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  One America Divided: 2020 Election
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #75 on: April 13, 2019, 07:37:58 pm »

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November 3rd, 2020 at 6:30pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: "It's 6:30pm on the east coast and the first polls of 2020 are closing. The final weeks have been very competitive after the convection where former Congressman Beto O'Rourke barely pulled off a win after announcing Senator Kirsten Gillibrand as his vice-presidential choice over Senator Kamala Harris and Senator Amy Klobuchar. President Donald Trump also had a rough first day in the convection after William Weld delegates walked out of the convection and fifty more delegates that were bound to Trump voted for other candidates including Nikki Haley, Matt Gaetz, Ron DeSantis, Joni Ernst and even one delegate to former Congressman Jim Renacci. After Donald Trump did secure the votes on the first ballot over the resistance, he was able to rebuild his convection and rebound a bit in the polls.

Trump and O'Rourke aren't the only candidates pouring their time into the campaigns. Howard Schultz has spent millions on the campaign and had a strong vice-presidential choice. Independents and a small amount of Democrats and Republicans supporting Schultz in the polls helped him get in the second and third debate and John Delaney into the vice-presidential debate. The other third parties, Libertarian and Green party both had serious candidates with both having sitting congressmen as their nominees but neither were able to make any of the debates even as Justin Amash, the Libertarian from Michigan was just points away from making the first debate.

Now let's look at the first results coming out of Kentucky and Indiana. Rachel, can you help show us the early results and call the first congressional races of the night."


Rachel Maddow: "We do have some early congressional races that we can call right now and we can show some of the congressional races that will likely be very close by the end of the night. In Kentucky, out of three seats reporting results, we can call two of those races for Republicans. Thomas Massie, the only sitting congressman to endorse Amash over Trump, won his seat even with some conservatives sitting out of the races in protest of the endorsement and Hal Rogers of Kentucky-5 has been reelected. The only Kentucky congressman with results coming in that can't be called is Andy Barr who barely survived reelection two years ago against Amy McGrath who is now running against Mitch McConnel in a very close race. In Indiana, four more Republicans have been reelected including Mike Pence's brother, Greg Pence who won his seat two years ago. One Democrat has been reelected in Indiana also and two seats are too close to call with one, IN-02 gaining national attention. In the race, Jackie Walorski, the current congresswoman and one of the few Republican women left was pitted against Mayor Pete Buttigieg who gained a national following from his presidential campaign which allowed him to pour millions into a congressional race. Buttigieg started to gain a lead in the final days but Walorski and the NRCC started negative ads in the final week which started to close the gap.

let's show the congressional map on the screen and the results of IN-02 so the viewers know the results right now. For the viewers, the tilt color on the congressional map means the race is too close to call and if it is red that means the current congressmember is a Republican and vice-a-versa for Democrats.



IN-02 Congressional Race Results (0.9%)
Too Close to Call
Jackie Walorski (R): 50.8%
Pete Buttigieg (D): 48.2%
Other: 1.0%

"Now, let's look at the presidential race. In both Indiana and Kentucky, President Trump is leading by a wide margin which always happens in these early results and is expected in these conservative states. These are no surprises but there is good news for Democrats as Amy McGrath is outperforming Beto O'Rourke by five percent in Kentucky so far which means that if O'Rourke even comes close to winning Kentucky then it's likely that McGrath is removing McConnel.

Kentucky Senate Race Results (1.3%)
Too Early to Call
Mitch McConnell (R): 57.8%
Amy McGarth (D): 42.2%

Kentucky Presidential Race Results (1.3%)
Too Early to Call
Donald Trump (R): 56.5%
Beto O'Rourke (D): 35.9
Howard Schultz (I): 4.6%
Justin Amash (L): 2.3%
Ro Khanna (G): 0.3%

Indana Presidential Race Results (1.5%)
Too Early to Call
Donald Trump (R): 59.8%
Beto O'Rourke (D): 29.5%
Howard Schultz (I): 8.2%
Ro Khanna (G): 1.3%
Justin Amash (L): 1.2%
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jakobisgood
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« Reply #76 on: April 13, 2019, 09:01:36 pm »

This is really good, keep this going.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #77 on: April 13, 2019, 09:06:37 pm »

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November 3rd, 2020 7:00pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: "Welcome back to Election Night and it's 7:00 pm with the first real results coming in and the first calls in the presidential race. In Kentucky, Donald Trump has won Kentucky's eight electoral votes. In Indiana, Donald Trump has won Indiana's eleven electoral votes. In South Carolina, Donald Trump has won South Carolina's nine electoral votes putting Donald Trump's total at twenty-nine electoral votes. Beto O'Rourke has picked up three electoral votes with a win in Vermont. Virginia, Florida, and Georgia all are too early to call states. Brian, what do all these results mean and can you update us on the Senate and congressional races.

President Donald Trump/ Vice-President Mike Pence (R): 29
Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D): 3

Virginia Presidential Race Results (0.5%)
Too Early to Call
Donald Trump (R): 45.3%
Beto O'Rourke (D): 44.7%
Howard Schultz (I): 8.0%
Justin Amash (L): 1.7%
Ro Khanna (G): 0.3%

South Carolina Presidential Race Result (1.0%)
Republican Hold
Donald Trump (R): 54.3%
Beto O'Rourke (D): 42.1%
Howard Schultz (I): 3.3%
Ro Khanna (G): 0.3%
Justin Amash (L): 0.0%

Brian Williams: These results are the same we had four years ago and four years before that. These results don't mean much.

Rachel Maddow: I disagree, Brian, we already know the suburban areas are close especially those outside cities that were strong Mitt Romney areas and help lead to the Democratic Congress. This also says Howard Schultz won't be winning the White House unless he turns around the results in the suburban areas which he tried to build a base out of since they are centrist areas.

Brian Williams: Those are both good points but I still think it is way to early and are similar to what we have seen in Republican years and Democratic years. In the Congressional race, at this time we can tell that at least thirty-two Republicans will be returning to the Congress along with twenty-four Democrats. Seventeen other races are too close to call including the race mentioned earlier in the evening with Pete Buttigieg running against Jackie Walroski. Buttigieg is leading currently and may cause an upset by the end of the night and he won't be the only one. In Georgia, the freshman Democrat, Lucy McBeth is running against Karen Handel who she barely beat two years ago. Handel is leading by six points right now but the race has only gotten close since the results started to come in. Another instering race is in South Carolina where the blue dog, Joe Cunningham, looks like he may be able to win reelection even though many Democrats wrote off the race weeks ago. Cunningham was running against another very Pro-Trump Republican which helped him win over suburban areas.

Republicans:32 (+0,-0)-Democrats: 24 (+0,-0)
Tossup: 17 (10 R, 7 D)

The congressional Races aren't the only interesting races tonight. Right now, we have results coming in from four key Senate races, Virginia, Georgia, South Carolina, and Kentucky. All those Senate races have straight white males as incumbents and all their opponents are either a minority or a woman expect Virginia. Kentucky, Mitch McConnell looks likely to hold his seat but is still in a tough race with Amy McGrath who lost a close congressional race four years ago. In South Carolina, Lindsey Graham is running against Jamie Harrison who was a former South Carolina Democrat Chair and had surge turnout among African-Americans. Graham looks like he could win the seat but the network is far from confident in projecting the race just yet. In Virginia, former Representative and veteran Scott Taylor is running against Senator Mark Warner. In Georgia, Stacey Abrams is leading the current senator even as Donald Trump leads Beto O'Rourke.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #78 on: April 14, 2019, 08:13:57 am »

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November 3rd, 2020 7:30pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: I'm Chuck Todd and welcome back to MSNBC's coverage of the 2020 election. Right now, the race couldn't be any closer with the suburban areas that handed Democrats victory two years ago coming in very tight. The congressional races look very similar with seventeen seats too close to call. In the Senate, we have no calls to make still with four Senate races being very close including majority leader Mitch McConnel's seat. We do have some more calls to make at this hour. In West Virginia, Donald Trump has cruised to victory adding five more electoral votes to his column. In Ohio and North Carolina, we can say that those races are way too close to call at this time.

President Donald Trump/Vice-President Mike Pence: 33
Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: 3

We do have a call in a senate race that had gotten closer in the final days. In Virginia, Democrats have held on and Mark Warner has been given six more years in the Senate, Warner defeated former Representative Scott Taylor who lost his seat two years ago. Taylor had many scandals throughout his congressional campaign and many national Republicans withdrew effort from the race early in the campaign focusing more on the presidential race but the last poll out of the race showed Taylor down only by four points. This race reminds me of the Ohio senate race two years ago where national Republicans thought the candidate was doomed like Jim Renacci but came back on election night and almost won the race. Also, in West Virginia, Shelly Capito Moore has been reelected easily over her Democratic challenger. Chris, can you update us on the congressional races and what this all means.

Democrats: 36 (+0, -0)-Republicans: 32 (+0,-0)
Tossup: 4 (4 R,0 D)

Virginia Senate Race Results (7.9%)
Warner Reelected
Mark Warner (D): 53.7%
Scott Taylor (R): 46.3%

Chris Matthews: This is a very big deal right now, Democrats in both Senate and presidential races are keeping the south close. If I were at the RNC victory party, I would be getting nervous even for Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham who still have leads but could lose any second. Beto O'Rourke may have only three electoral votes but I could see by eight o'clock that he gains the lead and flips some of these too close to call states especially Virginia and North Carolina. Now let's look at the congressional map. Since 7:00 we have had a few big calls. Susan Brooks (IN-R), Andy Barr (KY-R), Stephaine Murphy (FL-D), Brian Mast (FL-R), Ted Yoho (FL-R), Vern Buchanan (FL-R) and Joe Cunningham (D-SC) have all been reelected and we have had the first seat flip tonight in Georgia, Carolyn Bourdeaux has won the seat she lost just two years ago. To those viewers watching at home, the lean, light color means that the seat was flipped. With the new races coming in, Tim Ryan, the former presidential candidate, holds onto his seat. Some Democrats are pushing Ryan to challenge Senator Portman in two years especially since he gained national attention. Other than Ryan, we have been able to call all Ohio's congressional races except three with Anthony Gonzalez, Steve Chabot and Dave Joyce all leading but still in too close to call races. In West Virginia, the state is sending back all three Republicans to the Congress and in North Carolina, there are two too close to seats including North Carolina-09 where Dan McCready won a special election after a large amount of voter fraud was discovered.

Republicans: 56 (+0,-1)-Democrats: 35 (+1. -0)
Tossup: 14 (8 R, 6 D)

Chuck Todd: We have looked at the presidential, senate and congressional races but we also have a few calls in the gubernatorial races. In Vermont, Phil Scott has won two more years. In Indiana, Mike Pence's former Lintuent Governor Eric Holcomb has won four more years as Governor. In North Carolina and in West Virginia the races are too close to call and Democrats are leading in both.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #79 on: April 14, 2019, 10:08:43 am »

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November 3rd, 2020 8:00 pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: What you see on your screen right now is Beto O'Rourke's victory party. The staff just started letting media in about ten minutes ago and now they are letting the massive crowd start to swarm the stage. Our MSNBC reporter in the rally was talking to staff and they sound optimistic and with it being 8:00, he might have something optimistic after the calls. Before we start the calls, we can call two Senate races for Republicans. Lindsey Graham and Mitch McConnell have won six more years beating Amy McGrath and Jamie Harrison. Now to the 8:00 calls in the presidential race. In Maine, the race is too close to call with a three-way tie between Donald Trump, Beto O'Rourke and Howard Schultz. In New Hampshire, the race is too close to call. In Massachusetts, Beto O'Rourke wins the eleven electoral votes. In Connecticut, Beto O'Rourke wins the states seven electoral votes. In Rhode Island, Beto O'Rourke wins the states four electoral votes. In New Jersey, Beto O'Rourke has won the states eleven electoral votes. In Deleware, Beto O'Rourke has won the states three electoral votes. In Maryland. Beto O'Rourke has won the states ten electoral votes. In Pennsylvania, the race is too close to call. In Tennesee, Donald Trump has won the eleven electoral votes. In Mississippi, Donald Trump has won the states six electoral votes. In Alabama, Donald Trump has won the states nine electoral votes. In Oklahoma, Donald Trump has won the states seven electoral votes. In Missouri, Donald Trump has won the states ten electoral votes. In Illinois, Beto O'Rourke has won the states twenty electoral votes. Now, we have another very big call that was too close to call till now. Beto O'Rourke has won Virginia, a state that Donald Trump hoped to flip especially after the scandals plaguing the top three Democrats in the state.

Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: 85
President Donald Trump/ Vice-President Mike Pence: 76

New Hampshire Presidential Race Results (1.7%)
Too Close to Call
Beto O'Rourke (D): 34.4%
Donald Trump (R): 32.1%
Howard Schultz (I): 23.5%
Justin Amash (L): 7.8%
Ro Khanna (G): 2.2%

Intersting result in the presidential election as a large number of states remain too close to call. Now onto the calls for Senate elections. Susan Collins has won reelection over Betsy Sweet who tried to sink Collins favorability rankings but was unsuccessful even with her massive million dollar machine. In Massachusetts, Ed Markley wins six more years. In Rhode Island, the Democrat gains six more years. In New Hampshire, its a close race between Jeanne Shaheen and Governor Chris Sununu. In Deleware, Chris Coons wins six more years. In Illinois, Dick Durbin who barely survived a primary challenge has won six more years. In Tennesee, Diane Black has won the seat currently held by retiring Lamar Alexander. Jim Inhofe has won six more years and in Mississippi, Cindy Hyde-Smith wins her first six-year term. In Alabama, the race is too close to call but Martha Roby is leading in the race.

Republicans: 39 (+0,-0)-Democrats: 40 (+0, -0)
Tossup: 4 (2 R, 2 D)

Now to Rachel Maddow who will update you on the gubernatorial and congressional races.

Rachel Maddow: Before we talk about the 8:00 poll closing let's look at earlier races. In Ohio, Dave Joyce and Anthony Gonzalez both held onto their seats. Abigail Spanberger has won reelection in a very closely watched race. George Holding has been reelected in North Carolina while Dan McCready lost his seat giving Republicans their first pick up. Donna Shala has been reelected while her Republican colleagues, Ross Spano, Mario Diaz-Balart, and Michael Walz have all been reelected also. The biggest news right now that Pete Buttigieg has flipped a Republican-held seat in Indiana. Right now, we have fourteen Democrat-held seats that are too close to call and many of those are freshmen Democrats who now have much stronger opponents than two years ago. Nine Republican seats are too close to call mainly by people who barely survived 2018. Right now, Republicans are winning the house 130 to 114 but that was expected. In the Gubertarional elections, we have an upset in West Virginia where Richard Ojeda has beaten the sitting Governor who switched from Democrat to Republican early in his term. In New Hampshire and Missouri, there is a close race. In North Carolina, Roy Cooper has won his seat for four more years.

Republicans: 130 (+1, -2)-Democrats: 114 (+2,-1)
Tossup: 23 (9 R, 14 D)

Chis Matthews: It looks as if that Republicans who broke for Beto O'Rourke still were supporting Republicans down ballot except for some key races like Roy Cooper and Richard Ojeda. If Former Republicans who support O'Rourke, if they voted Democrat down ballot then Susan Collins wouldn't have six more years, Dan McCready would have two more years. It looks like the NRCC and NRSC did a good job in getting Republicans in the line down ballot.
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jakobisgood
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« Reply #80 on: April 14, 2019, 01:20:40 pm »

Damn, very cool. It felt good to see that McCready loss Wink
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #81 on: April 14, 2019, 02:04:22 pm »

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November 3rd, 2020 9:00 pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: Mitch McConnell is just finishing up his victory rally and he has told his crowd that they are sure they will be taking the Senate tonight. Other Republican senators who have talked to MSNBC reporters have also sounded confident and Democrats are getting nervous especially as Susan Collins landslide over Betsy Sweet. Now, it is 9:00 pm and we have more results. Beto O'Rourke won New York, his vice-presidential choices home state. Beto O'Rourke has won Washington D.C. Beto O'Rourke has won in Colorado which was a swing state in the past five cycles but looks pretty strong Democratic now and Beto O'Rourke has won New Mexico. Donald Trump, on the other hand, has been able to win Nebraska except for one congressional district that is in a three way split. Donald Trump has won North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, and Lousiana. The only surprise right now was the win in Colorado so easy for Beto O'Rourke where many of our political team on MSNBC said it would be much later call. We also have another surprise right now, Beto O'Rourke's home state of Texas is too close to call which could be a massive upset over the Republicans who spent little money and effort in the state. Donald Trump shouldn't lose all hope though. The blue wall of Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania all are still too close to call along with Florida that is drifting towards Trump...Actually, we can call Pennsylvania for Beto O'Rourke taking a key state from Donald Trump that was his just four years ago.

Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: 151
President Donald Trump/Vice-President Mike Pence: 109

Right now, we can make some calls in the senate race including the first flipped seat. Doug Jones of Alabama has lost and Martha Roby has won Alabama's Senate seat. In Arizona, Senator Martha McSally is in a close fight with Mark Kelly and the race is too close to call In Colorado, Cory Gardner is in the tightest and one of the most closets watched races of tonight against Cary Kennedy, a former Treasure of Colorado. In New Mexico, Ben Ray Lujan replaces retiring Tom Udall. Jacob LaTurner, the Treasurer of Kansas has just won the Senate seat and now is set to be the youngest senator. In Texas, the race is too close to call between Joaquin Castro and John Cornyn. Republicans have kept their seats in North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming. Bill Cassidy has won six more years and so has Tina Smith of Minnesota, Smith may help O'Rourke win in Minnesota especially with the lead by Smith now. Cory Booker will return to the Senate. In Michigan, Gary Peters is in a tight race against John James, a marine veteran and an African-American Republican.

Republicans: 45 (+1, -0)-Democrats: 44 (+0, -1)
Tossup: 7 (5 R, 2 D)

Chris, can you update us on the congressional races.

Chris Matthews: Lot of exciting news coming from election night but we have more exciting news from congressional around the country. Kendra Horn from Oklahoma has lost reelection, Chip Roy has turned around his numbers and will win a second term. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, Steve Chabot, Susan Wild, Brian Fitzpatrick, Mike Bost, and Ann Wagner have all won reelection. Currently, with those updates and with the latest poll closings, Republicans are leading 168 to 152. Both parties got two pickups each and have a large number of seats in the too close to call column.

Republicans: 168 (+2, -2)-Democrats: 152 (+2, -2)
Tossups: 29 (11 R, 18 D)

Chuck Todd: Sorry to interrupt but we have two breaking calls in Georgia. The Senate election will be going to a runoff between Stacey Abrams and David Perdue. In the presidential race, Donald Trump will win the state of Georgia allowing his campaign to take a sigh of relief after a long stressful night of watching the new tossup state. Rachel, with Georgia going to Trump, do you believe Beto O'Rourke still has a chance in Florida and North Carolina or will he have to rely on the blue wall to deliver him victory?

Rachel Maddow: Beto O'Rourke has a lot of pathways and I never thought Beto would win Georgia but what really matters is Beto O'Rourke being able to flip Pennsylvania and bringing Texas to a tossup.

Brian Williams: I disagree, Rachel, once one south state falls they will all fall to Donald Trump. Trump is a few votes behind in North Carolina and is leading in Florida. I think it will be like Donald Trump winning Ohio in 2016, the states around it will fall in line so after. Truly, Beto O'Rourke needs to hope a win in Pennsylvania helps win Ohio, Michigan and the blue wall.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #82 on: April 15, 2019, 06:51:33 pm »

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November 3rd, 2020 10:00pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: What you are seeing now is the Trump victory rally and right now it is dead silent. Both Beto O'Rourke and Donald Trump are nervously awaiting results and either party could win but Donald Trump's path to the presidency was just hurt by losing Minnesota and Michigan. Those were the last two calls we have been able to make and has given Beto O'Rourke a large lead over the president even as the Senate and Congress remain up for grabs tonight. Now that it is 9:00 pm, we have four more states closing their polls. In Iowa, the race is too close to call. In Montana, Donald Trump has won the states three electoral votes. In Nevada, the race is too close to call. In Utah, Donald Trump is the winner with large independent votes for Howard Schultz propelling him to second. We also have four more calls of previously too close to call states, in New Hampshire, Beto O'Rourke has won four electoral votes. In Maine, Beto O'Rourke wins the state and two congressional districts. In Florida, the biggest of the three and one of the most closely watched races, Donald Trump has won. In Texas, Beto O'Rourke's home state has gone to the president giving him the lead.

President Donald Trump/Vice-President Mike Pence: 201
Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: 185

Now, the Senate has three more seats that have polls closing. In Iowa, the race is too close to call between Cindy Axne and Senator Joni Ernst. In Montana, they have given their Republican senator six more years. We also have some calls in previously too close to call states, in Texas, John Cornyn has beaten Joaquin Castro and in North Carolina, Democrats have flipped the seat currently held by Thom Tillis who came within one point of Anthony Foxx.

Republican: 47 (+1, -1)-Democrats: 45 (+1, -1)
Tossup: 5 (3 R, 2 D)
Runoffs: 1 (1 R, 0 D)

Chris Matthews: I just did the math and it looks like there will is no path to reelection for Donald Trump even if he wins all the tossups right now.  He will still have to flip either Oregon or Washington which is very unlikely to happen.

Chuck Todd: let's check in on the Donald Trump rally. It looks as if they have drawn the same conclusion as the mood has turned very sober. It may be possible but it looks like Beto O'Rourke will be the next president of the United States of America. Let's take a loom at wether Beto O'Rourke will deal with a democratic congress or senate or Republican.

Rachel Maddow: With it clear that Trump has a very slim path to victory, I actually think Republicans in a state like California that is strongly against Trump could benefit their congressional candidates. Right now, we can say, Karin Handel has flipped Lucy McBeth's seat in Georgia. John Kato, Michael McCaul, Pete Olson, Jim Hagedorn, Pete Stauber, Scott Tipton, Elaine Luria, Matthew Cartwright, Don Bacon, and Collin Petersen have all won reelection. In the 9:00 pm states, Iowa is the most exciting with Joni Ernst in a close race and three other close races held by Democrats. The only race in Iowa we can call is Iowa is Randy Festree who beat Steve King in a primary last spring. There is one surprise, Rita Hart is pulling ahead in Iowa-02 which was tossup but could be an early call.

Republicans: 183 (+3, -2)-Democrats: 157 (+2, -3)
Tossup: 22 (19 D, 3 R)

Chuck Todd: Hey, Rachel, we got two big calls to make. Ohio is going to Donald Trump and Trump is eighteen electoral votes closer and Nebraska 2nd District is going to Donald Trump. Trump is over thousands of votes behind Congressman Don Bacon but is still going to win the electoral vote from Nebraska 2nd district. This means Donald Trump is at 220 electoral votes. Chris, do you think this will help the Trump people.

Chris Matthews: Donald Trump is doing very well except he already lost key states of Pennsylvania and Michigan which were key to his victory last time and he still has yet to win Arizona, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Iowa or Nevada. Truly, Republicans need to focus on bringing support for Senate and congressional candidates especially in California where there are multiple close races in congressional races.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #83 on: April 17, 2019, 05:22:41 pm »

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November 3rd, 2020 11:00 pm
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: The man above may have cost Donald Trump reelection by jeopardizing the crucial state of Michigan, Colorado and multiple other midwestern states. That was Justin Amash who just conceded the election and thanked his supporters and all his constituents in Michigan who reelected him even after Trump called for a third party to challenge him. By the end of the night, Justin Amash may just end up with around four percent of the vote but he made a huge change to the election and pushed forward Libertarian ideas.

Rachel Maddow: If Trump is going to blame anyone, it will probably be Amash...

Chris Matthews: What about Howard Schultz? Definitely hurt him in the suburban areas that were strong Mitt Romney territory.

Rachel Maddow: If Beto O'Rourke loses then I think Schultz would be the reason and maybe Ro Khanna. Those Schultz never supported Trump, they probably stayed out of the primary or voted Biden, Klobuchar or Weld.

Chuck Todd: It is 11:00 pm now and we have some big calls tonight. First, we have two calls from earlier too close to call states. Iowa has gone to President Trump. President Trump has gone to North Carolina, the closet southern state and was flipping between Beto O'Rourke and Trump. Now some new calls tonight. In California, Beto O'Rourke has won the 55 delegates. In Hawaii, Beto O'Rourke has won the states four delegates while President Trump won Idaho's four electoral college votes. Both Oregon and Washington have also been won by Beto O'Rourke.

Rachel Maddow: Oh my god, Trump still has a chance. My math was wrong earlier. O'Rourke may lose this election, he needs to win at least one more state to win or two if he wins Nevada.

Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: 263
President Donald Trump/ Vice-President Mike Pence: 245

Chuck Todd: There is also another chance that this election will be tied which will be giving extra power to the Congress. Rachel, Can you update us on the congressional map and the new calls.

Rachel Maddow: Sure, with a number of new states closing we have a ton of new result and results from the last haul of states. Chris Collins has lost reelection, Lauren Underwood has lost reelection, Abby Finkeur has lost reelection and Torres Small lost reelection. Jared Goldin has won reelection, Rita Hart has kept Iowa-02 in Democrats hands, Angie Craig has kept her seat, Tom O'Hallaren has won reelection and Susie Lee has won reelection. After all these new results we have no clear indication if Democrats will win the house or not but they have 216 seats so far which should make Democrats feel better if it is a tied election. The real question is who will win the majority of the states and will there be any defectors if there is a tied election.

Chris Matthews: With Beto's numbers in Wisconsin, I think he will pull it off and Alaska could be closer than expected...

Chuck Todd: Beto is now losing in Wisconsin though?

Chris Matthews: That changes my prediction a bit but I still think the blue wall is rebuilt Now, a tie is definitely a possibility and for the audience, if there is a tie it is broken in the house and the president needs 26 states to vote for them to win and the Senate chooses vice-president.

Democrat: 216 (+3, -6)-Republican: 195 (+6, -3)
Tossup: 23 (6 R, 17 D)

Chuck Todd: Since the Senate will be important let's take a look at the new calls and the Senate map. Jeff Merkley has won a new term. Idaho has been won by Jim Risch. One of the bigger calls now is that Iowa is giving another term for Joni Ernst beating Congresswoman Cindy Axne....

Rachel Maddow: Fox News and CNN have just called the house for the Democrats but we are holding off for now till Democrats reach the magic number. if Fox News is right then the Senate is crucial for Republicans to at least get the vice-presidency.

Republican: 49 (+1, -1)-Democrats: 46 (+1, -1)
Tossup: 4 (2 R, 2 D)
Runoffs: 1 (1 R, 0 D)
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #84 on: April 17, 2019, 05:30:12 pm »

How has NC flipped and Gardner hasn't lost yet...?
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« Reply #85 on: April 18, 2019, 05:27:58 pm »

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November 3rd, 2020 1:30 am
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: Stacey Abrams has just given her speech to her crowd. Not really victory or concession speech but it said like she is ready for the runoff and her supporters looked excited. Abrams played into the idea that it will be a tied election by saying quote, "It looks like the vice-president will be chosen in the Senate. We need a Democratic vice-president which will be elected by a democratic senate. I am the last chance to have a democratic senate". We do one more call in the Senate elections which is Dan Sullivan will return to the Senate for six more years. That means Republicans have fifty seats meaning Democrats will have to run the table on the last four too close to call races and win Georgia. We do have two more calls in the presidential race, Arizona will be won by President Trump and Alaska will be won by President Trump giving him fourteen more votes. He could pull off a win and Beto could if they win the next two states but neither are likely to carry both. Chris, what is the house elections looking like?

Fmr. Congressman Beto O'Rourke/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: 56,098,974 (41.1%)
President Donald Trump/Vice-President Mike Pence: 55,028,965 (40.2%)
Howard Schultz/Fmr. Congressman John Delaney: 16,978,492 (12.4%)
Congressman Justin Amash/Fmr. Tom Campbell: 5,094,372 (3.7%)
Congressman Ro Khanna/Former State Sen. Nina Turner: 3,201,945 (2.3%)
Other: 540,094 (0.3%)

Chris Matthews: We have breaking news, Democrats has retained the house

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This was achieved because Lizzie Fletcher, TJ Cox, Mike Levin, Antonio Delgado, and Collin Allred have all retained their seats saving the majority. Will Hurd, Jamie Beutler Herold, Tom McClinton, and Rodney Davis were all Republicans going back to the house. On the other hand, Katie Hill, Josh Harder, Kenny Marchant, and Andy Kim all lost their reelections meaning a lot of freshmen will not be returning to the house. Another open seat held by Cindy Axne was lost by Democrats. This means in 28 there is a majority Republican representative while 21 states have Democrats majority in the house and in one state it is a tossup where Don Young is in a close ballot

Democrat: 222 (+4,-10)-Republican: 203 (+10, -4)
Tossup: 10 (2 R, 8 D)

Chuck Todd: That means that Republicans automatically have the advantage in a tied election and it may because of gerrymandering which will be constantly in the news if that is so. Now, we have new updates on the Senate race. Republicans have flipped Michigan with John James delivering an upset win and in Arizona, appointed senator Martha McSally has defended her seat from Mark Kelly who had a close race. This means, Republicans are at 51 seats in the Senate and are in a tight race in three others. This means Republicans have won the majority of seats in the Senate.

Republicans: 51 (+2, -1)-Democrats: 46 (+1, -2)
Tossup: 2 (1 R, 1 D)
Runoff: 1 (1 R, 0 D)
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« Reply #86 on: April 18, 2019, 05:47:31 pm »

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The Aftermath: Tied Election
Election Night in America 2020

Chuck Todd: It is about 1 in the afternoon on November 4th and we still don't have a clear president. Our last two calls made the election a tie meaning in January a new house will be electing the president. Let's take a look at some of the calls of last night. In the house, the Democrats control the majority for two more years losing only sixteen seats to the Republicans and gaining six meaning a net loss of ten. In the Senate, the power remains in the hands of Republicans as they end the night with 52 seats after losing Colorado and North Carolina to Democratic candidates and New Hampshire was able to be won by a Democrat. One state still has a runoff in Georgia where David Perdue is running against a former presidential contender, Stacey Abrams.



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