Zaybay
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,065
Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
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« on: January 07, 2019, 09:06:18 PM » |
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Depends. Trump won these areas by rather small margins, Erie by 1%. Then, in the congressional race in 2018, a D+8 year(meaning a shift by 9 points was expected), the county shifted by 20 points. The same can be seen in Kenshoa county.
Lackawanna county seems to be a similar story.
Really, we have to see in 2020 to determine whether it was a fluke, but it seems the Ds have the advantage going in for these counties.
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