Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (user search)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 166476 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« on: November 28, 2018, 12:54:57 PM »

Vote to certify it, Harris won fair and square.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2018, 03:24:08 PM »



I don't believe that actually happened.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2018, 09:11:43 PM »



And the people of the 9th chose Harris.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2018, 01:30:11 AM »



And the people of the 9th chose Harris.

That has not yet been officially established, and your repeated assertions will not make it so.  If the BoE upholds Harris's election, then feel free to gloat at that point; but unless and until that happens, will you PLEASE knock it off?  You have enough of value to say on other topics that I would regret putting you on Ignore, but I'm about 1 millimeter from it at this point.

Fine, fine. I will be back here to remind you once Harris has a 100% chance of winning (it's like 99% if not more now).
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2018, 08:04:43 PM »

Democrats are trying to steal another Congressional Race. They always do.

While I don’t agree with your characterizations, since people like you only care about voter fraud investigations when democrats are the suspects, I still think the board should certify the race.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2018, 08:38:05 PM »

Democrats are trying to steal another Congressional Race. They always do.

While I don’t agree with your characterizations, since people like you only care about voter fraud investigations when democrats are the suspects, I still think the board should certify the race.

How can you possibly be for certifying the race at this point, given all the information that's come out in the last few days?

I think the Harris lead is insurmountable, and we should stop spending taxpayer funds on this investigation.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2018, 08:51:11 PM »

And I think so long as McCready is unable to catch up, Harris should be certified regardless of fraud. An insurmountable race ought to lead to certification.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2018, 10:34:32 PM »

So in theory could democrats just refuse to seat every republican in the house just cuz?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2018, 11:31:43 PM »

I would have voted for McCready in the GE this time around. But, if I lived in NC 9 and there was a special election, there is a decent chance that I would flip my vote to Harris because I don't believe it is ok to have the election invalidated because of alleged fraud (again, I trust Bladen county too) that is not even enough for McCready to catch up if you take that into account.

Honestly I have no clue what will come next. Hopefully certification. But if it is a special election, McCready should be considered the slight favorite from a neutral and strategic standpoint, regardless of your opinion of each candidate.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #9 on: December 04, 2018, 05:40:03 PM »



Richard Burr jumps on the "redo the election" bandwagon.

Shame, I expected better from him.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #10 on: December 07, 2018, 10:24:05 AM »

If the the dems steal this seat I swear to God I will never forgive them for this.

Ah, the DEMOCRATS are stealing it!?  Tears of joy

And that's an interesting threat. How can you threaten  to do something that you are already doing?

ik if bagel did it might be a threat. but woodbury is just a CLOWN.

Nah, it is a little upsetting, but I'll get over it.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #11 on: December 07, 2018, 02:31:44 PM »

If the the dems steal this seat I swear to God I will never forgive them for this.

They might be literally http://www.wbtv.com/2018/12/07/documents-show-bladen-co-pac-employees-witnessed-more-than-absentee-ballots/
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #12 on: December 07, 2018, 05:37:23 PM »

No I don’t think that the NC GOP chair and Harris are dem hacks lol. What is probably going on is that they see that this will probably go to a special election and they have to take the popular position and take so called voter fraud from their own side seriously as well so they don’t look too biased. They still want to win the special election, so they will say anything to hold it, they are politicians after all.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #13 on: December 26, 2018, 04:28:54 PM »

This sh!tshow is not ending anytime soon is it?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #14 on: January 04, 2019, 11:06:55 PM »

Who gives a crap about certification or not at this point? Regardless, it’s pretty obvious that the queen of the hill will not allow him to be seated.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2019, 05:50:49 PM »

So is anything happening or is this seat gonna be empty till January 2021?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #16 on: February 21, 2019, 04:34:47 PM »


Not a fan of it, but I'll live.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #17 on: February 25, 2019, 09:54:17 PM »

I don't really see any reason why McCrory could beat Cooper in a rematch considering he couldn't even win re-election in 2016 of all years. It'll probably be close though.

Cooper should win reelection by 5-6 points, very popular nice ff guy.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2019, 05:23:42 PM »

Richard Bew is my choice
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #19 on: May 14, 2019, 07:35:32 PM »

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Dan Bishop
6,667   47.4%
Stony Rushing
3,327   23.7
Matthew Ridenhour
2,082   14.8
Leigh Brown
1,055   7.5
Stevie Rivenbark Hull
317   2.3
Fern Shubert
242   1.7
Chris Anglin
195   1.4
Kathie Day
106   0.8
Gary Dunn
47   0.3
Albert Wiley
29   0.2
14,067 votes, 28% reporting (59 of 210 precincts)

Dude project Bishop for the primary, it’s over haha
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #20 on: May 21, 2019, 12:25:51 PM »

62-38 GOP win in PA 12 is my guess
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #21 on: May 21, 2019, 03:08:58 PM »

Pennsylvania Special Elections have been rather consistently abnormally strong for Democrats across the board during the Trump presidency. I would not rule out an upset near-win by Friedenberg along the same level as the KS-04 special or even the SC-05 special in 2017.

Haha, stop.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #22 on: May 21, 2019, 04:55:53 PM »


County breakdown guesses

Lycoming 66-34 Keller

Centre 67-33 Friedenberg

Bradford 69-31 Keller

Northumberland 66-34 Keller

Perry 71-29 Keller

Susquehanna 67-33 Keller

Tioga 72-28 Keller

Union 65-35 Keller

Mifflin 75-25 Keller

Snyder 75-25 Keller

Clinton 59-41 Keller

Wyoming 64-36 Keller

Juniata 76-24 Keller

Potter 76-24 Keller

Sullivan 67-33 Keller



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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #23 on: May 21, 2019, 05:40:26 PM »


County breakdown guesses

Lycoming 66-34 Keller

Centre 67-33 Friedenberg

Bradford 69-31 Keller

Northumberland 66-34 Keller

Perry 71-29 Keller

Susquehanna 67-33 Keller

Tioga 72-28 Keller

Union 65-35 Keller

Mifflin 75-25 Keller

Snyder 75-25 Keller

Clinton 59-41 Keller

Wyoming 64-36 Keller

Juniata 76-24 Keller

Potter 76-24 Keller

Sullivan 67-33 Keller





Btw is all of centre county in the district or just state college?

Just state college, the rest of it is in PA 15.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #24 on: May 21, 2019, 05:43:38 PM »


That would be a phenomenal result for dems.
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