What is happening in Pennsylvania? A trend, or back to normal?

[Scottholes 2.0]

I wouldn't read too much into a midterm election, especially in such a large state like PA.

[Annatar]

I dissent somewhat from the view taken by many that PA looks the best for dems in 2020, from 2004-2008, out of MI, WI and PA, PA was the only state that trended republican. Furthermore, PA was the state that saw the largest increase in raw votes for Trump out of the trio and actually saw turnout rise in republican counties. Midterm results tell little about the long term trajectory of a state, the GOP won the governor's election in MI by 18% in 2010, 2 years later Obama won the state by 9.5%.

[Flyersfan232]

PA usually tries something new after 2 terms, like they vote out incumbent party govs after two terms. So, they tried Trump, and he slash entitlements without raising cap on the wealthy on Social Security or build the wall or immigration. So, the trend went back Democratic

meaning pa could very well vote a republican governor and a democratic senator in 2022.

[pbrower2a]

I wouldn't read too much into a midterm election, especially in such a large state like PA.

One of two things is happening. Either the President is pushing an agenda that brings about early pain and whose benefit will appear in time for the next Presidential election (Reagan in 1982 is a prime example) or the President is bringing pain and political failure (which is how I see Trump).

Trump barely won Pennsylvania in 2016, and about every poll suggests that he will lose it decisively in 2020.

[R.P. McM]

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Amen, hombre:

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