What state will Trump win by the most number of votes?
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  What state will Trump win by the most number of votes?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Not the largest percentage, but the largest raw margin
#1
Texas		  
#2
Tennessee		  
#3
Alabama		  
#4
Kentucky		  
#5
Oklahoma		  
#6
Indiana		  
#7
Missouri		  
#8
Ohio		  
#9
Other		  
#10
Solid's Option (538-0 D Win)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 67

Author Topic: What state will Trump win by the most number of votes?  (Read 1174 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« on: December 09, 2018, 08:22:48 PM »
2016:
Texas: +807K
Tennessee: +652K
Alabama: +589K
Kentucky: +574K
Oklahoma: +529K
Indiana: +524K
Missouri: +523K
Ohio: +437K
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2018, 08:52:57 PM »
Still Texas, even if his percentage shrinks.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2018, 09:23:37 PM »
TN seems like a good bet based on the numbers from 2016. There is still more ground for Republicans to gain with the rural hick vote in TN. There are a lot of heavily white candidates where Hillary got 15%+ or even 20%+, and that can definitely drop further.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #3 on: December 09, 2018, 09:34:44 PM »
Tennessee and it’s not even remotely close.
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SN2903
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« Reply #4 on: December 09, 2018, 09:35:11 PM »
Texas
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #5 on: December 09, 2018, 10:19:42 PM »
Quote from: Technocracy Timmy on December 09, 2018, 09:34:44 PM
Tennessee and it’s not even remotely close.
This. The Dem nominee will be outrunning Hillary among suburban whites in Texas. No Dem will match Bredesen's performance, and there's plenty of room for the bottom to fall out in rural Tennessee.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: December 09, 2018, 10:37:36 PM »
Quote from: Technocracy Timmy on December 09, 2018, 09:34:44 PM
Tennessee and it’s not even remotely close.
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TomC
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« Reply #7 on: December 09, 2018, 10:44:51 PM »

Ugh! But true. I think I’m gonna be sick.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #8 on: December 09, 2018, 10:45:56 PM »
Isn't kentucky another option? More white.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #9 on: December 10, 2018, 03:26:34 PM »
why not Oklahoma?
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Politician
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« Reply #10 on: December 10, 2018, 03:39:59 PM »
Probably Tennessee, although it would be Texas if Trump is winning big.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #11 on: December 10, 2018, 05:24:37 PM »
Quote from: Let Dogs Survive on December 09, 2018, 08:52:57 PM
Still Texas, even if his percentage shrinks.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #12 on: December 10, 2018, 05:29:29 PM »
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elcorazon
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« Reply #13 on: December 10, 2018, 05:58:14 PM »
if Trump wins election or loses very narrowly, it would likely be Texas. If Trump gets beaten soundly, then it will likely be a state like Oklahoma or Tennessee or possibly Kentucky or Alabama. Those states I suspect will still have significant Trump margins while Texas could get really close or even swing in such a scenario.
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pops
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« Reply #14 on: December 10, 2018, 06:11:27 PM »
Texas and it won't be close
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TDAS04
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« Reply #15 on: December 10, 2018, 06:59:08 PM »
Tennessee
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: December 10, 2018, 07:07:14 PM »

I think it'll be close with Tennessee though.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #17 on: December 10, 2018, 08:04:50 PM »
Was going to say it has to be Texas, no question, but after seeing those numbers, IDK.  Very plausible Texas moves hard against him while Tennessee moves toward him in 2020.  Going with Tennessee.
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #18 on: December 10, 2018, 08:11:02 PM »
all of 'em
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TML
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« Reply #19 on: December 10, 2018, 11:51:28 PM »

Are you saying that Trump's raw vote margins in all of these states will be identical? If not, I think you must pick one state which you believe his raw vote margin (not his net vote percentage) will be the greatest.
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Xing
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« Reply #20 on: December 11, 2018, 12:19:56 AM »

I'd love to see your predictions for D.C. and Texas, considering that Trump's raw vote margin will be exactly the same in both.

Anyway, obviously Tennessee.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #21 on: December 13, 2018, 12:50:31 AM »
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #22 on: December 13, 2018, 02:18:29 AM »
Why do people think dems will do worse in areas Hillary got 15% and did worse then any Democrat ever?
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Wang
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« Reply #23 on: December 13, 2018, 02:32:31 AM »
This.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #24 on: February 23, 2020, 03:47:12 PM »
Going to bump this poll from late 2018.

I thought Tennessee at the time, but, with Bernie Sanders as the likely Democratic nominee, I think the bleeding in the Texas suburbs slows down enough to keep the answer as Texas to this.
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