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| | |-+  Is Texas really turning blue? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Texas really turning blue?  (Read 3904 times)
TX more competitive than OH
Mizzouian
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« on: January 04, 2019, 10:29:08 am »

Do texas dems have a path to winning the state house? I haven't read that

yeah the dems should invest heavily into it for fair maps in the 20's

Its easier than statewide due to the gerrymanders becoming dummymanders
Dallas went from 8R-6D to 12D-2R.  Get houston and San Antonio and the dems have a majority.

Has anyone figured out if O’Rourke won a majority of state House seats? It looks like he did, but it’s a close call just from eye-balling it
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TX more competitive than OH
Mizzouian
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« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2019, 02:30:15 pm »

The rules for drawing house districts really hampers the Texas GOP. You can't just connect Dallas, Harris and Travis counties with exurban/rural areas and create GOP districts that way. They have to stay within the county, which was fine when there were plenty of Republican leaning suburbs within those counties. Not the case anymore.

Oh damn then yeah, they can’t really do a whole lot to re-gerrymander the maps before 2020 with that restriction if true. I was thinking they’d for sure try to do a mid-decade redistricting and try to draw out the new Dems in seats in Williamson and Denton County but that would just open them up to even more dummymander potential if they are restricted to keeping those seats within those counties since these places are zooming left fast.
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