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Author Topic: Predict the 2019 elections  (Read 3804 times)
YourLocalKiwiGay
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« Reply #25 on: February 04, 2019, 01:52:52 am »

I am ready to be disappointed already. But Brashear and Hood may put up a fight until Trump makes his trip down south, flails his arms and says some names and puts away any chance the democrat had of winning because heck! Why think for yourself?
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Never Beto
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #26 on: February 04, 2019, 11:49:31 am »

I am ready to be disappointed already. But Brashear and Hood may put up a fight until Trump makes his trip down south, flails his arms and says some names and puts away any chance the democrat had of winning because heck! Why think for yourself?

I agree except I feel Trump will doom Edwards as well.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #27 on: February 05, 2019, 06:01:25 pm »

Bold prediction: Dems sweep, Beshear, Hood & JBE will wim
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DaWN
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« Reply #28 on: February 06, 2019, 01:13:41 pm »

KY: Likely R, Bevin by 10
LA: Lean D, Edwards by 5
MS: Tossup, Reeves by 2
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« Reply #29 on: February 06, 2019, 07:14:18 pm »

LA: Likely D (close to Safe), JBE +12
MS: Tilt/Lean D, Hood +4
KY: Lean R, Bevin +5

The national environment sucks for the GOP, Democrats are far more energized than Republicans and have better candidates in these races, and red states (unlike blue states) still tend to elect "moderate" and "charismatic" candidates from the other party. "Inelasticity" and "polarization" have become meaningless buzzwords at this point.
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MAGugh
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« Reply #30 on: February 07, 2019, 10:15:37 pm »

Kentucky - Flips blue. Probably Beshear.

Louisiana - Stays blue. Bel Edwards wins by a slim 3-5 percent, but I could see this seat getting flipped red.

Mississippi - Tate Reeves wins the GOP primary, with an insurgent Lumumba upsetting Hood in the Democratic primary; and pulling off the upset against Reeves as well - flipping Mississipi by a slim margin and making history.

Chicago - Amara Enyia

Tampa Bay - David Straz

Phoenix - Kate Gallego
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #31 on: February 12, 2019, 10:04:24 am »

As of right now I'd say that Mississippi and Kentucky vote Republican, while Louisiana votes Democratic.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #32 on: February 19, 2019, 10:12:44 am »

As of right now I'd say that Mississippi and Kentucky vote Republican, while Louisiana votes Democratic.

The same. But only "as of right now"....
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #33 on: February 22, 2019, 10:05:25 am »

I think that JBE will lose by mid-single digits. I think that Beshear and Hood will both appear to be running close with Bevin and Reeves, respectively, but eventually they'll go into free-fall and lose by double digits.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #34 on: February 22, 2019, 10:49:49 am »

I think that JBE will lose by mid-single digits. I think that Beshear and Hood will both appear to be running close with Bevin and Reeves, respectively, but eventually they'll go into free-fall and lose by double digits.

Prediction of faithful Republican conservative)))))))
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Suburban New Jersey Conservative
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« Reply #35 on: February 24, 2019, 02:37:04 pm »

Louisiana:

Rep. Ralph Abrahan: 50.9%
Gov. John Bel Edwards: 46.5%


Kentucky:
Gov. Matt Bevin: 53%
Attorney General Andy Beshear: 46%

Mississippi

Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves: 56%
Attorney General Jim Hood: 42%
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #36 on: March 18, 2019, 06:44:46 pm »

Governorships:

MS (Open): Toss-Up. I'd like to see Hood pull this off considering the MS Dems last won the MS Governor's Mansion in 1999 when then-LG Ross Musgrove (D) won the Governorship, only to lose reelection in 2003.

KY: Bevin wins reelection easily over Baby Beshear (56% to 41%).

LA: JBE wins without a Runoff: 57% of the statewide vote. Big question is whether the LA Dems make gains on down-ballot contests considering the other down-ballot statewide offices won't be contested.

Mayoral Contests:

Houston, TX: 50-to-50% possibility embattled incumbent Mayor Sylvester Turner (D) misses the Runoff; Bill King (R) & Tony Buzbee (D ? or R ?) stand possible shot at being Houston's 63rd Mayor.

There's still backlash against Turner over his disastrous handling over Proposition B & the HFD Firefighters Union, etc., who cannot stand him.

San Francisco ,CA: Breed wins 1st full 4-year term in November & she's eligible for a 2nd full 4-year term in 2023, which could give her close to 9 1/2 years.

Denver, CO: Incumbent Mayor Michael Hancock (D) wins 3rd consecutive term despite some controversies.

San Antonio, TX: Nirenberg wins reelection.

Fort Worth, TX: Price (R) wins 5th term.

Dallas, TX (Open): This might go to a Runoff.

Arlington, TX: Williams (R) wins reelection.

Charlotte, NC: Interesting to see if Lyles seeks another term in office.

Chicago, IL (Open): Lightfoot wins easily in the Runoff barring something crazy between now & April 2nd.



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