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  Predict the 2019 elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the 2019 elections  (Read 5473 times)
IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
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Posts: 17,873
United States

« on: February 06, 2019, 07:14:18 pm »

LA: Likely D (close to Safe), JBE +12
MS: Tilt/Lean D, Hood +4
KY: Lean R, Bevin +5

The national environment sucks for the GOP, Democrats are far more energized than Republicans and have better candidates in these races, and red states (unlike blue states) still tend to elect "moderate" and "charismatic" candidates from the other party. "Inelasticity" and "polarization" have become meaningless buzzwords at this point.
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