Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 15, 2019, 07:06:25 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, Hash, Roy Rogers McFreely)
  2019 India April–May LS general elections and assembly elections of 2019 (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: 2019 India April–May LS general elections and assembly elections of 2019  (Read 26246 times)
pikachu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,471
United States


« on: May 22, 2019, 10:37:38 pm »

Everything looks like expected, no? BJP losing ground in the Hindi belt, but making up enough in Bengal, Orissa, Karnataka and wherever else.
Logged
pikachu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,471
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2019, 11:22:53 pm »

Who is next in line to take control of the INC if this holds?

pure speculation, but i'll be surprised if they dump rahul.

even if they do i expect priyanka.
Logged
pikachu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,471
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2019, 11:26:50 pm »

Also, yeesh, what an ugly (if not unsurprising) result all-around so far. Not really sure what the opposition can do other than hope people will eventually get sick of Modi, but even if they do, who's to say that the most popular alternative ends up being Hindutva but more? Just discouraging to see.
Logged
pikachu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,471
United States


« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2019, 11:30:57 pm »

Who is next in line to take control of the INC if this holds?

I think Rahul will hold on in Kerala, that is not bjp friendly turf.
yeah but you'd think if they barely gained any seats they would dump him as leader

We'll see, but Indian politics operate differently from the West.
Logged
pikachu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,471
United States


« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2019, 04:34:37 am »

I'm a bit wary of saying that India's in the midst of transitioning to a national two-party/two-alliance system - if we look at results in West Bengal and Orissa, yeah there's been big drop from 2014 to 2019 for the regional parties, but if we compare to 2009, the BJP's around the same level of the Communists and Congress respectively. In a lot of these states, it doesn't look like the BJP is replacing regional parties; it's replacing whatever the national opposition to those regional parties was, whether it be the Congress or something else.

(I'm also skeptical that the INC is going to come up with a compelling enough alternative to have a national sweep when the BJP falters, but that's another story.)
Logged
pikachu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,471
United States


« Reply #5 on: May 27, 2019, 03:13:02 am »

Is there a single other political party in the world which is so resistant to having their leader resign after he leads them to two of their worst performances ever? I just don't understand the INC's strategy moving forward beyond just hoping that Modi eventually trips up.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC