KY-GOV: Bevin reportedly considering withdrawing

[SnowLabrador]

Here is my source: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/1/2/1823052/-Kentucky-Republicans-wonder-if-unpopular-governor-will-pull-plug-on-re-election-bid

Personally, I don't believe it. I think he's still going to run and win.

[Zaybay]

I am shocked, shocked I tell you, that one of America's most unpopular governors might be withdrawing from a reelection. I mean, what reason would he have to withdraw? What does one of America's most unpopular governors see as threatening to his reelection chances?

[😥]

I don't believe it, but this is very logical that one of the most unpopular US governors will retire

[Lechasseur]

I don't believe it, but this is very logical that one of the most unpopular US governors will retire

[Continential]

He’s running for the 2020 senate seat if he withdraws because he and McConnell had a feud with each other since 2013

[Skye]

He’s running for the 2020 senate seat if he withdraws because he and McConnell had a feud with each other since 2013

And lose to McConnell again?

His internal poll numbers must be terrible.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear will be the next governor😊

[MassBlueDog]

If he withdraws, then the race goes from tilt R to likely R.  After what happened in Oklahoma, I don't think Beshear can pull it off unless he runs against Bevin.

[Lechasseur]

If he withdraws, then the race goes from tilt R to likely R.  After what happened in Oklahoma, I don't think Beshear can pull it off unless he runs against Bevin.

[Alabama_Indy10]

I highly doubt this will happen.

[Zaybay]

If he withdraws, then the race goes from tilt R to likely R.  After what happened in Oklahoma, I don't think Beshear can pull it off unless he runs against Bevin.

Yep, popularity is heavily correlated with election performance. It really is Bevin being massively unpopular that is making this race highly competitive(same reason the very popular JBE is favored for his race in inelastic R territory).

[President Johnson]

He should primary Mitch, who has to go as Republican leader. He is one of the most disgusting leaders in senate history. Not than Bevin will be less of an idiot, but at least Mitch wouldn't be leader anymore.

[Pollster]

If he withdraws, who is next in the Republican line? Can't see them ceding this race.

[Calthrina950]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

And the 8 point lead has nothing to do with it? KY is tilting Democratic, Beshear's father was popular.

[Calthrina950]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

And the 8 point lead has nothing to do with it? KY is tilting Democratic, Beshear's father was popular.

You were very overconfident about Democratic chances in Republican states this year. Kentucky is not voting Democratic any time soon, not for Governor, not for Senate, and not for any other office.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I always stated there is a freiwal of 279 votes; however Dems won Congressional elections in states like FL, AZ that went GOP for Governor.

[MassBlueDog]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

And the 8 point lead has nothing to do with it? KY is tilting Democratic, Beshear's father was popular.

If anything, Kentucky is trending R.   I agree with you that the Beshear name will help him, but that can only take you so far.  The fact that Jason Carter was the son of one of Georgia's political icons helped him... lose by 12%.

[DINGO Joe]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

And the 8 point lead has nothing to do with it? KY is tilting Democratic, Beshear's father was popular.

If anything, Kentucky is trending R.   I agree with you that the Beshear name will help him, but that can only take you so far.  The fact that Jason Carter was the son of one of Georgia's political icons helped him... lose by 12% 8%.

But your point is still valid

[brucejoel99]

If he withdraws, then the race goes from tilt R to likely R.  After what happened in Oklahoma, I don't think Beshear can pull it off unless he runs against Bevin.

Yep, popularity is heavily correlated with election performance. It really is Bevin being massively unpopular that is making this race highly competitive(same reason the very popular JBE is favored for his race in inelastic R territory).

[NewYorkExpress]

The only reason Bevin withdraws from this race is to primary McConnell in 2020.

[Pandaguineapig]

If Bevin Withdraws, Comer and Quarles probably become the top candidates for the Republicans

[SnowLabrador]

I personally don't believe that Bevin is trailing by 8 points. I don't think he's trailing AT ALL.

[Roll Roons]

Wouldn't be too shocked if this happened. Other unpopular first-term governors (Bill Walker, Chafee) have done it. Rauner tried to do the same this year after his close primary against Jeanne Ives. In hindsight, the ILGOP might have been better off if he'd been replaced on the ballot.

[Suburbia]

He should primary Mitch, who has to go as Republican leader. He is one of the most disgusting leaders in senate history. Not than Bevin will be less of an idiot, but at least Mitch wouldn't be leader anymore.