given to Weinzapfel.
-Rokita endorsed by the State Police Alliance.
-Howey repeats his "Rainwater at 24% is bullsh**t" point, but says the "Republicans for Rainwater" group on Facebook has 8200 members.

This group is for Hoosier Republicans to engage and coordinate to elect Donald Rainwater as Governor of Indiana. We know that RINO Eric Holcomb needs to go! He has proven over and over again that he is not a Conservative, and he certainly doesn’t care about the Constitution! Republicans have resisted voting for a Libertarian due to a fear of “splitting the vote.” Not this year! Republicans UNITE to vote in a real conservative – Donald Rainwater! This November, let’s make sure that The Donald stays in the White House and another Donald takes up the Indiana Gubernatorial Seat!!! RINO REMOVER REPUBLICANS VOTE RAINWATER!

Do you think Attorney General is still winnable for Democrats?

The amount of backlash towards Holcomb over a mask mandate is absolutely disgusting and disgraceful. They are acting like he locked down the state or something.