Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 167884 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1125 on: August 29, 2019, 10:25:40 PM »

That article. Whew! There is expectations setting, then there is expectations setting. Amazing that Politico prints stuff like that.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1126 on: August 30, 2019, 09:08:22 AM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 09:16:37 AM by Frenchrepublican »

Money and early voting numbers seem to favour McCready but polls point to a close race



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Skunk
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« Reply #1127 on: August 30, 2019, 01:44:54 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1128 on: August 30, 2019, 01:46:15 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 01:49:56 PM by Gass3268 »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.



This is finally a bi-partisan poll (joint venture between Harper (R) and Clarity (D).)

Also the early vote continues to look better for McCready than it did in 2018.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1129 on: August 30, 2019, 01:46:59 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.

Bishop is an A tier candidate
he outta win well
I call bullsh@t on that poll, likely R race
strong Lean R at best for team blue
this is a crititcal race for the GOP
which is why they are fighting hard and will win it
If McCready loses, overall it is no big deal for team blue
if Bishop somehow manages to f#ck this up and lose, it will be a big f#cking deal
so the GOP won't drop the ball on this one
the dem spirit just is not there

I expect Bishop to win by 4-5 points now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1130 on: August 30, 2019, 01:48:51 PM »

Wasn't there a Red Horse poll planned as well ?
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Skunk
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« Reply #1131 on: August 30, 2019, 01:49:48 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.

Bishop is an A tier candidate
he outta win well
I call bullsh@t on that poll, likely R race
strong Lean R at best for team blue
this is a crititcal race for the GOP
which is why they are fighting hard and will win it
If McCready loses, overall it is no big deal for team blue
if Bishop somehow manages to f#ck this up and lose, it will be a big f#cking deal
so the GOP won't drop the ball on this one
the dem spirit just is not there

I expect Bishop to win by 4-5 points now.
Are you trying to turn bedwetting into a haiku or something? Then again with how much you hate trans people you probably want Bishop to win.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1132 on: August 30, 2019, 02:04:06 PM »

Are you trying to turn bedwetting into a haiku or something?

This should be the Atlas motto. Smiley
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1133 on: August 30, 2019, 02:16:53 PM »

Considering the PVI of the district Trump being at about even is what you would expect give his poor numbers nationally.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1134 on: August 30, 2019, 02:30:43 PM »

Wasn't there a Red Horse poll planned as well ?



In a reply to this tweet, they said they expect it to be released on Tuesday thought it could be pushed back.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1135 on: August 30, 2019, 02:30:58 PM »

We're up, McCready will win, this doesn't bold well for Till reelection
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Pollster
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« Reply #1136 on: August 30, 2019, 02:48:23 PM »

Fundraising numbers look awful for Bishop - he burned through his cash and goes into the last week with barely enough to keep his ads up. With what McCready has left in the bank, he could demolish Bishop with GOTV alone.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1137 on: August 30, 2019, 03:34:54 PM »

Fundraising numbers look awful for Bishop - he burned through his cash and goes into the last week with barely enough to keep his ads up. With what McCready has left in the bank, he could demolish Bishop with GOTV alone.

I think they are hoping that Trump's visit the Monday before in Fayetteville will help, but I'm not entirely sure. Not much of the population of the district is in that area, compared to the 60% that is in the Charlotte metro.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1138 on: August 30, 2019, 03:42:53 PM »

The early vote in NC skews fairly Democratic, so it entirely possible that Bishop may rebound by election day.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #1139 on: August 30, 2019, 03:58:50 PM »

Are you trying to turn bedwetting into a haiku or something?
Climbing Dan will win
This bolds well for Tucc's first term

M*A*S*H theme starts playing
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Xing
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« Reply #1140 on: August 30, 2019, 04:02:53 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.


Bishop is an A tier candidate
he outta win well
I call bullsh@t on that poll, likely R race
strong Lean R at best for team blue
this is a crititcal race for the GOP
which is why they are fighting hard and will win it
If McCready loses, overall it is no big deal for team blue
if Bishop somehow manages to f#ck this up and lose, it will be a big f#cking deal
so the GOP won't drop the ball on this one
the dem spirit just is not there

I expect Bishop to win by 4-5 points now.
Are you trying to turn bedwetting into a haiku or something? Then again with how much you hate trans people you probably want Bishop to win.

Democrats will lose
Every competitive race
I wet the bed lolz
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1141 on: August 30, 2019, 04:07:37 PM »

Bagel23 is an idiot
He clearly never learns
As he wets the bed every night
Democrats manage win after win
And yet he predicts doomsday
Only to be proven wrong again
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1142 on: August 30, 2019, 04:12:19 PM »

The early vote in NC skews fairly Democratic, so it entirely possible that Bishop may rebound by election day.

That may be the case, but it’s skewing significantly more Democratic now than in 2018.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1143 on: August 30, 2019, 04:36:22 PM »

This race is unfortunately looking more and more like a remake of PA-18, republicans are staying at home while democrats are storming the polls.

Tilt D now and if things don’t change I think a 51/48 McCready wins is possible
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1144 on: August 30, 2019, 05:32:09 PM »

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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #1145 on: August 30, 2019, 05:54:19 PM »

GOP will easily win both. I donated $10 to RRH to get their poll results an hour early. Will post here when they do. I wouldn't be surprised if Dan Bishop gets something like 54% and MacCready only gets 46%.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1146 on: August 30, 2019, 05:58:17 PM »

Lmao no I did not mean this as a haiku, I was talking to Greedo about the election on discord, and wanted to share my thoughts here as well, and I was too lazy to either retype or reformat, so I just pasted.
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Badger
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« Reply #1147 on: August 30, 2019, 06:33:44 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.

Bishop is an A tier candidate
he outta win well
I call bullsh@t on that poll, likely R race
strong Lean R at best for team blue
this is a crititcal race for the GOP
which is why they are fighting hard and will win it
If McCready loses, overall it is no big deal for team blue
if Bishop somehow manages to f#ck this up and lose, it will be a big f#cking deal
so the GOP won't drop the ball on this one
the dem spirit just is not there

I expect Bishop to win by 4-5 points now.

Is this, like, three or four haikus strung together?

EDIT: Dammit. And here I thought it was being so clever
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1148 on: August 30, 2019, 06:37:16 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.



This is finally a bi-partisan poll (joint venture between Harper (R) and Clarity (D).)

Also the early vote continues to look better for McCready than it did in 2018.

Yuuuugggeee!!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1149 on: August 30, 2019, 06:47:22 PM »

We're getting a lot of new polls today for this race, apparently. New poll has McCready leading 46-42.

I think Trump's approval is off in it, 48-47 disapproval seems like it's underestimating Trump's support.

Bishop is an A tier candidate
he outta win well
I call bullsh@t on that poll, likely R race
strong Lean R at best for team blue
this is a crititcal race for the GOP
which is why they are fighting hard and will win it
If McCready loses, overall it is no big deal for team blue
if Bishop somehow manages to f#ck this up and lose, it will be a big f#cking deal
so the GOP won't drop the ball on this one
the dem spirit just is not there

I expect Bishop to win by 4-5 points now.

Is this, like, three or four haikus strung together?

EDIT: Dammit. And here I thought it was being so clever

Would three haikus strung together be called a triku?
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