Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)

[crals]

If there is no OVP-NEOS majority what is the most likely coalition? Any chance NOW run together with the Greens?

[Tender Branson]

If there is no OVP-NEOS majority what is the most likely coalition? Any chance NOW run together with the Greens?

If ÖVP-NEOS or ÖVP-Greens is not possible (and this will likely be the case), ÖVP-Greens-NEOS will happen.

The 3 parties are already signalling their intention for a common government, without openly saying so.

And yeah, the Greens might integrate some of NOW's members on their election list, without actually merging ahead of the election. Peter Pilz himself will certainly not be part of the Green list. Too deep are the personal frictions between him and his former party and the Greens certainly do not want a disturbing force like him ahead of the election.

[Tender Branson]

New "Profil" magazine poll:

"Do you want Strache to make a comeback in politics after some time ?"

68% No
22% Yes

FPÖ-voters:

67% Yes
28% No

https://www.profil.at/oesterreich/umfrage-polit-comeback-strache-ibiza-10809714

[Tender Branson]

Another new poll today (Unique Research for the "Krone"), same story:

ÖVP gaining, Greens gaining, NEOS gaining. SPÖ losing a lot, FPÖ losing a lot. NOW losing a lot.

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1134824882682966021

[Walmart_shopper]

If there is no OVP-NEOS majority what is the most likely coalition? Any chance NOW run together with the Greens?

If ÖVP-NEOS or ÖVP-Greens is not possible (and this will likely be the case), ÖVP-Greens-NEOS will happen.

The 3 parties are already signalling their intention for a common government, without openly saying so.

And yeah, the Greens might integrate some of NOW's members on their election list, without actually merging ahead of the election. Peter Pilz himself will certainly not be part of the Green list. Too deep are the personal frictions between him and his former party and the Greens certainly do not want a disturbing force like him ahead of the election.

What would a government like that even look like, policy-wise? OVP and Greens don't really share anything meaningful in common, do they? And even NEOS would tightly restrict Kurz's move of the OVP to the right.

[Tender Branson]

If there is no OVP-NEOS majority what is the most likely coalition? Any chance NOW run together with the Greens?

If ÖVP-NEOS or ÖVP-Greens is not possible (and this will likely be the case), ÖVP-Greens-NEOS will happen.

The 3 parties are already signalling their intention for a common government, without openly saying so.

And yeah, the Greens might integrate some of NOW's members on their election list, without actually merging ahead of the election. Peter Pilz himself will certainly not be part of the Green list. Too deep are the personal frictions between him and his former party and the Greens certainly do not want a disturbing force like him ahead of the election.

What would a government like that even look like, policy-wise? OVP and Greens don't really share anything meaningful in common, do they? And even NEOS would tightly restrict Kurz's move of the OVP to the right.

We will see a much different Kurz after the election: Once he has won the election with ca. 35-40% and NEOS/Greens with about 8% each, he will say "Immigration is not the main issue any longer and the policies I implemented with the FPÖ over the past 2 years have been enough to decrease new asylum requests to a much lower level and we can focus on the future now under a strengthened and dominating ÖVP".

And such a coalition would probably be quite popular too (see Salzburg here), because voters don't see it as polarizing as ÖVP-FPÖ.

In other words: Kurz will move so much to the center before and after the election to court the NEOS and Greens that they will most likely say yes to such a coalition. Kurz's conservative policies were only possible with a willing FPÖ. Under the new government, the focus will shift away from immigration and more to the economy, education, transparency and of course ecological issues such as climate protection.

[Tender Branson]

Another new poll (OGM, for the "Kurier" and "Kleine Zeitung"):

[Tender Branson]

With all 12 expected new interim cabinet members now named by the media (not officially confirmed yet), it has quite an ÖVP-lean - followed by the SPÖ and FPÖ.

Also, 6 women and 6 men.

Small change: Ratz will not remain as Interior Minister after all.

According to the "Krone", the cabinet will be sworn into office tomorrow at 11am by VdB.

ÖVP-affiliated or appointed to their previous posts under ÖVP-leadership:

* Chancellor: Brigitte Bierlein
* Foreign & EU Minister: Alexander Schallenberg
* Interior Minister: Wolfgang Peschorn
* Finance Minister: Eduard Müller
* Education Minister: Iris Rauskala
* Economy Minister: Elisabeth Udolf-Strobl
* Agriculture & Environment Minister: Maria Patek

SPÖ-affiliated or appointed to their previous posts under SPÖ-leadership:

* Vice-Chancellor & Minister for Justice: Clemens Jabloner
* Social Minister: Brigitte Zarfl
* Defense Minister: Thomas Starlinger
* Women, Families & Youth Minister: Ines Stilling

FPÖ-affiliated or appointed to their previous posts under FPÖ-leadership:

* Transport & Infrastructure Minister: Andreas Reichhardt

[Tender Branson]

The FPÖ now has a problem with the likely new Interior Minister Andreas Pilsl, calling him „an ÖVP-man from the old black power circles“.

https://orf.at/stories/3125393

That‘s the 2nd guy they are complaining about, after the current Kurz-appointed minister Eckart Ratz has rolled back several of former FPÖ-minister Kickl‘s policies ...

Looks like the swearing-in tomorrow could be postponed ...

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Elisabeth Udolf to become new Minister for the Economy:

So far, there's gender parity in the new cabinet: 3 women and 3 men.

Note to copyright-enforcer Kalwejt: This is a free license, I checked on Flickr.

And the pictures above are my work.

Not so fast...

https://www.flickr.com/photos/arselectronica/36350545743
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/

You are free to:

Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format

The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.

Under the following terms:

Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.

NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.

NoDerivatives — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you may not distribute the modified material.

Appropriate credit:
https://wiki.creativecommons.org/wiki/License_Versions#Detailed_attribution_comparison_chart

If supplied, you must provide the name of the creator and attribution parties, a copyright notice, a license notice, a disclaimer notice, and a link to the material. CC licenses prior to Version 4.0 also require you to provide the title of the material if supplied, and may have other slight differences.

Follow the rules, and show some respect to other's hard work!

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Thank you for catching this, Russian Bear.

Tender, please add the proper credit and be more careful next time.

[Tender Branson]

The FPÖ now has a problem with the likely new Interior Minister Andreas Pilsl, calling him „an ÖVP-man from the old black power circles“.

https://orf.at/stories/3125393

That‘s the 2nd guy they are complaining about, after the current Kurz-appointed minister Eckart Ratz has rolled back several of former FPÖ-minister Kickl‘s policies ...

Looks like the swearing-in tomorrow could be postponed ...

So, Pilsl will not become Interior Minister ...

Wolfgang Peschorn will.

Cabinet now complete, according to the APA.

https://orf.at/stories/3125412

https://derstandard.at/2000104218071/Bierlein-Neue-Regierung-ist-komplett-Wolfgang-Peschorn-Innenminister

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Since you've failed to modify the post when asked, I've moderated it.

[Tender Branson]

Here is the complete new technocratic interim government of Chancellor Brigitte Bierlein, which President Alexander Van der Bellen will swear in tomorrow at 11am.

This is the first time in ca. 250 years that Austria will get a female leader (after Empress Maria Theresia).

For the first time, a cabinet will have gender parity (the previous record was 40% women in the government of Chancellor Gusenbauer).


Note: Tender, what the hell did you expect will happen when you post an image with a clear (C) note?

[Tender Branson]

Note: Tender, what the hell did you expect will happen when you post an image with a clear (C) note?

It's an infographic from the APA. Everyone posts these kinds of graphics. Stop acting like copyright-Nazis, please.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Note: Tender, what the hell did you expect will happen when you post an image with a clear (C) note?

It's an infographic from the APA. Everyone posts these kinds of graphics. Stop acting like copyright-Nazis, please.

Doesn't matter what "everyone does", since Dave's been very clear on the issue. You're not the only one to whom it's being applied.

And as a former mod you should know that modyfing a moderated post back to its previous state is a giant no-no. 

[Omega21]

Note: Tender, what the hell did you expect will happen when you post an image with a clear (C) note?

It's an infographic from the APA. Everyone posts these kinds of graphics. Stop acting like copyright-Nazis, please.

Doesn't matter what "everyone does", since Dave's been very clear on the issue. You're not the only one to whom it's being applied.

And as a former mod you should know that modyfing a moderated post back to its previous state is a giant no-no. 

Rechteinfo Nur für redaktionelle Nutzung! - Editorial Use Only!
Werbliche Nutzung nur nach Freigabe!

"The Editorial Use Only license means that the image cannot be used for commercial advertising purposes. An Editorial Use Only image can be used: In a newspaper or magazine article. On a blog or website for descriptive purposes. In a non-commercial presentation."

Source/Credit:

https://www.picturedesk.com/bild-disp/apa/de/home.html

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

I'd like to take this opportunity to reiterate what I've been saying for some time.

Sure, it may not seem like such a big deal, but Dave had to deal with some claims, that could've very well ended up in litigation (I myself was surprised it came to this), so his desire to be as careful with this thing as possible is perfectly logical. I can't rule out the situation in which Dave would rather shut down this forum than allow legally problematic actions by some posters to potentially put the work of his life, the Atlas, in any jeopardy.

I really hate to deal with this mess, having to check numerous pictures, react to numerous reports and so on, but I'd rather be a hardass about this than let Dave down.

So, please, do what Omega21 just did, include the proper attribution. And if you can't do this, don't include images.

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, yeah ... will do that in the future (even if highly annoying).

Anyway, the Cabinet Brigitte Bierlein I was sworn in today and here are pictures of it:

Link (APA)

Link (Office of the President)

Chancellor Bierlein delivering her declaration of government:



Source: APA/Fohringer

[Tender Branson]

Chancellor Bierlein is in office for just a few hours now, but the sexism has already started:

If you type in her name in Google, what does appear ?

* Bierlein face
* Bierlein botox
* Bierlein lifting
* Bierlein surgery
* Bierlein wig

She's not the youngest anymore for sure, but that's disgusting ...

[Tender Branson]

Just watched the swearing-in ceremony and her first speech of government and here are some important things:

* Van der Bellen said: "No doubt about it, I'm very happy that today, the first female Chancellor takes office and that half of the cabinet are women. In the future, nobody can say anymore IT IS NOT POSSIBLE, because it is possible."

* Bierlein also mentioned the young women of Austria to get active and not hide their ideas they have in the economy etc. and take part in politics and she said she wants a tolerant, open Austria in the EU and worldwide. She also said "This government will serve you, the people, as best as possible."

* The first cabinet council meeting will be on Wednesday and it will likely be about the election date and mediation between what date the different parties want.

* The next meeting of parliament will be on June 12, so that the new cabinet can introduce themselves to MPs by delivering speeches. It is likely that the election date can be passed then as well.

https://orf.at/stories/3125543

[Tender Branson]

Today, a meeting of major party officials took place to discuss the election date (LOL, not even on this topic they can agree).

It's becoming clearer and clearer that the federal election will take place on September 29. This is the date that SPÖ+FPÖ want and they have a majority in parliament. The ÖVP wants to vote as early as September 1, but this is still holiday season.

I think that SPÖ+FPÖ will pass this date next week in parliament.

Which means that the regular 5-year Vorarlberg state election will be held a week earlier, on September 22, because Governor Markus Wallner doesn't want to vote together with the federal election.

https://derstandard.at/2000104333839/SPOe-und-FPOe-beharren-laut-OeVP-auf-dem-29-September

[LoneStarDem]

What just happened ?

[Tender Branson]

What just happened ?

?

[LoneStarDem]

What just happened ?

?

I was referring to what did Strache & Kurz do to get tossed from office ?