2020 prediction

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discuss

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Trump is not winning Nevada or Colorado.

Nice no objection to Connecticut or Minnesota

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Trump is not winning Nevada or Colorado.

Nice no objection to Connecticut or Minnesota

Connecticut is not going for Trump.  Minnesota might it depends on the swings.  Minneapolis-St. Paul suburbs swinging towards Democrats while rural Minnesota swinging towards GOP so depends which is a bigger swing of the two.

Connecticut will go to Trump very narrowly off of John Kasich splitting the Democrat vote and a 4% improvement for Trump there.

[pops]

Trump is not winning Nevada or Colorado.

Nice no objection to Connecticut or Minnesota

Connecticut is not going for Trump.  Minnesota might it depends on the swings.  Minneapolis-St. Paul suburbs swinging towards Democrats while rural Minnesota swinging towards GOP so depends which is a bigger swing of the two.

Connecticut will go to Trump very narrowly off of John Kasich splitting the Democrat vote and a 4% improvement for Trump there.

So who's the Democratic nominee? Illar Omar?  Lupe Valdez? Mark Zuckerberg?

You're going to say it's Bernie Sanders aren't you. ‍‍🤦‍♂️

Joe Biden

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Updated prediction:

Trump (R) - 42.4% (+0.6)
Biden (D) - 41.8%
Kasich (IND) - 13.6%
Weld (L) - 1.3%
Baraka (G) - 0.4%
Others - 0.6%

States with a less than 10% margin, from largest Dem margin to largest GOP margin
New Mexico
New Jersey
Delaware
Oregon
Virginia
Maine
Minnesota
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Connecticut
New Hampshire
Florida
Nevada
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Colorado
Wisconsin
Ohio
Texas
Iowa