Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)

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Kurz's press statement at 7.45pm

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Kurz cancels the ÖVP-FPÖ-coalition.
So there is a snap election.

President Van der Bellen plans to speak at 8.35pm.

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Kurz: "enough is enough"

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Also the current Landeshauptmann of the Burgenland, Doskozil (SPÖ), calls for a snap election. 
Actual there is a SPÖ-FPÖ-coalition.

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First opinion poll after the ibiza affair:

Research Affairs for TZ Österreich:

ÖVP: 38% (+4)
SPÖ: 26% (+1)
FPÖ: 18% (-5)
NEOS: 9% (+1)
GRÜNE: 5%
JETZT: 2%
Others: 2% (-1)

+/- compared to the poll released last week

[Keep Calm and ...]

First opinion poll after the ibiza affair:

Research Affairs for TZ Österreich:

ÖVP: 38% (+4)
SPÖ: 26% (+1)
FPÖ: 18% (-5)
NEOS: 9% (+1)
GRÜNE: 5%
JETZT: 2%
Others: 2% (-1)

+/- compared to the poll released last week

Sure that that poll was not taken at least partly before the Ibiza affair? If not, FPÖ voters seem to be very loyal...

Yes, I'm sure.

survey period:
May 18-20

oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/1-Umfrage-FPOe-stuerzt-brutal-ab/380879718

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Snap election in Burgenland: 26th January 2020

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First opinion poll after the ibiza affair:

Research Affairs for TZ Österreich:

ÖVP: 38% (+4)
SPÖ: 26% (+1)
FPÖ: 18% (-5)
NEOS: 9% (+1)
GRÜNE: 5%
JETZT: 2%
Others: 2% (-1)

+/- compared to the poll released last week

Sure that that poll was not taken at least partly before the Ibiza affair? If not, FPÖ voters seem to be very loyal...

Yes, I'm sure.

survey period:
May 18-20

oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/1-Umfrage-FPOe-stuerzt-brutal-ab/380879718

You'd probably see a sharper drop in raw numbers.

Snap election in Burgenland: 26th January 2020

Takes the snap out of "snap election", doesn't it? Why such a long time on life support?

Ok. It' not really "snap". Better I call it "early election"?

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He said, that he choose this later date because he don't want that the "dirty campain" of the general election have an impact on the election campain for the Burgenland election.

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Peter Pilz (Jetzt/Now) already announced a no-confidence vote.

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As it was outlined by Kurz himself on Saturday, this was more of "the straw that broke the camel's back" moment for the FPÖ. Nevertheless, I'm still astonished at the speed this government is self-destructing now. Unless they reform radically and quickly the FPÖ will probably barred from power for quite some time now, and as far as the ÖVP is concerned it's still somewhat unclear whether they will mainly benefit from this or whether they will be consumed by it as well.

There's no reason why they would suffer, they bear no responsibility for something someone not in their party did before he held any Government office.

Btw. do you have 2 profiles now? I remember seeing the same name just on a newer profile

Sorry, that's me.
I'm new here. Since I was reading for a long time I created a profil last year. Actually I want to choose a unique name and don't want to confuse anybody.
Now I renamed my display name and created a signature to make it clearer that Ye Olde Europe and me are two different Users.

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She never said that.

https://www.tagesschau.de/faktenfinder/inland/kampagnen-roth-101.html
https://www.bz-berlin.de/deutschland/ich-muss-mich-nicht-distanzieren-nur-weil-die-afd-das-will

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The logo of Die Bierpartei looks like the former Logo of the german FDP (they used this logo between 2001 and 2013 and a very similar one till 2015)


Source: public domain
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Freie_Demokratische_Partei_%28Logo,_2001-2013%29.svg

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New OGM federal election poll for the battleground state of Styria:

Have there been other similar state-based polls for the federal election recently?

Not individual ones like this.

But the weekly Ö24 polls usually have small sub-samples of 100-200 people for each state.

These sub-samples are listet here.

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It's not that bad when you add some of 8+9

https://twitter.com/Wahlen_AT/status/1172817945812230145

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Polls close 5pm (11am EST) ?

Yes. The last ones.

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ORF2 TV coverage starts at 4:00pm

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Ö24 exit poll should come in ca. 10 minutes, 15 minutes before polls close ...

Isn't that illegal?

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Ö24 exit poll should come in ca. 10 minutes, 15 minutes before polls close ...

Isn't that illegal?

No, it only applies to specific election results being released early.

Their exit poll might not even be an exit poll, but some online survey conducted today or the last few days ...

Thanks

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They finished counting:

https://wahl19.bmi.gv.at

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The FPÖ has just voted to deny Philippa Strache a seat in parliament.

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/kein-nationalrats-mandat-fuer-philippa-strache/400640495

In recent days, more and more important people in the FPÖ said they wanted a complete reset for the party and that’s only possible without the Straches.

It seems to be very complicated.

https://orf.at/stories/3140140/

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Exit Poll

SORA / ORF

ÖVP: 43.8% (+2.0), 17 seats(+1)
GRÜNE: 18.9% (+1., 7 (+1)
FPÖ: 16.1% (-7.3), 6 (-3)
SPÖ: 9.1% (+0.3), 3 (+-0)
NEOS: 8.6% (+1.7), 3 (+1)
others: 3.5% (+1.5)

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FPÖ: 15% in the second "Hochrechnung" by SORA/ORF

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The Greens have presented their new parliamentary group today to the public, in their first common work meeting:

https://twitter.com/Gruene_Austria/status/1183718667202318342
They said that out of the 26, more than 25% have a migrant background.

15 are women (+1 female Pirate on a Green ticket is missing in the picture).

Half are under the age of 40.

For all I know, the female Pirate, Maria Chlastak, didn't get a seat.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRT8PcJJWylJtV5I2ZSmqK1vq3qO_Rz56YGTNHWIvg2HE2nynSSr-m8VfnuRcpRo4Aj1crhf6kC7k7q/pubhtml?gid=742032622#

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Graz results:
http://wahl19.graz.at/ergebnisse/lt60101.html

Graz results NRW 2019
https://egov.stmk.gv.at/wahlen/NR2019/NR2019_60100.html