Virginia 8-3 Democratic Map

[Heisenberg]

VA-01: D+1: Charlottesville to Williamsburg. Drifting more leftward
VA-02: R+3, but I have no doubt Virginia Beach and Chesapeake will continue to trend leftward. Maybe winnable in a GOP wave, but unlikely.
VA-03: D+ Safe D black seat.
VA-04: D+ Black plurality, another VRA seat, also Safe D
VA-05: R+13, Danville/Lynchburg/west Chesterfield County.
VA-06: R+13. Shenandoah Valley seat
VA-07: D+2. Rural + Swampburbs
VA-08: D+21. The swampiest of the Swampburbs
VA-09: R+20. Rural hick vote sink.
VA-10: D+1. Some rural counties, plus Loudoun, and some of PW/Fairfax
VA-11: D+9. The fourth swampburb seat

Thoughts? Tried to make it as clean as possible. To shore up some of the shakier seats, diluting VA-8 is needed, but since they're on the edge of the state, it would make it ugly (not that that matters). Also, taking some of the more Republican parts of VA-02 away is tough, since they're tucked into the corner of the state.

[DC Al Fine]

Some of those margins are pretty tight. GOP could pretty easily pick up a bunch of seats in a good year.