TX-SEN 2020 Megathread: Early Voting

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/1103049032144961536

lol

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/1103049032144961536

lol

Lol didnt she even lose Harris County in 2014 lol a county that even Obama won in 2012.

[Politician]

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/1103049032144961536

lol

Lol didnt she even lose Harris County in 2014 lol a county that even Obama won in 2012.

Oh great, you're getting a hard-on over the thought of Trump winning Harris County in 2020.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/1103049032144961536

lol

Lol didnt she even lose Harris County in 2014 lol a county that even Obama won in 2012.

to give credit to her,her senate district was romney +9 and she still got reelected.

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/1103049032144961536

lol

Lol didnt she even lose Harris County in 2014 lol a county that even Obama won in 2012.

Oh great, you're getting a hard-on over the thought of Trump winning Harris County in 2020.

No lol I dont think Trump will win Harris or even have a chance lol and I wont be happy with Trump winning even If I happy with the Dem losing.

I was just describing how bad a candidate Davis is

[The Mikado]

Could Wendy Davis run for TX-24 if Castro goes for Senate? I recall her former district being around the area, unless I'm mistaken?

It's around the area, yes, but there's very little overlap. Mostly a different part of Tarrant County.

https://tlc.texas.gov/redist/pdf/historical_senate/s_2002_2010.pdf

The map she was elected under (she was district 10 in that map)

https://tlc.texas.gov/redist/pdf/senate/map.pdf

The way Senate District 10 looks now.

https://tlc.texas.gov/redist/pdf/congress/map.pdf

TX Congressional map.

Note that her old Senate district is mostly Fort Worth and suburbs to the south, with one arm reaching up into the Mid Cities (area between Dallas and Fort Worth). TX-24 is solidly based in the Mid Cities and doesn't extend into Fort Worth at all.

Wendy Davis was even on the Fort Worth City Council before she was in the State Senate. She's a Fort Worth area candidate, not a Mid Cities one.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Cornyn is not going to be Bill Nelson’d. Unlike Nelson, Cornyn is from a party with a still sizable  advantage in the state and Texas Democrats don’t have anything close to a Rick Scott-type figure.

I’m sure TX Democrats could find a Medicare fraud if they tried hard enough. It’s an open question if Texas senior citizens are dumb enough to elect a Medicare fraud like Florida’s are though

Lmfaoooo

[Boobs]

Kim Olson in:

https://twitter.com/KimOlsonTx/status/1103882818864594946

[Oryxslayer]

Kim Olson in:

https://twitter.com/KimOlsonTx/status/1103882818864594946

If she does end up running then the Dems can certainly do much worse then her. She got most of the Beto vote despite being further down the ticket. She is also one of those white female suburban veterans that were the generic Dems of 2018.

[LoneStarDem]

Yes, Cornyn is unknown, but Dems don't really have a bench here other than the Castros and O'Rourke. Also many voters in TX can take their anger out on Trump, this is why many suburban Republicans won O'Rourke districts, these are Reps who hate Trump/Cruz. Cornyn is Generic R, I think he beats Castro 50-46, Hegar 51-45, and he beats Generic D 55-45

People across the Lone Star State KNOW who Cornyn is: the man has won lots of statewide elections: TX Supreme Court Justice-Place 7(1990, 1996), TX State AG (1998) & United States Senator (2002, 2008 & 2014).

[Zaybay]

Yes, Cornyn is unknown, but Dems don't really have a bench here other than the Castros and O'Rourke. Also many voters in TX can take their anger out on Trump, this is why many suburban Republicans won O'Rourke districts, these are Reps who hate Trump/Cruz. Cornyn is Generic R, I think he beats Castro 50-46, Hegar 51-45, and he beats Generic D 55-45

People across the Lone Star State KNOW who Cornyn is: the man has won lots of statewide elections: TX Supreme Court Justice-Place 7(1990, 1996), TX State AG (1998) & United States Senator (2002, 2008 & 2014).

No they dont, we have polling of this, his unknown factor ranges from 1/3 to 1/2 the state. Hes just been a generic R that no one has ever really cared about when voting.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1104084018742517760

[LoneStarDem]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1104084018742517760

She would have to resign from the Houston City Council IF she makes the jump.

[freepcrusher]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

[Virginiá]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

Putting aside his qualities or lack thereof as a potential statewide candidate, he voted with Trump 68.8% of the time in the 115th Congress despite representing a Safe D seat. I can only imagine what it would be if he went on to represent the entire state of Texas in the Senate.

[freepcrusher]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

Putting aside his qualities or lack thereof as a potential statewide candidate, he voted with Trump 68.8% of the time in the 115th Congress despite representing a Safe D seat. I can only imagine what it would be if he went on to represent the entire state of Texas in the Senate.

Cuellar is a lloyd bentsen democrat. That's kind of what you need to win statewide. I mean if O'Rourke can win Williamson and Tarrant and still lose the state - that Texas is a tougher nut to crack than previously thought.

[The Mikado]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

The hell? Cuellar has no support or name recognition, really, outside of the Valley.

[aaroncd107]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

Putting aside his qualities or lack thereof as a potential statewide candidate, he voted with Trump 68.8% of the time in the 115th Congress despite representing a Safe D seat. I can only imagine what it would be if he went on to represent the entire state of Texas in the Senate.

Cuellar is a lloyd bentsen democrat. That's kind of what you need to win statewide. I mean if O'Rourke can win Williamson and Tarrant and still lose the state - that Texas is a tougher nut to crack than previously thought.

Texas Democrats aren't anywhere near done talking to typical non-voters, who the Beto campaign relied on. With higher Hispanic turnout in the Presidential year, continued suburban drift, and sustaining the turnout from young people that O'Rourke blew up, I think a liberal candidate will continue to be the best way to win Texas. Cuellar would probably hurt Democrats.

[The Mikado]

Forget "probably," Cuellar would be a catastrophe for urban Dem turnout, and he doesn't have any unusual support with Hispanic Dems outside of the Laredo area.

[Virginiá]

Cuellar is a lloyd bentsen democrat. That's kind of what you need to win statewide. I mean if O'Rourke can win Williamson and Tarrant and still lose the state - that Texas is a tougher nut to crack than previously thought.

Or the electorate is still not quite there yet for Democrats. Let's not forget it's Texas we're talking about. The fact that it is where it is right now is pretty remarkable.

This reminds me of the classic red state moderate Democrat dilemma. Why do they still loose even when Democrats put up someone who gave in so much to conservatives? Because the voters don't care about ideology. They aren't sitting there carefully reviewing a politician's record. It's so much dumber than that. At this point, it's basically a numbers game. Either the electorate has enough Democrats and faux-Indies or it doesn't. Throw in a small sliver of voters who actually do switch between parties, and that is anywhere, USA in a nutshell.

[ON Progressive]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

Why would you want Cornyn to be uncontested in the general election?

[Boobs]

Chuck Schumer should convince Cuellar to run because a) he’d lose the primary b) we’d finally get him out of his seat.

[S019]

Cuellar would draw crossovers from moderate Republicans who do not vote Democrat, because "they always nominate liberals."
If Trump wins in 2020, then in 2024 with an Eight Year Itch and Cruz up for reelection, Cuellar could wait till then and would make that seat at least Lean D

[freepcrusher]

This reminds me of the classic red state moderate Democrat dilemma. Why do they still loose even when Democrats put up someone who gave in so much to conservatives? Because the voters don't care about ideology. They aren't sitting there carefully reviewing a politician's record. It's so much dumber than that. At this point, it's basically a numbers game. Either the electorate has enough Democrats and faux-Indies or it doesn't. Throw in a small sliver of voters who actually do switch between parties, and that is anywhere, USA in a nutshell.

it doesn't sound like a good recipe for the long term success of the us political system. Maybe fptp inevitably creates balkanization between the parties.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/AlexSamuelsx5/status/1104408909434028032