Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,112
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« on: November 13, 2018, 01:00:01 AM » |
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VA-01: D+1: Charlottesville to Williamsburg. Drifting more leftward VA-02: R+3, but I have no doubt Virginia Beach and Chesapeake will continue to trend leftward. Maybe winnable in a GOP wave, but unlikely. VA-03: D+ Safe D black seat. VA-04: D+ Black plurality, another VRA seat, also Safe D VA-05: R+13, Danville/Lynchburg/west Chesterfield County. VA-06: R+13. Shenandoah Valley seat VA-07: D+2. Rural + Swampburbs VA-08: D+21. The swampiest of the Swampburbs VA-09: R+20. Rural hick vote sink. VA-10: D+1. Some rural counties, plus Loudoun, and some of PW/Fairfax VA-11: D+9. The fourth swampburb seat
Thoughts? Tried to make it as clean as possible. To shore up some of the shakier seats, diluting VA-8 is needed, but since they're on the edge of the state, it would make it ugly (not that that matters). Also, taking some of the more Republican parts of VA-02 away is tough, since they're tucked into the corner of the state.
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