Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Sept. 29 federal election ?
#1
ÖVP
 
#2
SPÖ
 
#3
FPÖ
 
#4
NEOS
 
#5
NOW
 
#6
Greens
 
#7
KPÖ
 
#8
Change
 
#9
A regional party
 
#10
Invalid/Blank
 
#11
I wouldn't vote
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 110

Author Topic: Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)  (Read 141954 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #100 on: March 16, 2019, 02:22:09 AM »

New "Profil" magazine poll:

34% ÖVP
25% SPÖ
24% FPÖ
  8% NEOS
  5% Greens
  2% NOW
  2% Others

Chancellor vote:

40% Sebastian Kurz (ÖVP-Inc.)
15% Pamela Rendi-Wagner (SPÖ)
13% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ)
  4% Beate Meinl-Reisinger (NEOS)

"What is your opinion about the student strikes against climate change ?"

57% justified
40% not justified

https://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20190316_OTS0001/profil-umfrage-kanzlerfrage-kurz-zieht-davon
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #101 on: March 16, 2019, 10:09:21 AM »

Turns out my precinct had a 60% majority for SPÖ+Greens in the mayoral vote last Sunday and would have elected the SPÖ candidate as mayor already in Round 1 with 53%, unlike the city as a whole where a runoff will be held next Sunday. My precinct was 12% more SPÖ than the city as a whole.

My precinct also had twice the support for the SPÖ as the district or state (where the SPÖ only got some 26-27%).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #102 on: March 23, 2019, 12:20:16 AM »

Government study: Austria’s Muslims more than twice as likely as non-Muslims to hold anti-Semitic views

Quote
Austria’s Muslim residents are more than twice as likely as non-Muslims to endorse anti-Semitic statements, according to a survey commissioned by the Austrian government.

Arab respondents, who made up half of the Muslim group, were slightly more likely than Turks, who made up the other half, to agree with the statements.

Wolfgang Sobotka, president of the lower house of the Austrian parliament, presented the results of the “Anti-Semitism in Austria 2018″ study in Vienna last week. It surveyed 2,731 respondents older than 16 including 604 Muslims.



* Ten percent of non-Muslims agreed with the statement that “a lot is exaggerated in news about concentration camps” from the Holocaust. That figure was 41 percent among Turks and 35 among Arabs.

* Asked to react to the statement that “Jews control international commerce,” 39 percent of non-Muslims concurred. The figures were 63 and 64 percent among the Turkish and Arab groups.

* Asked whether they agree with a statement blaming anti-Semitic persecution of Jews on their own behavior, 19 percent of non-Muslims agreed. In the Muslim group, 45 percent of the respondents endorsed the statement.

* In the Turkish group, 28 percent agreed that “Jews still need to answer for the murder of Jesus.” The figure was 17 among Arabs and 13 among non-Muslims in the study.

European governments rarely commission such aggregated surveys, which some perceive as discriminatory and which are illegal in some European states.

Karoline Edtstadler, state secretary in the Ministry of the Interior, said in a statement about the report: “We will focus anti-racism efforts on immigrant children,” the TRT Turkish news agency reported Tuesday.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/austrias-muslims-twice-as-likely-as-non-muslims-to-hold-anti-semitic-views
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #103 on: March 23, 2019, 12:26:27 AM »

A new Research Affairs poll has the FPÖ overtaking the SPÖ for 2nd:



https://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Hammer-Umfrage-FPOe-ueberholt-SPOe/372845510
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,173
Austria


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« Reply #104 on: March 23, 2019, 01:12:39 PM »

Turns out my precinct had a 60% majority for SPÖ+Greens in the mayoral vote last Sunday and would have elected the SPÖ candidate as mayor already in Round 1 with 53%, unlike the city as a whole where a runoff will be held next Sunday. My precinct was 12% more SPÖ than the city as a whole.

My precinct also had twice the support for the SPÖ as the district or state (where the SPÖ only got some 26-27%).

Tomorrow:

Mayoral runoff here in Zell am See (SPÖ could take the mayor from the ÖVP, after SPÖ+Greens already got the majority back from ÖVP+FPÖ in the city council). This would end 10 years of ÖVP government here. I still expect it to be close though, the ÖVP usually does better with mobilizing their voters.

Mayoral runoffs also in the capital Salzburg City and 9 other big cities.
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #105 on: March 23, 2019, 01:13:40 PM »

Government study: Austria’s Muslims more than twice as likely as non-Muslims to hold anti-Semitic views

Quote
Austria’s Muslim residents are more than twice as likely as non-Muslims to endorse anti-Semitic statements, according to a survey commissioned by the Austrian government.

Arab respondents, who made up half of the Muslim group, were slightly more likely than Turks, who made up the other half, to agree with the statements.

Wolfgang Sobotka, president of the lower house of the Austrian parliament, presented the results of the “Anti-Semitism in Austria 2018″ study in Vienna last week. It surveyed 2,731 respondents older than 16 including 604 Muslims.



* Ten percent of non-Muslims agreed with the statement that “a lot is exaggerated in news about concentration camps” from the Holocaust. That figure was 41 percent among Turks and 35 among Arabs.

* Asked to react to the statement that “Jews control international commerce,” 39 percent of non-Muslims concurred. The figures were 63 and 64 percent among the Turkish and Arab groups.

* Asked whether they agree with a statement blaming anti-Semitic persecution of Jews on their own behavior, 19 percent of non-Muslims agreed. In the Muslim group, 45 percent of the respondents endorsed the statement.

* In the Turkish group, 28 percent agreed that “Jews still need to answer for the murder of Jesus.” The figure was 17 among Arabs and 13 among non-Muslims in the study.

European governments rarely commission such aggregated surveys, which some perceive as discriminatory and which are illegal in some European states.

Karoline Edtstadler, state secretary in the Ministry of the Interior, said in a statement about the report: “We will focus anti-racism efforts on immigrant children,” the TRT Turkish news agency reported Tuesday.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/austrias-muslims-twice-as-likely-as-non-muslims-to-hold-anti-semitic-views

Quelle surprise.
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #106 on: March 23, 2019, 01:14:16 PM »


Any explanation for this development?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #107 on: March 23, 2019, 01:18:14 PM »


Probably margin of error movement.

But on the other hand, the FPÖ has been quite disciplined in recent months - while the SPÖ is still struggling from internal divisions/intrigues from the Kern-era. Just recently, the more right-wing new Governor of Burgenland and Defense Minister under Kern, Doskozil, said he's with the ÖVP-FPÖ government to introduce a preventive imprisonment for criminal asylum seekers so that they cannot commit additional heavy crimes. SPÖ-leader Pamela Rendi-Wagner then had to back-pedal and to clarify that the SPÖ does not support this measure.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #108 on: March 24, 2019, 03:30:56 AM »

A new SORA state election poll for Vorarlberg (votes in September) confirms that Vorarlberg is Austria's Utah (SORA is also Austria's "exit" pollster for the public ORF TV):

45% ÖVP (+3% compared with the 2014 state election)
21% FPÖ (-2%)
13% Greens (-4%)
11% NEOS (+4%)
  9% SPÖ (n.c.)
  1% Others (-1%)

EU election in Vorarlberg:

43% ÖVP (+15%)
20% FPÖ (+3%)
14% SPÖ (+3%)
12% Greens (-11%)
10% NEOS (-5%)
  1% NOW (+1%)
  0% Others (-6%)

Vorarlberg has a ÖVP-Green government.

Voters approve of the ÖVP-Green government by a 77-18 margin.

Voters think the state is on the right track by a 72-20 margin.

Voters disapprove of the federal ÖVP-FPÖ government by a 30-65 margin (!).

https://www.vol.at/umfrage-zur-landtagswahl-2019-das-rennen-um-platz/6140227
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #109 on: March 24, 2019, 09:42:45 AM »

Turns out my precinct had a 60% majority for SPÖ+Greens in the mayoral vote last Sunday and would have elected the SPÖ candidate as mayor already in Round 1 with 53%, unlike the city as a whole where a runoff will be held next Sunday. My precinct was 12% more SPÖ than the city as a whole.

My precinct also had twice the support for the SPÖ as the district or state (where the SPÖ only got some 26-27%).

Tomorrow:

Mayoral runoff here in Zell am See (SPÖ could take the mayor from the ÖVP, after SPÖ+Greens already got the majority back from ÖVP+FPÖ in the city council). This would end 10 years of ÖVP government here. I still expect it to be close though, the ÖVP usually does better with mobilizing their voters.

Mayoral runoffs also in the capital Salzburg City and 9 other big cities.

Polls are now closing for the 11 mayoral runoffs.

45% of eligible voters in the state can vote again today, despite only 11/119 cities having runoffs. That's mostly because big cities are having the runoffs.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


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« Reply #110 on: March 24, 2019, 09:59:38 AM »

HUGE upset in the city of Straßwalchen (SPÖ pickup from ÖVP):

Tanja Kreer (SPÖ) defeats Liselotte Winklhofer (LIS, ex-ÖVP) by a margin of 58.7-41.3, despite the ÖVP endorsing Winklhofer's independent candidacy. In the first round, the ÖVP candidate + Winklhofer got 56% combined.



The city has been a ÖVP-stronghold so far (the ÖVP mayor got elected in 2004 and 2009 with 67% of the vote each and in 2014 with 61%).

Also: First mayor for the SPÖ in that city since WW2.

https://www.salzburg.gv.at/stat/wahlen/bmw/index2019.html#erg.116.1.0.0
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #111 on: March 24, 2019, 10:09:09 AM »

Polls here in Zell am See have closed now.

I'm more and more confident that the ÖVP-mayor could be defeated ... we'll see in ca. 30 minutes.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #112 on: March 24, 2019, 10:41:40 AM »

With 100% of the votes counted in Salzburg City (the capital), the incumbent mayor Harald Preuner (ÖVP) has defeated SPÖ-candidate Bernhard Auinger by a 56-44 margin.

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #113 on: March 24, 2019, 11:16:50 AM »

Polls here in Zell am See have closed now.

I'm more and more confident that the ÖVP-mayor could be defeated ... we'll see in ca. 30 minutes.

BOOM !

Incumbent ÖVP-mayor Peter Padourek has been defeated by a huge margin.

The new mayor of Zell am See is Andreas Wimmreuter (SPÖ), who won by a 58-42 margin (First round was 46% ÖVP, 41% SPÖ, 13% Greens).



https://www.salzburg.gv.at/stat/wahlen/bmw/index2019.html#erg.137.1.0.0
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #114 on: March 24, 2019, 11:21:48 AM »

The SPÖ has also picked up Hallein (the 2nd largest city in the state) from the ÖVP, with Alexander Stangassinger defeating Maximilian Klappacher by a 56-44 margin.

The SPÖ also picked up Mattsee from the ÖVP ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #115 on: March 24, 2019, 11:32:09 AM »

Not a bad result today for the SPÖ, except for the capital.

And here in the district of Zell am See, the overall results for the SPÖ are even better:

The SPÖ gained 2% in the combined municipal council vote and gained 2 mayors (with the biggest prize being the mayor of Zell am See city and the city council there, which has been under ÖVP control for 10 years now).

It seems the excessive tourism, the high rent/apartment costs, the exploding secondary residency permits for foreign wealthy tourists and the traffic situation did the ÖVP in.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #116 on: March 24, 2019, 01:04:21 PM »

In Oberndorf, the SPÖ candidate Georg Djundja has defeated the ÖVP candidate Sabine Mayrhofer by 56-44 and will become the first directly elected openly gay mayor in Salzburg.





Oberndorf is famous with tourists for the "Silent Night" chapel (in the background), where the Christmas song originates.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #117 on: March 25, 2019, 07:14:45 PM »

In Oberndorf, the SPÖ candidate Georg Djundja has defeated the ÖVP candidate Sabine Mayrhofer by 56-44 and will become the first directly elected openly gay mayor in Salzburg.



At first I thought it's Bushie with his Black "children" and without his pedo staches.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #118 on: March 28, 2019, 03:12:02 AM »

For the first time since 1974, Austria had a budget surplus in 2018:

http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/120562.html

That's according to the Maastricht definition, which includes the federal government budget, the state, the municipal and social insurance budgets.

Debt as a % of GDP dropped by more than 4% to 73.8% last year.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #119 on: March 28, 2019, 01:20:28 PM »

For the first time since 1974, Austria had a budget surplus in 2018:

http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/120562.html

That's according to the Maastricht definition, which includes the federal government budget, the state, the municipal and social insurance budgets.

Debt as a % of GDP dropped by more than 4% to 73.8% last year.

If Jan. 2019 is an indicator, the budget situation in 2019 will be even better:

In January, Bavaria paid back 1.3 billion € to Austria for the bad bank HETA and income + VAT tax revenues are also up by 6%.

It seems 2019 could see a budget surplus of 1% of GDP, far more than ÖVP-FPÖ are planning.

Debt will very likely drop to below 70% of GDP again and below 60% by 2022.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #120 on: March 30, 2019, 06:29:34 AM »

How Austria's big cities are currently being governed (latest mayor and city council results):



Pretty much an SPÖVP thing, but the Greens won Innsbruck recently and the FPÖ is in charge of the medium-sized city of Wels.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #121 on: April 01, 2019, 01:48:38 PM »

As I have posted elsewhere already (in the Christchurch attack thread), the FPÖ is in a bit of trouble recently:

The National Security Council will meet tonight, initiated by the SPÖ and Now. ÖVP+FPÖ have to explain to them the connections and investigation details/updates of the New Zealand terrorist to the far-right Identitarians. The Identitarians are a "talent agency" for the FPÖ and many of their members are recruited by the FPÖ.



Martin Sellner, their leader, is one of the most influential right-wing extremists in Europe and has previously said that he only received a 1.500€ donation from the NZ terrorist and there were no further talks between them. But in a NYT interview, Sellner recently said that "there might have been a few emails back and forth between them and that he forwarded Tarrant's email to his huge follower base."

State prosecution have raided Sellner's apartment recently and seized his IT hardware for examination and launched an effort to dissolve the Identitarians.

Over the weekend it also turned out that the FPÖ and the Identitarians share a villa in Linz as office space.

Also, many western intelligence services are now very reluctant to share their data with the Kickl-FPÖ-Interior Ministry because of this stuff and want to forward their data directly to Chancellor Kurz instead.



https://derstandard.at/2000100581625/Pruefung-der-Aufloesung-von-Identitaeren-laeuft
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #122 on: April 01, 2019, 02:12:48 PM »

Liberal NEOS-leader Beate Meinl-Reisinger has given birth to a baby girl over the weekend:

 

She's the 2nd party leader (together with FPÖ-Strache) to get a child in the last few months and the 3rd (incl. cabinet members) over the past year.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #123 on: April 02, 2019, 10:49:29 AM »

IFES/Demox poll:

„I would be strongly/somewhat annoyed if the following groups of people were my neighbors.“



LOL @ the fact that 1% of Austrians are annoyed to have Austrians as their neighbors.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #124 on: April 03, 2019, 11:56:37 AM »

  Tender, I wonder where other eastern Europeans would fit in the poll, like Czechs, Hungarians and Poles. Probably in the high single digits?
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