Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[Pericles]

Better Goldwater campaign 1964

President Lyndon Johnson/Hubert Humphrey-Democratic: 463 EV 58.05%
Barry Goldwater/William Miller-Republican: 75 EV 41.47%

[Pericles]

1976 US election

Ronald Reagan/Richard Schweiker-Republican: 272 EV 46.65%
Jimmy Carter/Walter Mondale-Democratic: 266 EV 46.28%
Charles Mathias/John Anderson-Independent: 0 EV 5.01%

[Pericles]

1976 US election

Ronald Reagan/Richard Schweiker-Republican: 272 EV 46.65%
Jimmy Carter/Walter Mondale-Democratic: 266 EV 46.28%
Charles Mathias/John Anderson-Independent: 0 EV 5.01%

I think Reagan is more likely to win FL than MS and CT

MS was very close in 1976 so I gave it to Reagan as he does better nationwide and especially in the South. With FL and CT Reagan won both in 1980 by landslides however Ford won only CT while Carter won FL relatively comfortably so the margins are narrower in both states but neither flip.

[Pericles]

1928 US election-Hoover wins all states lost by 4% or less

Herbert Hoover/Charles Curtis-Republican: 479 EV 60.22%
Al Smith/Joseph Robinson-Democratic: 52 EV 38.79%

[Pericles]

1984 US election

President Ronald Reagan/George HW Bush-Republican: 465 EV 54.77%
Walter Mondale/Geraldine Ferraro-Democratic: 73 EV 44.56%

[Pericles]

2018 midterms-GOP wins all races lost by 4% or less
2018 Senate elections
Mitch McConnell-Republican: 56+5 41.1%
Chuck Schumer-Democratic: 42-5 57.3%
Independent: 2_
100 seats
51 for majority

2018 House elections
Nancy Pelosi-Democratic: 220+26 51.4%(+3.4%)
Paul Ryan-Republican: 215-26 46.8%(-2.3%)
435 seats
218 for majority

2018 gubernatorial elections
Bill Haslam-Republican: 29-4 49.31%
Jay Inslee-Democratic: 21+5 48.36%
Independent: 0-1

[Pericles]

2008 presidential election

Barack Obama/Joe Biden-Democratic: 379 EV 54.36%
John McCain/Sarah Palin-Republican: 159 EV 44.10%

[Pericles]

I made a pro-Trump gerrymander on Redraw the States (I had to reverse Atlas colors by necessity)

2016 US presidential election
Donald Trump/Mike Pence-Republican: 382 EV 45.93%
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine-Democratic: 156 EV 48.02%

State results;
AL: 8 EV Trump +24.37%
AK: 3 EV Trump +15.17%
AZ: 22 EV Trump +5.50%
AR: 6 EV Trump +26.99%
CA: 44 EV Clinton +36.56%
CO: 5 EV Clinton +26.69%
CT: 7 EV Clinton +15.05%
DE: 7 EV Trump +10.57%
DC: 3 EV Clinton +88.72%
FL: 30 EV Trump +3.49%
GA: 18 EV Trump +11.07%
HI: 4 EV Clinton +32.18%
ID: 7 EV Trump +18.87%
IL: 13 EV Clinton +38.20%
IN: 9 EV Trump +15.94%
IA: 10 EV Trump +9.88%
KS: 6 EV Trump +21.03%
KY: 8 EV Trump +29.87%
LA: 8 EV Trump +19.65%
ME: 3 EV Clinton +16.97%
MD: 9 EV Clinton +48.08%
MA: 11 EV Clinton +27.28%
MI: 19 EV Trump +6.08%
MN: 5 EV Clinton +27.18%
MS: 6 EV Trump +14.01%
MO: 14 EV Trump +20.76%
MT: 7 EV Trump +16.96%
NE: 5 EV Trump +26.31%
NV: 8 EV Trump +9.42%
NH: 5 EV Trump +2.27%
NJ: 10 EV Clinton +29.06%
NM: 4 EV Clinton +24.32%
NY: 19 EV Clinton +39.40%
NC: 17 EV Trump +8.52%
ND: 3 EV Trump +36.39%
OH: 16 EV Trump +5.48%
OK: 7 EV Trump +36.40%
OR: 4 EV Clinton +37.93%
PA: 34 EV Trump +3.22%
RI: 4 EV Clinton +15.66%
SC: 7 EV Trump +8.10%
SD: 3 EV Trump +29.80%
TN: 8 EV Trump +16.72%
TX: 36 EV Trump +7.97%
UT: 6 EV Trump +13.83%
VT: 3 EV Clinton +37.54%
VA: 14 EV Trump +3.67%
WA: 8 EV Clinton +29.30%
WV: 4 EV Trump +44.75%
WI: 14 EV Trump +7.49%
WY: 7 EV Trump +20.27%

MI is tipping-point state, Clinton needs to win PV by 8.17% to win Electoral College majority. Note I tried to strike a balance between maximizing Trump's electoral votes and ensuring his electoral votes are as safe as possible.

[Pericles]

2008 presidential election

Barack Obama/Joe Biden-Democratic: 311 EV 51.36%
John McCain/Sarah Palin-Republican: 227 EV 47.10%

[Pericles]

1988 US presidential election

Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 280 EV 49.65%
George Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 258 EV 49.37%

[Pericles]

1988 US presidential election

Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 280 EV 49.65%
George Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 258 EV 49.37%

Is this a Dukakis victory by universal swing?

Yes, a pretty narrow win (I believe the tipping point state is MI which he wins by 0.1%).

[Pericles]

2004 US election-Bigger Bush win

President George W Bush/Dick Cheney-Republican: 348 EV 52.73%
John Kerry/John Edwards-Democratic: 190 EV 46.26%

[Pericles]

10% margin shift to Trump in 2016
2016 US presidential election
Donald Trump/Mike Pence-Republican: 355 EV 50.93%
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine-Democratic: 183 EV 43.02%

Closest states;
OR-Clinton+0.98%
DE-Clinton+1.37%
NM-Trump+1.79%
CT-Clinton+3.64%
NJ-Clinton+3.98%