Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26) (user search)
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Sept. 29 federal election ?
#1
ÖVP
 
#2
SPÖ
 
#3
FPÖ
 
#4
NEOS
 
#5
NOW
 
#6
Greens
 
#7
KPÖ
 
#8
Change
 
#9
A regional party
 
#10
Invalid/Blank
 
#11
I wouldn't vote
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 110

Author Topic: Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)  (Read 141955 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #25 on: January 28, 2019, 12:52:12 PM »

Tender, please refrain from posting more than about 20% of an article you're linking. You know Dave's policy on copyright.

Usually I do, but sometimes I just copy the whole text.

You can then shorten it if you like. It's your job (again ?!?)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #26 on: January 28, 2019, 01:12:34 PM »

Tender, please refrain from posting more than about 20% of an article you're linking. You know Dave's policy on copyright.

Usually I do, but sometimes I just copy the whole text.

You can then shorten it if you like. It's your job (again ?!?)

Look, I'm sorry, but I must insist you show some restrain yourself. Dave's rules.

This doesn't happen often anyway ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #27 on: January 28, 2019, 01:22:26 PM »

Tender, please refrain from posting more than about 20% of an article you're linking. You know Dave's policy on copyright.

Usually I do, but sometimes I just copy the whole text.

You can then shorten it if you like. It's your job (again ?!?)

Look, I'm sorry, but I must insist you show some restrain yourself. Dave's rules.

This doesn't happen often anyway ...

I've just had to modify like six posts, so just saying.

It would be better if you are not modifying old posts. I guess you have something better to do in your free time. But I will look more carefully in the future.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #28 on: January 31, 2019, 02:34:26 PM »

The opposition (SPÖ, NEOS, Now) tried to remove Interior Minister Kickl (FPÖ) from office yesterday for the 6th or 7th time already with a no-confidence vote in parliament.

They failed of course, because ÖVP+FPÖ voted it down.

Kickl has come under fire lately because he wants to deport to Syria as well (which 3/4 Austrians support).

After the no-confidence vote failed, Kickl said that he'll continue his "work to keep Austrians safe from criminal asylum seekers".

https://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5571506/Koalition-vertraut-Innenminister-Kickl

In other news, Austrian GDP went up by 2.7% last year - twice the growth rate of the EU.

This is interesting, because Germany's growth has come to a standstill and Italy has dropped into recession territory. Both countries are our most relevant business partners of course.

https://www.wienerzeitung.at/nachrichten/wirtschaft/oesterreich/1015482_Oesterreichs-Wirtschaft-waechst-konstant.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #29 on: February 02, 2019, 06:36:15 AM »

The opposition (SPÖ, NEOS, Now) tried to remove Interior Minister Kickl (FPÖ) from office yesterday for the 6th or 7th time already with a no-confidence vote in parliament.

They failed of course, because ÖVP+FPÖ voted it down.

2 new polls show that Austrians are mixed to negative about FPÖ Interior Minister Kickl:

One poll shows that 40% want Kickl to step down, but 41% do not.

Another poll shows that 52% think that Kickl and his definition of the (asylum) law is "dangerous", whereas 31% say the recent debate about it is "overblown".

https://www.heute.at/politik/news/story/Wie-viele--sterreicher-sich-gegen-Herbert-Kickl-stellen-49289578
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #30 on: February 04, 2019, 02:11:42 PM »

Steiermark (Styria) is set to hold state elections next year during the fall, but there has been some talk recently that the ÖVP there wants to vote early (in the spring of 2020, or even in the fall of this year).

There's a new poll by Market out today in the "Standard" for those elections:

30% ÖVP (+1.5% compared with 2015)
27% SPÖ (-2.3%)
24% FPÖ (-2.8%)
  9% Greens (+2.3%)
  4% KPÖ (-0.2%)
  4% NEOS (+1.4%)
  1% Others

Voters strongly oppose early elections though: 72% say ÖVP-SPÖ should work until their term is over in late 2020, while only 14% want earlier elections.

56% say that Styria is heading in the right direction, while only 20% say that the state is moving in the wrong direction - which would explain the small changes in the poll compared with 2015.

The current government is ÖVP-SPÖ (in 2015, the SPÖ actually finished ahead of the ÖVP in the state election, but got screwed over in the coalition talks by the ÖVP and they gave up their claim for the Governor post).

https://derstandard.at/2000097462230/OeVP-dominiert-steirische-Politik-Neuwahlen-will-fast-niemand
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #31 on: February 08, 2019, 11:49:41 AM »

The not so important elections:

* Chamber for Workers and Employees (= union vote, January to April)

The first round of this union vote representing the 4 million workers in Austria was held over the past week or so in Tyrol, Salzburg and Vorarlberg.

Tyrol and Vorarlberg have already released their results.

It should be noted that those states are the only 2 among the 9 states where historically the ÖVP-aligned Unionists are dominant, whereas in the other states the SPÖ-aligned Unionists are dominant.

In both states, the ÖAAB/FCG lost ground a bit while the FSG gained slightly. Still, the ÖAAB/FCG won with 61.4% in Tyrol and with 47.3% in Vorarlberg (they lost their absolute majority though).

The results for Salzburg will be out tomorrow I guess (I didn't even vote in this one, because the FSG will win with around 70% anyway).

https://derstandard.at/2000097743505/Arbeiterkammer-Wahl-OeAABFCG-verliert-in-Vorarlberg-Absolute-FSG-legte-zu

Explanation about the Chamber of Labour
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #32 on: February 09, 2019, 09:07:20 AM »

The election results for here in Salzburg are out:



FSG = SPÖ Unionists
FCG = ÖVP Unionists
FA = FPÖ Unionists
AUGE = Green Unionists
GLB = Left Block Unionists
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #33 on: February 10, 2019, 09:09:22 AM »

There are 2 additional polls out of Styria to the one I posted above (one conducted for the SPÖ and one for the Greens):



https://www.krone.at/1860459

Bottom line of those polls:

* The ÖVP is doing better than in the 2015 state election.
* The SPÖ is losing a bit, just like the FPÖ.
* The Greens are doing surprisingly well.
* NEOS might gain a seat for the first time next year.
* The Communists are losing a bit or seem to be stable.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #34 on: February 11, 2019, 12:06:13 PM »

There's also a poll for the Vorarlberg state election in September (the only state election this year), commissioned by the "VN" newspaper and conducted between Dec. 27 and Jan. 10th:



ÖVP and NEOS would be stable compared with the 2014 state election, while the FPÖ and Greens would drop a bit. Considering that Vorarlberg is the Greens best state, their 12% right now are really good news for them. The SPÖ would also gain a bit.

Currently, there's a ÖVP-Green state government and based on the poll results, it could continue for another term.

Important: the poll was done during the Christmas holidays, which is a terrible time to do a poll. It was also done before the murder of a welfare employee in Vorarlberg last week by an illegal asylum seeker, which could benefit the FPÖ in the next months.

https://www.vol.at/sonntagsfrage-wie-wuerde-vorarlberg-jetzt-waehlen/6090919
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #35 on: February 12, 2019, 12:39:04 PM »

 Would there be any pressure on the OVP Vorarlberg Party to join with the FPO in a coalition, as this is the federal model?

Pressure maybe, but the Vorarlberg ÖVP Governor Wallner has already said he won't govern with the FPÖ and prefers the Greens instead.

After the Salzburg state election last year, Kurz also pressured the ÖVP-Governor Haslauer (who's even more popular than Kurz) to go with the FPÖ, but he dumped Kurz and the FPÖ and created a ÖVP-Green-NEOS state government instead.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #36 on: February 14, 2019, 02:02:46 PM »

Well this is happening...
Swiss Vet tries to re-establish noble naming rites
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Will this issue be pushed by ÖVP and FPÖ to stick it to the freaks  and Turks in Vienna? I wonder, what are the possibilities that this will be a new calling cry for the EU elections for each party? What will the forum’s Austrian expert, Tender Branson, weigh in on this. Something articulate and informative, I presume?

First time I have heard about this thing and I cannot imagine that this will become an issue of some kind in the EU elections ... it's extremely meaningless after all.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #37 on: February 16, 2019, 02:08:02 AM »

In the latest "Profil" magazine poll, the FPÖ gains 4% (!) compared with last month.

That is probably either a reaction to the murder of a welfare agency worker by an illegal asylum seeker, or just a return to normal polling numbers after a few outlier polls. But I suspect it is the first one because of the outrageous nature of this killing. The illegal asylum seeker went into the office of the district welfare worker, shouted "Give me the welfare money ! I'm entitled to it !" and then stabbed the worker to death, showing no remorse to police afterwards.

32% ÖVP (-3)
26% SPÖ (-1)
25% FPÖ (+4)
  8% NEOS (n.c.)
  6% Greens (n.c.)
  1% Now (-1)
  2% Others (+1)

https://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20190216_OTS0004/profil-umfrage-fpoe-erholt-sich
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #38 on: February 16, 2019, 07:20:16 AM »

Another new poll by Demox Research (Feb. 5-8, n=1000) and appearing in the "Presse" newspaper today has different results:

34.0% ÖVP
27.0% SPÖ
22.0% FPÖ
  8.5% Greens
  5.0% Greens
  1.5% Now
  2.0% Others

By a 59-37 margin, voters approve of the ÖVP-FPÖ government.

https://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5580266/Sonntagsfrage_OeVP-voran-FPOe-verliert-SPOe-stabil

But the Vorarlberg murder happened on Feb. 6, so the FPÖ-bump might not be visible in this poll yet.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #39 on: February 16, 2019, 10:08:42 AM »

I received my postal ballot for the March 10 Salzburg municipal elections yesterday.

I voted straight-ticket SPÖ, for both mayor and city council.

The mayoral post as well the 25-member city council are in ÖVP control, based on the '14 elections though: ÖVP 13 seats, SPÖ 8 seats, 2 seats Greens, 2 seats FPÖ.

I assume that not a lot will change and that the ÖVP will easily hold both the mayor and city council.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #40 on: February 16, 2019, 02:21:25 PM »

2 female FPÖ-candidates for upcoming elections with migrant background are making headlines, one positively for the party and one negatively for the party:

Vesna Schuster, the FPÖ's frontrunner in Lower Austria for the EU elections, has been heavily attacked by a Green unionist (also with a Serb migration background). He literally called her a "dumb farmers bi*ch". The union which he belongs to demanded his resignation.

https://www.noen.at/st-poelten/ak-noe-distanziert-sich-gruener-kammerrat-beschimpftfp-abgeordnete-wilhelmsburg-vesna-schuster-samir-kesetovic-fpoe-beschimpfungen-136062666

Here in Salzburg on the other hand, Canan Brenner (FPÖ, Turkish migration background), is hunting for votes in the upcoming municipal election - also by sending out SMS and Whatsapp messages in Turkish. The FPÖ doesn't like this of course.

https://www.krone.at/1861624
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #41 on: February 17, 2019, 01:56:22 AM »

Here is how subgroups would vote right now, based on the new Research Affairs/Ö24 poll (the MoE among the subgroups is pretty high though, except for men and women):

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #42 on: February 20, 2019, 02:39:54 PM »

100 years ago, the first federal election took place in which women were able to vote.

Even today, only 37% of Austria's parliament MPs are women - so for the 100th anniversary of the occasion, the Austrian parliament was outfitted with 100% young women for a day:

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #43 on: February 20, 2019, 03:17:39 PM »

A new GMK/Bezirksblätter poll for the March 10 municipal elections here in Salzburg, specifically a poll for the City of Salzburg:

City council



Mayor (1st round)



Preuner (ÖVP) has only won the 2017 by-election runoff with about 50.2% of the vote, so a defeat could be possible based on these numbers.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #44 on: February 22, 2019, 01:51:52 PM »

The ÖVP-FPÖ coalition will get "their" first joint baby:



Johanna Jachs (ÖVP, 27) and Hannes Amesbauer (FPÖ, 37) are expecting their first child. They are both representatives in the Austrian Parliament.

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/erstes-tuerkis-blaues-koalitionsbaby-kommt-im-august-zur-welt/400414481
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #45 on: February 23, 2019, 12:08:36 AM »

Pamela Rendi-Wagner (SPÖ-leader) was a first-responder yesterday, when she was on a highway in Salzburg and a motorcycle accident happened in front of her:

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/salzburg-rendi-wagner-leistete-erste-hilfe-bei-verkehrsunfall/400414109

The driver was moderately injured and Rendi-Wagner helped him (she's a doctor) until the ambulance arrived.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #46 on: February 26, 2019, 12:44:07 AM »

Austrians strongly support mandatory vaccinations of children against such diseases like measles:

https://www.heute.at/life/gesundheit/story/Masern-Masern-Impfung-Impfen-Politik-Umfrage-Mehrheit-der--sterreicher-fuer-Impfpflicht-fuer-Kinder-41886458

Even though vaccinations are not mandatory, 77% support it while just 17% are opposed. The FPÖ-led Health Ministry has said that vaccinations will not be made mandatory for now, as the measles cases in Austria are still relatively low in the European context and the percentage of children with protection is high anyway, despite not being mandatory.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #47 on: March 02, 2019, 02:50:22 AM »

After the recent brutal murder of a welfare agency worker by an illegal asylum seeker in Dornbirn, FPÖ Interior Minister Kickl has brought up the idea of a "preventive imprisonment" for illegal asylum seekers or accepted asylum seekers with previous crimes:



https://orf.at/stories/3113584

This has been the topic of a very controversial debate here over the past week or so and for it to be passed, it would need a constitutional 2/3 majority.

While the more FPÖ-leaning Governor of Burgenland Doskozil (SPÖ) has come out in favour of this idea (with an expansion to Austrian citizens, if a psychologist for example has clear evidence for an impending crime), the federal SPÖ leadership and party leader Pamela Rendi-Wagner clarified that she's opposed to a general preventive imprisonment.

With the SPÖ, NEOS and NOW saying that they will not back it, ÖVP-FPÖ have no 2/3 majority in parliament to implement the measure (even the ÖVP Justice Minister, Education Minister, the head of the lawyer's union and the Church has come out against the measure).

Still, a poll out today shows that 69% of Austrians would support such a preventive imprisonment of asylum seekers and only 22% opposed.

90% of ÖVP-voters would support it and 86% of FPÖ-voters. Even SPÖ-voters support it by a 56-34 margin.

https://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20190302_OTS0002/profil-umfrage-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-haelt-sicherungshaft-fuer-ueberlegenswert
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #48 on: March 02, 2019, 03:16:26 AM »

The Austrian population on Jan. 1, 2019 was 8.86 million and increased by 38.000 persons or about 0.4% compared with the year earlier. It mostly increased in the big cities and suburbs.

The number of people with a foreign citizenship increased to 16.2% (up from 15.8%) and the share with a migrant background to 25%.

There were 9.450 naturalisations last year. Despite that, the number of Austrian citizens still decreased by 6.000 people overall, while the number of foreigners increased by 44.000 people. Of the increase of 44.000, about 37.000 came from EU-foreigners while non-EU foreigners went up by about 7.000 people.

The foreign citizenships with the highest numerical increases were Romanians (+11.000), followed by Germans and Hungarians (+6.000 each).

There were 85.100 births in Austria last year (-2.9%) and 82.800 deaths (-0.5%) and therefore a natural increase of 2.300 people.

It remains to be seen if the drop in the birth numbers will continue or not, because 2019 will see generous tax benefits for families with kids. Maybe some couples delayed having kids to this year to cash in on the benefits.

The infant mortality rate dropped to 2.5/1000 births, a new record low.

There were also 45.500 marriages (+1.1%) and 450 civil unions (-15%). The sharp drop could be explained by many couples waiting for 2019 to marry (gay marriage became legal this year).

http://www.statistik.at/web_de/presse/120257.html

http://www.statistik.at/web_de/presse/120329.html

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #49 on: March 02, 2019, 03:34:17 AM »

The Austrian economy increased by 2.7% in real terms last year, the best performance since 2011 and among the best results in the EU (excl. Eastern Europe of course).



https://derstandard.at/2000098748016/Oesterreichische-Wirtschaft-2018-real-um-2-7-Prozent-gewachsen

Still, the unemployment rate only dropped to 4.8% last year, because of the many EU-foreigners streaming into the country and into the labour market. A growth rate like 2.7% would usually lead to a much lower unemployment rate, but Austrian companies these days seem to only hire foreigners instead of Austrian unemployed.

A new study in the "Standard" shows that of all new jobs created since 2008, some 90% (!) went to foreigners.

Of the more than 450.000 new jobs in the past 10 years, about 373.000 went to foreigners.

At the same time, about 300.000 Austrian citizens are without jobs ... which is sad. Our companies should increase their efforts to hire local people, even if it means training them for a while, instead of just opting for foreign employees.

https://derstandard.at/2000098838418/Der-Jobboom-ist-auslaendisch-Wie-Migration-den-Arbeitsmarkt-umkrempelt
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