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| |-+  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  How would this improved Illinois D gerrymander go this decade?
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Author Topic: How would this improved Illinois D gerrymander go this decade?  (Read 496 times)
YaBB God
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« on: January 02, 2019, 06:19:27 pm »


Just made a practice DRA map using Downstate Illinois. Basically keep Chicagoland similar I think Dold might have survived 2016 with this map but he was obviously doomed in 2018 no matter what.

Anyway the 6 districts

12th aka the current 17th. Bustos obviously runs here. I removed Peoria and also some of the SW parts which swung massively towards Trump( for example I thought fulton would have been good for her as it was +20 Obama in 08 but it turns out trump won it by 15 so I removed it) Also added a small tendril into lake county to give the district a D trending part.
59 39 Obama Mccain

13th-Aka the current 16th and Kinzinger obviously runs here.
An R sink district taking some really far exurbs of Chicago land and mostly northern Illlinois rural counties and suburbs of cities in Northern Illinois such as Peoria
Obama 53 -Mccain 45. Im assuming Trump won it by 25ish so its basically Safe R although the most competetive of the R sinks

il 14th- Another D district.Basically the new 13th IMO. It tries to combine every central Illinois city and college town
Connected by a string of rural precints the major R trending areas are Danville and Decatur but that is countered by the college towns of Bloomington and Champaign. Also Peoria is in this district .
Obama Mcain 58 40.

Il 16th or the new 18th. Davis and Lahood would both fight over this district. An impressive Mccain number of 43 55 O-M
Il 17th or Rural Southern Illinois. Has a couple of Obama areas near the west but other than Gallatin county which after Trump is super republican the entire district is incredibly republican at 42 56 Obama Mccain

Il 18th- Metro East. It is trending R quite fast even if it is quite urban. Takes in East St louis and other Illinois St louis burbs. Also reaches Cairo as a lot of it is African American along with Jackson county which is another college town known for the fact it is one of the few Nixon Mcgovern counties in the country.
Obama 59-Mcain 39.

So overall how would this map have gone for this decade. Bustos obviously wins every year and the 3 GOP reps also obviously win but how do the 18th and 14th go?
YaBB God
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« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2019, 06:50:27 pm »

Too many tentacles.
YaBB God
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« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2019, 10:37:56 pm »

Don't forget that the current map was drawn in large part by the DCCC to maximize their chances in 2012 when Obama was at the top of the ticket.

Don't troll and drive!
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