KY-GOV: Bevin reportedly considering withdrawing
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 10:31:56 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  KY-GOV: Bevin reportedly considering withdrawing
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4
Author Topic: KY-GOV: Bevin reportedly considering withdrawing  (Read 6073 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,445


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: January 04, 2019, 03:40:05 AM »

I think it would be in his party's best interest for him to not run, especially since he has a -25 net approval rating in Morning Consult's 3Q2018 report on governors, which would definitely drag him down significantly should he run.
Logged
Flyersfan232
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,854


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: January 04, 2019, 11:03:06 AM »

Beshear will be the next governor😊
like beto was ment to be the next senator of texas?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: January 04, 2019, 02:35:27 PM »

Beshear will be the next governor😊
like beto was ment to be the next senator of texas?

TX is a Trump state and is a GOP state. But, Dems did well enough in suburban districts in Red states to take over the House.  Democrats get elected statewide in KY. Beshear's father was Gov of Red state.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: January 05, 2019, 10:43:15 PM »

Yes please Bevin, primary Cocaine Mitch and lose by 15. So then Andy can win too.
Thanks.

In all seriousness, I appreciate a challenge to Mitch, but Bevin, while he isn't Mitch, is a moron. Also he would lose.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: January 06, 2019, 12:21:45 AM »

Yes please Bevin, primary Cocaine Mitch and lose by 15. So then Andy can win too.
Thanks.

In all seriousness, I appreciate a challenge to Mitch, but Bevin, while he isn't Mitch, is a moron. Also he would lose.

Honestly, Andy would be better off against an incredibly unpopular incumbent than against a generic R.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,725


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: January 06, 2019, 12:32:29 AM »

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: January 06, 2019, 12:41:32 AM »

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.
Logged
Lechasseur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,779


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: January 06, 2019, 05:00:33 AM »

Yes please Bevin, primary Cocaine Mitch and lose by 15. So then Andy can win too.
Thanks.

In all seriousness, I appreciate a challenge to Mitch, but Bevin, while he isn't Mitch, is a moron. Also he would lose.

Honestly, Andy would be better off against an incredibly unpopular incumbent than against a generic R.

Yeah, the Democratic nominee only has a chance against Bevin imo. If Bevin isn't the GOP nominee, the GOP will win this race.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: January 06, 2019, 09:44:55 AM »

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

Bredesen was a flawed candidate and Blackburn is more popular than Bevin
Logged
Frodo
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,566
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: January 06, 2019, 11:28:17 AM »

Depending on whom they nominate to succeed him, the Kentucky Republican Party will be better off with him out of the race. 
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: January 06, 2019, 05:40:45 PM »

Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: January 06, 2019, 06:29:29 PM »

If Bevin drops out, this race becomes Titanium R.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: January 07, 2019, 12:09:14 AM »

Your source is literally a Daily Kos diary? And people here are taking it seriously? lol

But on the 0.001% chance this is true, Bevin is an even bigger idiot than I thought he was. Racist KY Hicks are going to re-elect him no matter what because of the (R) next to his name. I'm pretty sure even he is smart enough to realize this.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: January 07, 2019, 12:15:22 AM »


Don't forget Edmondson!
Logged
Lechasseur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,779


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: January 07, 2019, 07:35:06 AM »

If Bevin drops out, this race becomes Titanium R.


Agreed

Depending on whom they nominate to succeed him, the Kentucky Republican Party will be better off with him out of the race. 

Most likely yes

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

Bredesen was a flawed candidate and Blackburn is more popular than Bevin

Bredesen was actually by far the best candidate the Democrats had in Tennessee imo tbh. On the other hand I agree with you that Blackburn is more popular and a stronger candidate than Bevin is.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,048
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: January 07, 2019, 08:06:08 AM »

If Bevin drops out, this race becomes Titanium R.


Agreed

Depending on whom they nominate to succeed him, the Kentucky Republican Party will be better off with him out of the race. 

Most likely yes

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

Bredesen was a flawed candidate and Blackburn is more popular than Bevin

Bredesen was actually by far the best candidate the Democrats had in Tennessee imo tbh. On the other hand I agree with you that Blackburn is more popular and a stronger candidate than Bevin is.

Also Senate races are different from gubernatorial ones.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: January 07, 2019, 01:10:26 PM »

If Bevin drops out, this race becomes Titanium R.


Agreed

Depending on whom they nominate to succeed him, the Kentucky Republican Party will be better off with him out of the race. 

Most likely yes

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

Bredesen was a flawed candidate and Blackburn is more popular than Bevin

Bredesen was actually by far the best candidate the Democrats had in Tennessee imo tbh. On the other hand I agree with you that Blackburn is more popular and a stronger candidate than Bevin is.

Also Senate races are different from gubernatorial ones.

Though becoming increasingly less so. Kansas was the only "Safe Republican" state where Democrats won the governorship in 2018. They fell short in Oklahoma and South Dakota, and also lost in Ohio, Iowa, and Florida, which are becoming increasingly Republican. In fact, Ohio is pretty close to being a Safe Republican state at this point, and will become one after a few more cycles at the presidential level, while Florida, though a swing state, has been consistently Republican-leaning since the 1950s.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: January 07, 2019, 01:16:28 PM »


I did not forget about him. And you are right: Kentucky is Safe Republican.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,659
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: January 07, 2019, 08:02:58 PM »

What exactly is so different from this and Louisiana's gov race in 2015?   Except for Vitter not being an incumbent it could easily play out the same way.   

Popularity matters WAY more for Governor races than Senate races - See Kansas, Maryland, Massachusetts, Louisiana, and Vermont. 
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,365


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: January 07, 2019, 08:13:53 PM »

What exactly is so different from this and Louisiana's gov race in 2015?   Except for Vitter not being an incumbent it could easily play out the same way.   

Popularity matters WAY more for Governor races than Senate races - See Kansas, Maryland, Massachusetts, Louisiana, and Vermont. 

polarization . The only R pvi governor race the dems one this year was kansas and thats in a d trending state with a super unpopular governor.

Trump just has to endorse Bevin and campaign once and its over.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,305
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: January 07, 2019, 08:22:20 PM »

Safe R -> Safe R
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,792


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: January 07, 2019, 09:36:15 PM »

Another piece potentially enters the board...

Logged
Don Vito Corleone
bruhgmger2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,268
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: January 08, 2019, 03:35:21 AM »

Yes please Bevin, primary Cocaine Mitch and lose by 15. So then Andy can win too.
Thanks.

In all seriousness, I appreciate a challenge to Mitch, but Bevin, while he isn't Mitch, is a moron. Also he would lose.
Honestly, Andy would be better off against an incredibly unpopular incumbent than against a generic R.
Yeah, the Democratic nominee only has a chance against Bevin imo. If Bevin isn't the GOP nominee, the GOP will win this race.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: January 08, 2019, 04:40:19 AM »

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

Not saying you're wrong in Kentucky's per se, but governors races don't work the same way in most cases as Senate races. Just look at Kansas and Massachusetts for example.
Logged
Intell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,817
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: January 08, 2019, 05:44:39 AM »

If he doesn't run: Lean R -> Safe R
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.065 seconds with 11 queries.