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Author Topic: AMA - IceSpear  (Read 11009 times)
IceSpear
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« Reply #125 on: December 09, 2018, 06:36:52 PM »

This is a good question. Before the midterms I would've said Trump, now I'm not so sure. Even putting aside the overperformance of Casey and Wolf (which Erie voted for both by more than their statewide margins), even DiNicola won the county by 20 points. So it does seem to be one of the few Obama-Trump areas that is "reverting to form" to an extent. It obviously depends on the candidates, political environment, etc. But gun to my head I'd now say the Democrats. It'll probably be a narrow win either way though unless 2020 becomes a landslide.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #126 on: December 09, 2018, 06:40:55 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin on December 09, 2018, 06:36:52 PM

This is a good question. Before the midterms I would've said Trump, now I'm not so sure. Even putting aside the overperformance of Casey and Wolf (which Erie voted for both by more than their statewide margins), even DiNicola won the county by 20 points. So it does seem to be one of the few Obama-Trump areas that is "reverting to form" to an extent. It obviously depends on the candidates, political environment, etc. But gun to my head I'd now say the Democrats. It'll probably be a narrow win either way though unless 2020 becomes a landslide.
Isn't it just a statewide bellwether at this point?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #127 on: December 09, 2018, 06:42:29 PM »

In terms of federal politicians? Chris Murphy.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #128 on: December 09, 2018, 06:44:06 PM »

Hahaha!!!
No, I mean the four Chrises that rule Hollywood (Evans, Hemsworth, Pratt, and Pine).
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IceSpear
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« Reply #129 on: December 09, 2018, 06:47:19 PM »
Quote from: Ohio is the New Missouri on December 09, 2018, 06:40:55 PM
Quote from: The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin on December 09, 2018, 06:36:52 PM

This is a good question. Before the midterms I would've said Trump, now I'm not so sure. Even putting aside the overperformance of Casey and Wolf (which Erie voted for both by more than their statewide margins), even DiNicola won the county by 20 points. So it does seem to be one of the few Obama-Trump areas that is "reverting to form" to an extent. It obviously depends on the candidates, political environment, etc. But gun to my head I'd now say the Democrats. It'll probably be a narrow win either way though unless 2020 becomes a landslide.
Isn't it just a statewide bellwether at this point?

It was actually more Democratic than the state as a whole in 2018 after being more Republican than the state as a whole in 2016. But it wasn't anywhere near as D friendly relative to the state as a whole as it was in 2008 and 2012, so clearly Trump's performance wasn't a total fluke and the trend is still present. But it definitely seems to be much friendlier Obama-Trump turf than places like Northeast PA, the Mahoning Valley, most of Iowa, etc.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #130 on: December 09, 2018, 06:51:52 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on December 09, 2018, 06:44:06 PM

Hahaha!!!
No, I mean the four Chrises that rule Hollywood (Evans, Hemsworth, Pratt, and Pine).

Haha, oops. Definitely Chris Evans Purple heart
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Blair
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« Reply #131 on: December 10, 2018, 02:58:03 PM »
Thoughts on timothee chalamet?
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #132 on: December 10, 2018, 03:52:57 PM »
Opinion of this video :


https://youtu.be/7IS7W9XSoq8
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #133 on: December 10, 2018, 04:11:39 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin on December 08, 2018, 10:30:50 PM
Quote from: AudmanOut on December 08, 2018, 08:42:17 PM
Why would you vote for? Rino Tom or BRTD?

I agree with BRTD more ideologically, but assuming he's anything like his forum persona as president, he'd probably be a much worse president than RINO Tom. And since RINO Tom is basically a moderate Democrat on everything besides tax cuts, he'd be an acceptable choice if BRTD didn't seem fit to hold the office. Ask me after the debates. Democrat vs. Democrat elections are the best.

Pshhh, I ain't debatin'. Smiley
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IceSpear
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« Reply #134 on: December 12, 2018, 08:55:58 PM »

Never heard of him until this post, but he's pretty cute so there's that...
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #135 on: December 12, 2018, 09:01:52 PM »
Who do you prefer? WWC who voted for Hillary or white college educated people who voted for trump?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #136 on: December 12, 2018, 09:03:04 PM »

I'm surprised they called Minnesota for Mondale with only 2% of precincts in. That could've easily ended up being wrong.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #137 on: December 12, 2018, 09:07:37 PM »
Quote from: AudmanOut on December 12, 2018, 09:01:52 PM
Who do you prefer? WWC who voted for Hillary or white college educated people who voted for trump?

I'm literally a "WWC" that voted for Hillary (though I'm also college educated), so that one.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #138 on: December 12, 2018, 09:20:50 PM »
Which inevitable Atlas take are you looking forward to arguing the most against now that 2020 is coming up?
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #139 on: December 12, 2018, 11:02:55 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin on December 12, 2018, 09:03:04 PM

I'm surprised they called Minnesota for Mondale with only 2% of precincts in. That could've easily ended up being wrong.

Yah lol, For NBC though it was the last state they called .


Best part about that video is watching solid dem states like MA and WV (at the time ) which you could argue were the definition of New Deal Coalition states were won by Reagan against a New Deal type Dem . You could argue that Reagan winning those two states was basically the final remnants of the old New Deal coalition being wiped away   
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HillGoose
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« Reply #140 on: December 12, 2018, 11:10:27 PM »
Opinion of moving to South Central LA to become a Soundcloud rapper
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #141 on: December 12, 2018, 11:15:57 PM »
Quote from: Dope and Diamonds on December 12, 2018, 11:10:27 PM
Opinion of moving to South Central LA to become a Soundcloud rapper
Don’t live in south central, downtown or eagle rock would be better for you.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #142 on: December 12, 2018, 11:58:00 PM »
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on December 12, 2018, 09:20:50 PM
Which inevitable Atlas take are you looking forward to arguing the most against now that 2020 is coming up?

The utterly hilarious piping hot takes about how Matt Bevin and/or Mitch McConnell could actually lose. Also #swingstatenevada and #swingstateohio.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #143 on: December 13, 2018, 12:05:19 AM »
Quote from: Dope and Diamonds on December 12, 2018, 11:10:27 PM
Opinion of moving to South Central LA to become a Soundcloud rapper

https://youtu.be/ZXsQAXx_ao0
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #144 on: December 13, 2018, 03:45:50 PM »
what would you say your biggest miss predictions wise is? I think it was md gov 2014
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IceSpear
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« Reply #145 on: December 13, 2018, 07:35:25 PM »
Quote from: politicalmasta73 on December 13, 2018, 03:45:50 PM
what would you say your biggest miss predictions wise is? I think it was md gov 2014

Definitely AL-Sen, lol. Mostly because I was so vocal and vehement about it. I didn't really make many posts about MD-Gov, iirc.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #146 on: December 14, 2018, 07:22:23 PM »
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=AX5wP52GMu0

Opinion of retired coal miner at 2 minutes?
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YE
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« Reply #147 on: December 14, 2018, 07:28:04 PM »

That retired coal miner is a FF!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #148 on: December 14, 2018, 07:45:41 PM »

Wow, they found a Demosaur!

He seems like a massive FF. Very brave of him to admit to being a Hillary voter in McDowell County of all places.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #149 on: December 14, 2018, 07:47:48 PM »
Quote from: Arch on December 14, 2018, 07:33:20 PM
Handsome, and I love reading his cutting edge #analyses (see AL-Sen 2017).

Thanks! But you forgot to ask me something. Tongue
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