TX-SEN 2020 Megathread: Early Voting

[Oryxslayer]

Off topic, but if you had told me before the election that O’Rourke would get 57% in Hays, 51% in Williamson, won Tarrant and Nueces, only lost Denton by 8% and Collin by 6%, AND got about 200k more votes than clinton, I would have predicted he would have narrowly won statewide.

His numbers were quite close to the benchmarks I made before the election. He did very well especially in the Austin and Dallas metros. But he also underperformed by more in some places such as South TX and the Houston area.

Yeah, pretty sad that Hillary won Kenedy while he didn't.

-_- There are literally 400 People there.

[Mr. Smith]

Off topic, but if you had told me before the election that O’Rourke would get 57% in Hays, 51% in Williamson, won Tarrant and Nueces, only lost Denton by 8% and Collin by 6%, AND got about 200k more votes than clinton, I would have predicted he would have narrowly won statewide.

His numbers were quite close to the benchmarks I made before the election. He did very well especially in the Austin and Dallas metros. But he also underperformed by more in some places such as South TX and the Houston area.

Yeah, pretty sad that Hillary won Kenedy while he didn't.

-_- There are literally 400 People there.

True. XD

[RogueBeaver]

Hegar considering.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Hegar considering.

She should do it! She won't win, but she will help provide a good ticket.

[lfromnj]

Hegar outperformed Clinton by 10 points and I think had the same PERFORMANCE as Beto. She should consider it and would be a solid candidate due to her being a female,military vet, and relatively young,with great charisma,and great fundraising ability.

[lfromnj]

So, Kim Olson (the candidate for Ag Comm in 2018 and came within 5% of unseating Sid Miller) has been tweeting some not-so-vague stuff:

https://twitter.com/KimOlsonTx/status/1086662497749385217

https://twitter.com/KimOlsonTx/status/1090264040591355904


https://twitter.com/KimOlsonTx/status/1093290924619255809


She's also switched her twitter handle from KimOlson4TXAg to KimOlson4TX.

Most Dem operatives I've talked to absolutely adore her, she's a super sweet lady and great in crowds and small groups. She's also still really involved with a bunch of Democrats in the special elections as well as with the legislature.

Mike Collier (the 2018 LG nominee) has also been tweeting non-stop but mostly about the legislature and state stuff; I doubt he wants to run for Senator – it just doesn't seem like his wheelhouse.

Other names I've heard floating around are 2014 gubernatorial nominee Wendy Davis (though I think she's very busy with her advocacy group) and state rep Rafael Anchia (but his name gets mentioned every election cycle so idk.)

>Actually still wasting time in rural Texas for anything but a 250 county tour


The 250 county tour was good for name rec but its that winning Texas will come through increasing margins in the RGV,San Antonio, and Houston and holding Dallas/Austin area.

[lfromnj]

Hegar outperformed Clinton by 10 points and I think had the same PERFORMANCE as Beto. She should consider it and would be a solid candidate due to her being a female,military vet, and relatively young,with great charisma,and great fundraising ability.

Not sure if she should waste her star on a likely second loss in a Senate run. She should try  again for TX-31 and scare Carter into retirement. I doubt the Austin suburbs are going to be gettting any redder anytime soon

yeah she could and if she wins she probably scares LLoyd Dogget too who will 100% lose against her   If the GOP likely has the chance to gerrymander and makes an Austin Sink district(They would be suicidal not to)

[RogueBeaver]

Beto met with Schumer to discuss a potential run, and Joaquin Castro will consider it if Beto doesn't.

[Zaybay]

Oh, thank god. Schumer is actually pretty good at this recruitment game.

[lfromnj]

Hegar > Joaquin

The castro brothers are just lab rats made by the DNC because they wanted to appeal to Hispanics.

[Mr. Smith]

Beto met with Schumer to discuss a potential run, and Joaquin Castro will consider it if Beto doesn't.

Problem here is, Beto touted much of his work with Cornyn as a means to paint Cruz as too extreme.

[The Mikado]

Hegar outperformed Clinton by 10 points and I think had the same PERFORMANCE as Beto. She should consider it and would be a solid candidate due to her being a female,military vet, and relatively young,with great charisma,and great fundraising ability.

Not sure if she should waste her star on a likely second loss in a Senate run. She should try  again for TX-31 and scare Carter into retirement. I doubt the Austin suburbs are going to be gettting any redder anytime soon

yeah she could and if she wins she probably scares LLoyd Dogget too who will 100% lose against her   If the GOP likely has the chance to gerrymander and makes an Austin Sink district(They would be suicidal not to)

Lloyd Doggett will retire at some point, guy's been around forever. But Travis County's insane growth   rate (could easily be at 1.3 million by next census, from 1 million in 2010) puts Travis County at the cusp of having almost two Congressional districts in it, or, more likely, one Congressional District (replacing TX-35) taking up about half of Travis with a bunch of GOP districts nibbling away at the rest of it. Kicking TX-35 out of Bexar is going to have effects down there, as well. Bexar County isn't booming as insanely much as Travis is, but it's still growing faster than the state average, and a big chunk of central San Antonio getting kicked out of TX-35 is going to draw TX-20 deeper into downtown and leave a bunch of its outlying stuff up for grabs and...it's too late to continue down this thought rabbit hole for me.



Let's just leave it at this: making TX-35 from this monstrosity into an Austin sink is going to destabilize the map in San Antonio.

[Xeuma]

Have the Castros been proven to be a good candidates at anything? I always see them routed as Democrats' best chance in Texas, but Julian was only Mayor of San Antonio (a mostly figurehead position) while Joaquin represents a near-safe seat. Neither takes much skill, in my opinion, as far as politicians go.

[Heebie Jeebie]

Have the Castros been proven to be a good candidates at anything? I always see them routed as Democrats' best chance in Texas, but Julian was only Mayor of San Antonio (a mostly figurehead position) while Joaquin represents a near-safe seat. Neither takes much skill, in my opinion, as far as politicians go.

They're good at getting media attention, which actually counts for a lot. 

[Stranger in a strange land]

Beto met with Schumer to discuss a potential run, and Joaquin Castro will consider it if Beto doesn't.

Problem here is, Beto touted much of his work with Cornyn as a means to paint Cruz as too extreme.

Only wonks care or will remember that.

[Senator Incitatus]

Beto met with Schumer to discuss a potential run, and Joaquin Castro will consider it if Beto doesn't.

Problem here is, Beto touted much of his work with Cornyn as a means to paint Cruz as too extreme.

Only wonks care or will remember that.

Until Cornyn puts it in a dozen ads thanking his "opponent" for his endorsement.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems have hope in TX as becoming blue: they swept alot of statewide offices. Abbott saved Cruz from a humiliating defeat from Beto

[Xeuma]

Dems have hope in TX as becoming blue: they swept alot of statewide offices. Abbott saved Cruz from a humiliating defeat from Beto

They won ZERO statewide offices.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They won Congressional districts from R holds and won statewide judgeships.

Again, Andrew White may not have beaten Abbott, but the Senate race would had been winnable, with White rather than Valdez as gubernatorial candidate

[Brittain33]

They won Congressional districts from R holds and won statewide judgeships.

Again, Andrew White may not have beaten Abbott, but the Senate race would had been winnable, with White rather than Valdez as gubernatorial candidate

I’m pretty sure the judgeships were at the county or circuit level. “Statewide” means voters are in every county of the state and Democrats don’t win those races in Texas.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This thread is becoming repetetive, point already established.

I am a knowledgeable person, it was an error

[Ye We Can]

Fools gold for Democrats, as long as Cornyn is serious 2020 is too early

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fools gold for Democrats, as long as Cornyn is serious 2020 is too early

Why do you say that its fools gold. The wall and immigration reform is only one piece of what Latinos care about.


They are racially profiled by police and closing gun show loopholes and criminal justice reform are other issues they care about. Closimg boarders gets rid of drugs. But, gun violence also contribute to how Latinos vote

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Sweatin' John

[Sir Mohamed]

No surprise.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1098676390780719104