Bernie Sanders 325, Donald Trump 213
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  Bernie Sanders 325, Donald Trump 213
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Author Topic: Bernie Sanders 325, Donald Trump 213  (Read 1451 times)
538Electoral
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« on: January 22, 2019, 11:32:38 AM »



This is what I think a Bernie Sanders vs Donald Trump would look like at this moment.

Sanders - 325
Trump - 213

Of course, Arizona, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and Maine's 2nd Congressional District I all think could go one way or another.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2019, 11:40:32 AM »

Bernie Sanders would need to do 9% better than Hillary Clinton in Ohio to win the state by a single point. Florida is way too conservative for him.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2019, 12:09:06 PM »

I would give OH and FL to Trump but give NC, AZ, IA and ME-2 to Sanders.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2019, 03:11:02 PM »



Florida as usual super close. Ohio much closer, but not sure if it'll tighten enough for Sanders to be able to win.
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here2view
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2019, 04:42:46 PM »

Sanders is not winning Ohio or Florida.

I feel like the guy in SpongeBob. "How many times do we have to teach you this lesson old man?"

Ohio is not a tossup state, it's Lean R at the very least. Sanders is also not winning Florida with his views. It's a Tilt R state, and the vast majority of Cubans won't vote for a socialist. Not to mention Florida has recently gone for the incumbent frequently (Obama 2012, Bush 2004, Clinton 1996, Bush 1992, Reagan 1984.)

I supported Sanders in 2016, but it's more likely than not that he loses these two if he ran.
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SN2903
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2019, 06:14:02 PM »

Such an overrated candidate he would do worse than Hillary
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2019, 01:48:34 AM »

If anybody can take back some of the Obama-Trump voters, its Sanders. If he focuses mostly on economics he could win back MI, PA, and WI, and win MN, NH and ME by much bigger margins. Though I don't think he wins back FL and OH.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #7 on: January 23, 2019, 01:51:20 AM »

While I do think he would do better than Hillary, I do think that he wouldn't this well. I feel like some people are feeling the burn out (get it)
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MABA 2020
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« Reply #8 on: January 23, 2019, 05:39:50 AM »

I feel like Sanders wouldn't win Florida, but could win Iowa. Other than that good map
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History505
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« Reply #9 on: January 23, 2019, 08:24:08 AM »

Change Florida and the rest could be a possibility.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #10 on: January 23, 2019, 08:29:29 AM »

Why don't you guys think Sanders will win Florida?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: January 23, 2019, 08:38:20 AM »

Why don't you guys think Sanders will win Florida?
Because his preferred candidate lost to Ron DeSantis?

Cubans will flee the Democratic Party if a "socialist" is the nominee.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #12 on: January 23, 2019, 08:40:31 AM »

When is Bernie going to go away? A talented slate of candidates is going to be running, including progressives like Sherrod Brown. We don't need to elect a 79 year old.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #13 on: January 23, 2019, 10:20:48 AM »

So according to you Sanders win OH and FL but lose IA ? That’s unlikely. Sanders is a socialist and would crater with Cuban voters like Gillum and thus would likely lose FL. Concerning OH it’s very difficult to imagine any democrat winning the state outside a scenario where Trump loses by double digits
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The3rdParty
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« Reply #14 on: January 23, 2019, 10:56:20 AM »

I feel like Sanders wouldn't win Florida, but could win Iowa. Other than that good map
Yup, also ME-2 could flip. Sanders would do better than average dem in white areas and worse than average dem in minority areas
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #15 on: January 23, 2019, 01:48:46 PM »



This is what I think a Bernie Sanders vs Donald Trump would look like at this moment.

Sanders - 325
Trump - 213

Of course, Arizona, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and Maine's 2nd Congressional District I all think could go one way or another.

There's no way Bernie loses Iowa if he's winning Ohio.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: January 23, 2019, 08:32:58 PM »

he has a better chance to win in 2020 than he would have had in 2016 but I still think he is overrated and has a low ceiling. At best he probably just wins all the Clinton states plus Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; the bare minimum required. A win is a win, don't get me wrong, but that also doesn't give him much room for error, if my hunch is correct.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #17 on: January 23, 2019, 08:55:35 PM »

Sanders wouldn’t win FL and he lol wouldn’t win OH .

FL is too conservative for him and OH is almost impossible for a dem to win in 2020(not fully impossible but unless Dems get an 08 style win Trump will win OH).

Yes he can win back some of the Obama/Trump voters in North East OH but he would lose ground in the Cincinnati Suburbs and thus lose the state handily as well .



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Cokeland Saxton
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« Reply #18 on: January 24, 2019, 06:11:00 AM »

Sanders has no chance of winning FL because the Cubans wouldn't elect someone as far to the left as him. An if he can't take FL, he can't take OH.
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