Most formidable House incumbents in 2020?
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  Most formidable House incumbents in 2020?
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Author Topic: Most formidable House incumbents in 2020?  (Read 590 times)
wesmoorenerd
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« on: December 13, 2018, 08:28:39 PM »

We saw a lot of "Unbeatable Titans" like Heller, Valadao, Curbelo, Young Kim, etc. go down in 2018. Clearly, they weren't unbeatable. But that's not to say that such strong incumbents don't exist: they clearly do. Who are they?

Three strongest Democrats: Cheri Bustos, Matt Cartwright, Ron Kind

Three strongest Republicans: Mario Diaz-Balart, John Katko, Mike Turner
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: December 13, 2018, 08:36:05 PM »

Replace Cartwright with Collin Peterson. I think Collin goes down but he is definitely the strongest incumbent the democrats have as he survived 94 10 and 14.

Cartwright isn't a bad candidate but is frankly overrated on this forum who thinks Fitzpatrick is more likely to lose than him in 2020.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: December 13, 2018, 08:41:07 PM »

Democrats: Stephanie Murphy, Cheri Bustos, Dave Loebsack, Collin Peterson (duh), Ann Kuster, Josh Gottheimer, Mikie Sherrill, Sean Maloney, Peter DeFazio, Matt Cartwright, Conor Lamb, Ron Kind

Republicans: Mario Diaz Balart, Mike Bost, Pete Stauber, Elise Stefanik, John Katko, Mike Turner, Dan Crenshaw, Vance Gooden
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2018, 08:42:18 PM »

Replace Cartwright with Collin Peterson. I think Collin goes down but he is definitely the strongest incumbent the democrats have as he survived 94 10 and 14.

Cartwright isn't a bad candidate but is frankly overrated on this forum who thinks Fitzpatrick is more likely to lose than him in 2020.
How bout neither will
hmmmm
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2018, 08:45:36 PM »

Anyone who had any knowledge of Nevada knew Heller was not an unbeatable titan Tongue
But otherwise true

Three strongest Democrats: Collin Peterson, Ron Kind, Matt Cartwright

Three strongest Republicans: John Katko, Mario Diaz-Balart, Will Hurd
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
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« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2018, 11:18:47 PM »

Ron Kind's electoral strength is truly perplexing. He's notably pro-free trade and yet still does incredibly well in his district. I wonder what aspect of him is different from Hillary that WI voters like him so much more.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #6 on: December 13, 2018, 11:36:14 PM »

Ron Kind's electoral strength is truly perplexing. He's notably pro-free trade and yet still does incredibly well in his district. I wonder what aspect of him is different from Hillary that WI voters like him so much more.
Drift less area is more farming than manufacturing
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Jon Tester
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« Reply #7 on: December 14, 2018, 12:40:10 AM »

Not that i've done much research, but I feel like Ron Kind would be a great senate candidate in 2022.  I'm pretty sure Johnson isn't running for a 3rd term.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #8 on: December 14, 2018, 12:53:58 AM »

Not that i've done much research, but I feel like Ron Kind would be a great senate candidate in 2022.  I'm pretty sure Johnson isn't running for a 3rd term.

He'd be a good statewide candidate for sure, but I'd rather he hold down his seat and let someone else take the Senate. Wisconsin isn't the kind of state the Dems will need a god-tier candidate to win an open Senate seat in.
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Orser67
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« Reply #9 on: December 15, 2018, 03:27:13 AM »

With Ileana Ros-Lehtinen retired, Peterson is the undisputed champion of the unbeatable titans in the House (though I do think he could lose in 2020). Cheri Bustos, Ron Kind ,Matt Cartwright, Josh Gottheimer, and Dave Loebsack also did well compared to Clinton's margins.

For Republicans, Diaz-Balart really stands out in terms of running ahead of Trump's margin. Katko, Turner, Fitzpatrick, and Hurd also did pretty well in 2018.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #10 on: December 15, 2018, 11:02:17 AM »

Adam Schiff seems like a pretty formidable incumbent Tongue
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