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June 24, 2019, 07:13:25 pm
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  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
  Will a 90%+ Black Southside Chicago seat be possible after 2020?
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Author Topic: Will a 90%+ Black Southside Chicago seat be possible after 2020?  (Read 435 times)
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politicalmasta73
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« on: January 18, 2019, 09:58:36 pm »

I tried it out with 2016 Block Groups and I was barely able to do it, 90.1%. WIll it be possible after 2020?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2019, 12:57:50 am »

I tried it out with 2016 Block Groups and I was barely able to do it, 90.1%. WIll it be possible after 2020?

The purpose of such District? Democrats (and Black Democrats, BTW) can as easily win 55% Black district and use remaining 35% elsewhere.... If i would be Republican redistricter (which is not the case in Illinois now) - i would try to create such district, but - only in this case.
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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2019, 06:41:05 pm »

I tried it out with 2016 Block Groups and I was barely able to do it, 90.1%. WIll it be possible after 2020?

The purpose of such District? Democrats (and Black Democrats, BTW) can as easily win 55% Black district and use remaining 35% elsewhere.... If i would be Republican redistricter (which is not the case in Illinois now) - i would try to create such district, but - only in this case.
It is just a test of black population in southside chicago
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2019, 07:32:42 pm »

Well, the source of the Cities, and in a way partially the State's pop decline has been because of the south side AAs/Hispanics, so I have no idea if such a test would produce a positive result. its quite remarkable that while the South Side is shrinking, the West Side/Lakefront AA regions are growing or staying neutral.

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