Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)

[Mike88]

Austria's electoral map is a "sea of turquoise". Is this the first time the map in Austria is so uniform?

Also, map of Vienna by precinct:
https://twitter.com/broethaler/status/1178388065418657799

[bigic]

The more "rural" suburbs are for OVP, working class suburbs for SPO and FPO, middle class outer city for the Greens and the rich inner city for OVP?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

The Greens in a nutshell, proving that they are as left-wing radical as their German brethren:

https://twitter.com/stephanbartosch/status/1178350318339477509

[Omega21]

The Greens in a nutshell, proving that they are as left-wing radical as their German brethren:

https://twitter.com/stephanbartosch/status/1178350318339477509

Hahahahah

But in order to do that, they need to get in bed with the rich people's party.

[Tender Branson]

A sea of turquoise:

[parochial boy]

That splurge of red in Carinthia, it's basically Slovenes right?

[Oryxslayer]

Austria's electoral map is a "sea of turquoise". Is this the first time the map in Austria is so uniform?

Also, map of Vienna by precinct:
https://twitter.com/broethaler/status/1178388065418657799

This map is also missing the record number of mail ballots, meaning the map probably gets a bit more green.

[mileslunn]

A sea of turquoise:

While may be unusual for Austria, last US election looked like this despite Clinton winning popular vote so if you have a strong enough urban/rural divide you could have a map look like this and still lose or barely win, mind you I don't think Austria is as urbanized as the US is so might be harder to replicate.

[rob in cal]

  Wonder if FPO would rethink their decision to be in opposition if it meant that Kurz had to move quite a bit leftwards to get a Green coalition agreement.  

[parochial boy]

A sea of turquoise:

While may be unusual for Austria, last US election looked like this despite Clinton winning popular vote so if you have a strong enough urban/rural divide you could have a map look like this and still lose or barely win, mind you I don't think Austria is as urbanized as the US is so might be harder to replicate.

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Salzburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in turquoise on the map. And even factoring in the dispersal of the left votes, it still looks like Vienna and Linz were the only substantial towns to still give a majority of their votes to the left.

But even Salzburg and Linz are not big places. Really, Austria is basically one quarter Vienna, three-quarters rural hicks.

[Oryxslayer]

A sea of turquoise:

While may be unusual for Austria, last US election looked like this despite Clinton winning popular vote so if you have a strong enough urban/rural divide you could have a map look like this and still lose or barely win, mind you I don't think Austria is as urbanized as the US is so might be harder to replicate.

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Slazburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in purple on the map. And even factoring in the dispersal of the left votes, it still looks like Vienna and Linz were the only substantial towns to still give a majority of their votes to the left.

But even Salzburg and Linz are not big places. Really, Austria is basically one quarter Vienna, three-quarters rural hicks.

There is a reason why there are two major right wing parties and the combined right wing vote is usually north of 60%.

[urutzizu]

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Slazburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in purple on the map.

Turquoise you probably meant to say.

Also yes, those are the Slovenes in South-Kärnten, who had a very contentious relationship with FPÖ/ÖVP Governments in that state, especially after Haider tried to restrict their Language rights.

[adma]

Might the Greens have gotten a "climate strike bump"?  (Thinking of the momentary polling in the Canadian election)

[Cranberry]

A sea of turquoise:

While may be unusual for Austria, last US election looked like this despite Clinton winning popular vote so if you have a strong enough urban/rural divide you could have a map look like this and still lose or barely win, mind you I don't think Austria is as urbanized as the US is so might be harder to replicate.

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Salzburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in turquoise on the map. And even factoring in the dispersal of the left votes, it still looks like Vienna and Linz were the only substantial towns to still give a majority of their votes to the left.

But even Salzburg and Linz are not big places. Really, Austria is basically one quarter Vienna, three-quarters rural hicks.

Graz and Innsbruck are close enough between Greens and ÖVP that the postal ballots might yet change the ranking there, and get the left/right balance about even; Salzburg isn't far behind. But yes, Vienna moves Austria as a whole very much to the left.

South Carinthia isn't just Slovenes, none of these municipalities but Zell/Sele (40% SPÖ, 20% Greens, <5% FPÖ) has a Slovene majority. There's a history of rural mining, small-scale industry and anti-clericalism round there, and the whole area has been an SPÖ stronghold since time immemorial - the Slovene minority does play a role, but not solely.

[Oryxslayer]

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Slazburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in purple on the map.

Turquoise you probably meant to say.

Also yes, those are the Slovenes in South-Kärnten, who had a very contentious relationship with FPÖ/ÖVP Governments in that state, especially after Haider tried to restrict their Language rights.

He may have some degree of colorblindness.

[urutzizu]

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Slazburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in purple on the map.

Turquoise you probably meant to say.

Also yes, those are the Slovenes in South-Kärnten, who had a very contentious relationship with FPÖ/ÖVP Governments in that state, especially after Haider tried to restrict their Language rights.

He may have some degree of colorblindness.

I considered that too when I wrote my response, but as someone who also grew up with a different language, I too often confuse the names of Colors on English, so I assumed it was that. The exact definitions/distinctions of Purple/Purpur, Lila and Violett is not clear in German anyway.

[H. Ross Peron]

Is Austria one of the most rural countries in Western Europe?

[Middle-aged Europe]

The Greens in a nutshell, proving that they are as left-wing radical as their German brethren:

No. Stop.

[Tender Branson]

Voter streams 2017 -> 2019:

https://orf.at/wahl/nr19/#migration

235.000 FPÖ voters from 2017 went into the non-voter column, as did 85.000 SPÖ voters.

That explains the 5% drop in turnout.

[Tender Branson]

H.C. Strache will likely be kicked out of the party tomorrow already, because of "party-damaging behaviour".

Also, his wife Philippa will not get a seat in parliament after all because of their catastrophic result.

[parochial boy]

Three of Austria's 5 largest towns - Slazburg, Graz and Innsbruck, are all coloured in purple on the map.

Turquoise you probably meant to say.

Also yes, those are the Slovenes in South-Kärnten, who had a very contentious relationship with FPÖ/ÖVP Governments in that state, especially after Haider tried to restrict their Language rights.

He may have some degree of colorblindness.

I considered that too when I wrote my response, but as someone who also grew up with a different language, I too often confuse the names of Colors on English, so I assumed it was that. The exact definitions/distinctions of Purple/Purpur, Lila and Violett is not clear in German anyway.

Or maybe I just wasn't paying attention when I posted it.

I do, however, come from a culture where speculating out loud about whether someone is disabled or not would be considered inappropriate.

[Lord Halifax]

When do we get the final results?

[Velasco]

The Greens in a nutshell, proving that they are as left-wing radical as their German brethren:

https://twitter.com/stephanbartosch/status/1178350318339477509

Freedom fighters 💚✌

[urutzizu]

When do we get the final results?

Sorry, parochial.

Anyway yes, 907.000 Postal Votes will be counted today, and the remaining 45.000 will be counted on Thursday. Then you will have a final result. If trends from last time hold, the postal votes will likely take the ÖVP from 73 Seats to 71 and the FPÖ from 31 to 30. The Greens probably take all 3 of them, going up to 26. They usually perform best among the postal votes.

[Tender Branson]

The Greens in a nutshell, proving that they are as left-wing radical as their German brethren:

https://twitter.com/stephanbartosch/status/1178350318339477509

This is silly.

Just because one low-level Green says something like this, there's a big outcry ...

And besides, he's not totally wrong. While the company Amazon should probably not be "burned down" like the Amazon rainforest, it is legitimate to demand a breakup of that company or at least tax it by a huge amount and put pressure on them so they improve their disgusting worker conditions !