Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[OBD]

The 2048 presidential election was the most competitive since 2028, after climate disasters in the early 2030s ushered in 14 years of single-party Democratic rule, only terminated by the Republicans retaking the House in 2046. Both parties attempted to build new coalitions in these elections. The Democratic Party, which had moved significantly to the left due to it's nearly unchallenged dominance of Washington (as the election of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as president in 2040 shows), was based in the urban areas and the ravaged coastal regions on the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. The Republican Party, attempting to rebuild, aimed to build a coalition of disenchanted suburban areas and traditionally conservative regions (i.e inland rurals). The Democrats, looking to build on Ocasio-Cortez's progressive legacy, nominated Illinois Governor Roberta Chang, who had enacted universal healthcare and basic income in Illinois. The Republicans turned to Senator Jaime Hernandez of Arizona, running on a moderate, business-friendly platform. In the first ever election where two women minorities were nominated by the major parties, Chang took an early lead, which was gradually whittled down by Hernandez. On Election Day, Chang led in national polls by 5 points, but Hernandez pulled out the win in a shocking upset, by returning the suburbs and coastal areas to the Republican party. Hernandez won by a narrow popular vote margin of 49.4% to 49%.

In the Senate, Democrats were highly vulnerable, defending 26 seats to the Republican's 7. While the GOP was disappointed in the Midwest, Virginia, and Texas, they won upsets in Ohio, Maine, and New Mexico to tie the Senate and take control.

[OBD]

2018 Senate (3.3 Swings towards Dems)

NOTE: AL is stand-in for MS-Special/IA is stand-in for MN Special

49 Democrats
49 Republicans
2 Independents (Caucusing with Democrats)

D+2 (D GAIN)

Closest & Tipping Point: Missouri

2018 Gubernatorial (3.3 Swing to Dems)

29 Democrats
21 Republicans

D+12 (D GAIN)

Closest: New Hampshire
Tipping Point: Iowa

2018 House Races (3.3% swing Dem)

https://drive.google.com/file/d/12ih_FGyivbIrCxGjQlOvrx2GH18QU9kv/view?usp=sharing

If it doesn't show...

270 Democrats
165 Republicans
1 Tie (VA-05, Cockburn and Riggleman at 50%)
1 TBD (NC-09)

D+76 (D-GAIN)

Wouldn't the voting issues have been moot in this case since McCready would have won by at least 5?

[OBD]

There is no point to this map, I just wanted to see what the colors would look like on the 10% thing since I've never seen that

Edit: Interesting, it doesn't even process for republican, democrat, or independent, and only for fourth parties and beyond. And with the white color, you can effective add another party to the race if you want, as long as you put at least a '4' on the party number

What happened to AL, AK, and AZ? Their electoral numbers got erased but the other white states didn't get theirs erased.

[OBD]

It's Midnight in America

Just a random, unrealistic scenario that I thought up.

2020

Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT) / Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) 279 EVs
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Michael Pence (R-IN) 259 EVs

2023: Recession begins. Russia annexes Belarus.

2024

Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) / Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) 295 EVs
Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) 243 EVs

2025: War with Iran begins.
2026: Russian and China begin aiding Iran. Thousands of Americans die.
2027: Antiwar protests shake US. California attempts to secede.
2028: California is ejected from the Union. Civil war begins. US withdraws from Iran.

2028

Governor Lauren Underwood (D-IL) / Former AG Doug Jones (D-AL) 252 EVs
President Ron DeSantis (R-FL) / Vice President Tom Cotton (R-AR) 231 EVs

2029: President DeSantis and the Republican Lame Duck Congress nullify the results in Oregon, Nevada, and Arizona, citing nefarious Californian influence. DeSantis is re-elected, causing riots across the United States.
2030: Civil war breaks out when the Northwest and the Northeast secede. Census proceedings are disturbed. President DeSantis declares martial law.
2031: Rebels take the states of Nevada and Arizona and occupy much of Idaho and Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, loyalist forces capture Baltimore.
2032: The United States holds elections, which the rebel states claim are rigged. 

2032 United States Election

President Ron DeSantis (N-FL) / Vice President Tom Cotton (N-AR) 295 EVs
Former Governor John Hickenlooper (REF-CO) / Former Governor John Kasich (REF-OH) 46 EVs
National Party (N) is in blue, while Reform Party (REF) is in green.

2033: Stalemate in the Civil War ensues. Both sides lessen democratic rights in the areas they control, and enact martial law. The war becomes increasingly brutal, but neither side makes significant gains.
2034: China begins aiding the rebels. Montana, Wyoming, and Utah secede and adopt a policy of neutrality. A nuclear silo is accidentally bombed in North Dakota, causing fallout to disperse across the state and the region.
2035: Tom Cotton overthrows the DeSantis regime in a coup d'etat, establishing the American National State. Cotton, along with loyal military members, indefinitely suspends all elections.
2036: Colorado and New Mexico secede, and are occupied by rebel forces before the ANS can attack them. Delaware falls to the ANS.
2037: President Cotton cracks down on dissidents, and many are executed. Several, including 2032 candidate John Kasich, flee to Canada or rebel-held areas.
2038: China and NATO begin sending troops to the rebels, while the Russians begin supplying the ANS (it is also revealed that Russia aided Cotton in the 2035 coup).
2039: World War III begins. 

[OBD]

Different Alignment

2008

Sen. Hillary Rodham (D-VA) / Gov. Phil Bredesen (D-TN) 433 EVs 53.6%
Sen. John McCain (R-UT) / Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R-NY) 105 EVs 44.9%

2012

Pres. Hillary Rodham (D-VA) / Vice Pres. Phil Bredesen (D-TN) 327 EVs 49.8%
Fmr. Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-CA) / Former SoS Colin Powell (R-NY) 211 EVs 48.6%

2016

Vice President Phil Bredesen (D-TN) / Gov. Alex Sink (D-FL) 269 EVs 49.0%
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY) / Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) 269 EVs 49.4%

[OBD]

snip

This is fascinating! But also gruesome to behold...

[OBD]

Ohio Gubernatorial Election, 2026

Source: mapchart.com Author: me
Lt. Governor Jon Husted/Fmr. OH GOP Chair Jane Timken (Republican) 49.0%
Ret. NBA Player Lebron James/Fmr. Rep Betty Sutton (Democratic) 48.5%

In a closely contested race in a Republican wave year, Lt. Governor Jon Husted narrowly defeated former Cleveland Cavaliers star LeBron James to succeed Mike DeWine as Ohio's governor. James, a well-known figure statewide, was seen as a huge Democratic recruiting get, and he ran an energetic, progressive campaign that gave Democrats hope in a state becoming increasingly hostile to them. His performance in the Cleveland-Akron area was notably strong, as he cracked 70% in Cuyahoga County and 60% in his native Summit county. However, Husted benefited from the Republican national environment and Ohio's pronounced conservative lean to outrun James in the rest of the state. Husted won Delaware County (a Trump-Trump-Harris county) by 7 points, and ran up the margins in the deeply GOP rurals. While James led for most of the race with favorable name recognition, Husted closed the gap after two superior debates and stole the win on Election Night. With the closeness of the margin, many pundits are pondering if James's defection to the Lakers in 2019 might have swung the race to Husted.  

[OBD]

Fmr. VP Joe Biden (D-DE) / Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) 53.1% 395 EVs
President Donald J. Trump (R-FL) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) 42.6% 143 EVs

A bit of dreaming never hurt anyone

[OBD]

2016

Businessman Donald J. Trump (D-NY) / Governor Jay Nixon (D-MO) 293 EVs 45.61%
Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) / Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC) 245 EVs 47.32%
Representative Tulsi Gabbard (I-HI) / Businessman Howard Schultz (I-WA) 0 EVs 5.01%
Closest States
New Mexico - Rubio +0.76
New Hampshire - Trump +0.98
Kentucky - Trump +1.57
Oregon - Trump +2.45
Indiana - Rubio +3.34
Washington - Trump +4.13
Colorado - Rubio +4.25
Virginia - Rubio +4.89
Nevada - Rubio +5.76
Missouri - Trump +6.21
North Carolina - Rubio +6.46
Ohio - Trump +7
Iowa - Trump +7.45
Florida - Rubio +8.24
California - Trump +8.59
Wisconsin - Trump +9.94

[OBD]

History Repeats

2020

Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) / Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) 407 EVs 55.1%
President Donald Trump (R-FL) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) 131 EVs 40.9%

The Biden Presidency is largely a success for the Democratic establishment, with reforms like Roe v. Wade codified, a national popular vote, a comprehensive green energy plan, and a public option passing a friendly Congress. Sadly, President Joe Biden passes away in July 2023, and Vice President Kamala Harris succeeds him. Harris is largely unopposed in the primary as she runs further to the left than she did in 2020.

2024

President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) 53.0%
Governor Kristi Noem (R-SD) / Fmr. St. Treasurer Josh Mandel (R-OH) 32.3%
Businessman Donald Trump Jr. (Populist-FL) / Singer Kanye West (Populist-CA) 12.2%

President Harris defeats a fractured opposition in a lightly contested election. Her full term is less successful than the previous, though, with a more hostile Congress and intensified infighting between the party's Center and Left. That said, universal RCV is passed near-unanimously, thanks to conservatives still hurting from 2024's split vote result. In a surprising turn, Harris announces in early 2027 that she would not be running for re-election. Commerce Secretary and former Oregon Senator Jeff Merkley defeats Vice President Cooper in a competitive primary. On the Republican side, FOX News icon Tucker Carlson defeats a fractured establishment opposition.

2028
final round results

Commerce Sec. Jeff Merkley (D-OR) /  Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez(D-NY) 54.6%
Talk Show Host Tucker Carlson (R-CA) / Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) 45.1%

Carlson turns out to be a weak campaigner, and Merkley wins a landslide election on the back of a strong economy. However, it wasn't meant to be. In October 2029, the Chinese market crashed hard, ushering in a Second Great Depression. While Merkley tried harder than his predecessor Hoover to mitigate its effects, it wasn't enough to placate the angry public. 2032 is poised to be a Republican bloodbath...

[OBD]

Enjoy.

[OBD]

Enjoy.

What does this depict?

2020 with quintupled trends lol

[OBD]

Enjoy.

What does this depict?

2020 with quintupled trends lol

I see. Judging by your map, Biden wins by the margin which we would have expected. He probably carries North Carolina here, in addition to all of the states which he actually did win. Trump certainly wins Florida (and by more than he did in reality), and Texas would be a pure tossup. I'm assuming Alaska would be a tossup as well, given the extent to which Biden improved there over Clinton.

Wait, sorry, I meant quintupled swings. Slip in verbage

[OBD]

Enjoy.

What does this depict?

2020 with quintupled trends lol

I see. Judging by your map, Biden wins by the margin which we would have expected. He probably carries North Carolina here, in addition to all of the states which he actually did win. Trump certainly wins Florida (and by more than he did in reality), and Texas would be a pure tossup. I'm assuming Alaska would be a tossup as well, given the extent to which Biden improved there over Clinton.

Wait, sorry, I meant quintupled swings. Slip in verbage

That's fine. But are my guesses correct? Except that I see the North Carolina Black Belt is more Republican, so that could complicate matters there.

As swings are quintipled, this is actually a Biden landslide - by my mental math, he wins the popular vote by over 14. Your guesses are correct though - Texas goes to Biden by 4-5 points, Alaska definitely goes to Biden (though I'm a little unsure how that map looks), and Trump obliterates Biden in Florida. The Black Belt shifting right ultimately doesn't do anything, as Biden improves by enough in the burbs to completely offset that.

[OBD]

What Can't Money Buy? - a mini-TL (part 1)

"NBC Projection: Mark Robinson defeats Josh Stein in critical NC Governor's Race
NBC; November 6, 2024

"Prominent YouTuber MrBeast breaks political silence: condemns North Carolina's 'radical' anti-trans policies"
Huffington Post; June 1, 2027

"MrBeast would kick Mark Robinson's ass. Book it, bank it."
unknown YouTuber; July 3, 2027

"Report: YouTube celebrity Jimmy Donaldson weighs independent challenge to controversial Governor Mark Robinson"  
POLITICO; July 15, 2027

"In many ways, Jimmy Donaldson is a risky political unknown with past controversies strewn across the internet for all the see. However, he also has a cult following among many young voters and an unprecedented ability to self-fund - strengths that have frozen the Democratic field in his wake."
@NateSilver; July 27, 2027

"Robinson approval deeply underwater"
Gallup; August 2, 2027

"I Ran For Governor of North Carolina"
MrBeast; August 8, 2027

"YouTuber Jimmy Donaldson, in a last gasp for fame, declares run for North Carolina Governorship"
Newsmax; August 8, 2027

"YouTube celebrity Jimmy Donaldson, better known as MrBeast, announces run for NC Governorship in splashy YouTube video, attacking Governor Robinson's 'divisive' agenda"
New York Times; August 8, 2027

"Donaldson Gubernatorial campaign reportedly sets fundraising record in opening days"
CNN; August 15, 2027

"Former Governor Roy Cooper eyes Senate run"
Charlotte Observer; September 10, 2027

"BREAKING: Donaldson meets with DGA Chair Shapiro"
POLITICO; September 17, 2027

"Are Democrats shying away from complicated NC gubernatorial election?"
Washington Post; September 30, 2027

"Op-ed: In Mark Robinson's bigoted North Carolina, Jimmy Donaldson emerges as an unlikely champion of trans rights"
Rep. Sarah McBride (D-DE); November 10, 2027

"Op-ed: Billionaire playboy Jimmy Donaldson as North Carolina's progressive savior? Don't make me laugh."
The Duke Chronicle; November 10, 2027

"As filing deadline approaches, Democrats appear to be clearing the path for independent candidate Jimmy Donaldson. However, Charles Graham, a former State Senator and congressional candidate, appears determined to stay in the race."
@DaveWasserman; January 9, 2028

"Jimmy 'MrBeast' Donaldson Is Already Dominating The Airwaves - beating out Robinson, Trump, and DeSantis"
The News and Observer; March 3, 2028

"As NC Greens prepare to field candidate, progressive skepticism of Donaldson continues to proliferate"
POLITICO; May 14, 2028

"Donaldson is running a very online, very novel campaign. Can this innovative approach take down liberals's most hated Governor?"
Vox; June 3, 2028

"Eschewing Graham, Donaldson campaign reportedly 'in dialogue' with DNC"
FOX News; June 20, 2028

"Senator Jackson: Donaldson is the best man for the job, will bring 'new ideas' to Raleigh"
POLITICO; June 29, 2028

"For the first time in decades, a viable third-party candidacy has emerged in North Carolina. So, why is this election more acrimonious and polarized than ever?"
Charlotte Observer; July 4, 2028

"Former Staffer: MrBeast campaign a 'hot mess', crippled by 'chronic inexperience'"
Newsmax; July 10, 2028

"First look: Donaldson holds solid lead over Robinson, Graham with many voters undecided"
Quinnipiac; July 15, 2028

"Jimmy Donaldson's rabid, uncivilized supporters are a legitimate danger to the people of North Carolina"
Gov. Mark Robinson at Asheboro campaign stop; July 29, 2028

"The Elon Musk skeleton: Donaldson under fire from progressives for stating his 'continued respect' for disgraced Twitter tycoon"
Vox; August 4, 2028

"MrBeast vs. The Past"
The Atlantic; August 17, 2028

"In virtual appearance at DNC, Donaldson hypes up supporters, attacks opponent Robinson"
CNN; August 21, 2028

"The Donaldson campaign's cash reserves - from historic fundraising numbers to a massive personal injection - beggar the mind"
Washington Post; September 2, 2028

"Eschewing flashy media and vicious attacks, Charles Graham runs a quiet, traditional - and effective? - campaign"
Robesonian; September 6, 2028

"Robinson is one of the most unpopular governors in the nation, but Jimmy Donaldson's badly-run campaign could leave the door open for an upset victory"
The Hill; September 14, 2028

"DEADLOCK IN NC: Robinson 35, Donaldson 35, Graham 20"
Rasmussen; September 20, 2028

"Are 'Kids for MrBeast' an actual political force in this election?"
News And Observer; October 1, 2028

"In NC, Donaldson-Robinson debate attracts higher viewership than Trump-Harris"
CNN; October 2, 2028

"While left-wing Democrats remain skeptical of Donaldson, he appears to be getting strong crossover from suburban and exurban conservative families and is crushing Robinson among young voters"
538; October 9, 2028

"Report: Donaldson declines Harris appearance at Winston-Salem rally?"
FOX News; October 14, 2028

"Opinion: If Donaldson takes his YouTube channel's charity-based approach into the Governor's office, North Carolina is screwed"
Vox; October 17, 2028

"Will Charles Graham split the vote and re-elect Mark Robinson?"
POLITICO; October 20, 2028

"Will progressives hold their noses and vote Donaldson?"
POLITICO; October 23, 2028

"Is Donaldson pulling away?"
CNN; October 27, 2028

"In final appeals to public, Donaldson touts moderation and independent vision, while Robinson rails against Donaldson's 'radical California values"
Charlotte Observer; November 3, 2028

"While the presidential candidates don't inspire enthusiasm, people are actually excited to vote here in North Carolina. Who will benefit in one of the strangest elections in the country?"
NBC; November 4, 2028

"These are the weirdest damn coalitions we've seen in a while"
@NateSilver; November 5, 2028



"MrBeast is North Carolina's next Governor. Could the White House be his next stop?"
POLITICO; November 6, 2028

[OBD]

snip

The only thing missing is the right election date on the wikibox.

Yeah wasn't paying attention to that ngl

[OBD]

snip

Interesting. I actually watched one of his recent vids and wondered about a similar scenario. Why do the Lumbee suddenly flip back to Dems?

Vote splitting and Graham’s home field advantage against a candidate (Donaldson) with limited appeal to the area.