Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2019, 09:10:51 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
  2020 redistricting with DRA
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3] Print
Author Topic: 2020 redistricting with DRA  (Read 4593 times)
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,270
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: December 24, 2018, 06:50:36 pm »

im applying to college pls hold
No problem dude
Logged
BWP Conservative
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 251
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.00, S: 3.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: March 09, 2019, 01:53:05 am »

Pretty good but a couple of the states need improvement.  AZ is probably the one most needing change, waaaay too many swing districts.  1 or 2 would be appropriate but 5?  AZ should have at minimum 5 solidly R seats and 3 or 4 solidly D seats.  Most likely giving the state a 5-5 or 6R-4D delegation depending on the year.  Also, 3 swing seats in the north Atlanta suburbs are way too much, basically a gerrymander that will result in greater Atlanta being represented by 6 Dems in Congress.  Atlanta metro should have 4 solidly Democratic seats (3 being black) and 3 Republican seats in the suburbs.  That would be representative of the overall Democratic lean of metro Atlanta without a potential 6-0 or 5-1 blowout.   Oregon is actually gerrymandered for Republicans, no way a Dem leaning state should have half R leaning districts. Even if they are competitive.  OR should have 3 soldiy D seats, 2 solidly R, and 1 even seat that would likely be won by Dem considering both of Oregon's "swing" seats have gone Dem every cycle.  The resulting 4D-2R delegation would be representative of the state.  Finally, Clark county should be divided into 1 safe Dem seat (around D+20), a likely Dem seat (around D+8) and a lean Rep seat (around R+6).  Since the county generally votes Dem 55-45, or 60-40, having 2 Dems in the city and a Republican in the outer ring suburbs would represent Vegas area well, resulting in a split delegation from NV. Which is the fairest possible delegation for a state that is pretty 50-50.
Logged
Cokeland Saxton
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 374
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: 4.17

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: March 09, 2019, 12:16:08 pm »

What's wrong with swing seats? At least they're competitive.
Logged
BWP Conservative
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 251
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.00, S: 3.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: March 09, 2019, 06:00:14 pm »

I never said we shouldn't have them, but having 5/10 swing seats is absurd and would end up being a Democratic gerrymander.  AZ is trending blue, so it would result in a 7 D- 3 R delegation by the end of the decade, maybe sooner.  If AZ had a Dem trifecta, that would make sense.  If you control the process, you get to draw.  But AZ has a nonpartisan commission.  No way should they draw a Dem gerrymander that brazen.  AZ currently has 4 red seats, after gaining a seat in 2022, that number shouldn't go down. 
Logged
Governor Dip
diptheriadan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,233


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: March 10, 2019, 12:41:40 am »

I really hope that the 7th becomes a Clarksville-based district instead of being largely based around Williamson County.
Logged
Ex-Assemblyman Steelers
Steelers
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 292
Serbia and Montenegro


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: March 11, 2019, 06:29:13 am »

Looks like WV could not be competitive. This is my first map.

http://dra.indirect.cc/join/c4c72833-204a-4b3b-8cd0-c5cf1a3b02b8
Logged
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,270
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: March 11, 2019, 08:42:08 am »

Looks like WV could not be competitive. This is my first map.

http://dra.indirect.cc/join/c4c72833-204a-4b3b-8cd0-c5cf1a3b02b8
WV will have 2 seats in 2020, just fyi Smiley
Logged
Ex-Assemblyman Steelers
Steelers
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 292
Serbia and Montenegro


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: March 11, 2019, 09:04:10 am »
« Edited: March 11, 2019, 04:48:59 pm by Ex-Assemblyman Steelers »

http://dra.indirect.cc/join/414d0d03-3b42-414f-8a37-fc0252d69b65
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC