What are the chances of New Democracy getting a majority as I know Greece uses re-enforced proportionality or will it more likely just be a plurality and who would they work with?
In theory, Greece has a 50 seat lead bonus and 250 proportionnal seats. In theory, you need 40% for a majority. In practice, parties under 3% are ignored, so the percentage needed for a majority is lowered. For example, the percentage needed for majority last time was 37.44%.
In polls, ND is between 32 and 38%.
For the last 6 polls:
Pulse: ND is at 38%, majority at 34.8%
ALCO: ND is at 32.8%, majority is at 33.6%
MRB: ND is at 37.1%, majority at 35.2%
Kapa: ND is at 31.7%, majority at 33%
Palmos: ND is at 34%, majority at 34.6%
Metron: ND is at 37.8%, majority is at 34%