Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 168891 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1300 on: September 10, 2019, 07:04:34 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 10, 2019, 07:03:21 PM
McCready over performed his early vote from 2018 in Robeson and Richmond.



Also supposedly more important Union's are closer then 2018, but turnout is muddling up takes.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1301 on: September 10, 2019, 07:04:54 PM »
McCready decently overperformed the early vote in Union.  12 point deficit this time as compared to an 18 point deficit in 2018.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1302 on: September 10, 2019, 07:05:26 PM »
So basically all we're learning is that it's really close and we can't forecast. This is fine
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Sestak
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« Reply #1303 on: September 10, 2019, 07:05:57 PM »
even if he's overperforming, is it by enough?
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1304 on: September 10, 2019, 07:06:06 PM »
The raw margins out of Robeson look underwhelming
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Matty
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« Reply #1305 on: September 10, 2019, 07:06:09 PM »
The dem is leading in NC-9
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1306 on: September 10, 2019, 07:06:46 PM »
Yeah, across the board increases for McCready.
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The Free North
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« Reply #1307 on: September 10, 2019, 07:08:00 PM »
The Trump GOP must die so this is a good start.
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Skye
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« Reply #1308 on: September 10, 2019, 07:08:05 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on September 10, 2019, 07:05:26 PM
So basically all we're learning is that it's really close and we can't forecast. This is fine

No, no, we're supposed to OVERREACT at slight changes during the early vote count and declare the race over, as usual.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1309 on: September 10, 2019, 07:08:09 PM »
Well what a surprise, an unusually big swing in Bladen County.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #1310 on: September 10, 2019, 07:09:36 PM »
NBC calls NC-03 for Murphy
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Skye
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« Reply #1311 on: September 10, 2019, 07:09:44 PM »


lmao that was fast.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1312 on: September 10, 2019, 07:10:43 PM »
Happy with the Democratic result in Dare County. I wonder if that's a county that could flip or at least get closer moving forward.
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Green Line
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« Reply #1313 on: September 10, 2019, 07:10:54 PM »
McCready has won.  I can see it now.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1314 on: September 10, 2019, 07:11:02 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 10, 2019, 07:09:44 PM


lmao that was fast.
The fact that it took until 25% of the precincts were in spells at least a bit of good news for McCready.
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Politician
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« Reply #1315 on: September 10, 2019, 07:11:31 PM »
Congrats, Congressman-elect Murphy.
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Gracile
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« Reply #1316 on: September 10, 2019, 07:11:42 PM »
McCready is leading 60-39 in Mecklenburg's EV, per the NC SBE.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1317 on: September 10, 2019, 07:11:49 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 10, 2019, 07:09:44 PM


lmao that was fast.

I mean the Dems overpreforming in a few areas, but is underpreforming in others that he would need to be winning. Margin might close because Perqimans and Chowan are out, while some red areas Like Currituck are all in, but its clearly over. Like the D's should be winning the Pitt portion if they wanted to have a shot.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1318 on: September 10, 2019, 07:11:59 PM »
Probably good news for McCready so far, but plenty of defeats have started out looking good.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1319 on: September 10, 2019, 07:12:17 PM »
I mean, Murphy is leading by 16 points and it’s only going to get worse for Thomas, so they were right to call this for Republicans.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1320 on: September 10, 2019, 07:12:32 PM »
54-45 after Mecklenberg EV
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1321 on: September 10, 2019, 07:12:37 PM »
Another bump for McCready.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #1322 on: September 10, 2019, 07:14:15 PM »
PredictIt has McCready winning at $0.70, at the moment.  It started at $0.55 McCready, and has been fairly steadily climbing since results started coming in.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1323 on: September 10, 2019, 07:14:39 PM »
Remember Harris only 'won' by 0.4%, so McCready only needs to barely overperform to win.
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Xing
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« Reply #1324 on: September 10, 2019, 07:14:54 PM »
Scotland county is done, 13-point win for Happy Dan.
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