Southern Gothic (D) vs. RINO Tom (R)

[YE]

Southern Gothic would easily get my vote. He’d likely win but how much of the urban and suburban Dem base he keeps is an open question. If there’s anyone who would make inroads with the WWC it’s him. I could see anything from a really odd mid-20th century-esque map to a Clinton+Rust Belt map to OSR’s map.

[YE]

Southern Gothic Victory Map:

299 - 239

RINO Tom Victory Map:

288 - 250

I think people in this thread are really overestimating how much one nominee changes a party's coalition. Mitt Romney was a slick, elitist, North Eastern businessman and still wiped the floor in Appalachia. This isn't the 1970s anymore, coalitions don't change drastically from election to election based on the nominees.

I mean RINO Tom isn't just an elitist who is a Republican. He voted for Clinton while SG voted for Trump. There's reason to think we'd end up with a really funky map just because the nominees are THAT different from 2016.

[YE]

This race is Richard Ojeda vs. John Warner more than anything^.