Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[538Electoral]

Simulating a 1980 Carter win.

Carter 286
Reagan 252

[538Electoral]

2000: Gore wins all close Bush states.

Gore 343
Bush 195

[538Electoral]

2004: Gore wins Re-Election by winning all close Bush states once again. Losing Florida, Tennessee and Missouri while gaining Colorado.

Outcome not known for a few days.

Gore 298
Bush 240

[538Electoral]

Trump 330
Gore 208

Trump runs as his 2016 self. He wins The Rust Belt, New Hampshire, Maine, Florida and all the South for a near-landslide victory for Trump.

[538Electoral]

Trump 330
Gore 208

Trump runs as his 2016 self. He wins The Rust Belt, New Hampshire, Maine, Florida and all the South for a near-landslide victory for Trump.

If he wins Virginia he wins Minnesota

Virginia was still a Republican state at the time. Trump would've probably won Virginia anyway.

[538Electoral]

Using President Elect - 1988 Edition to project a closer 1972 election.

Tipping point state is Maryland where Nixon beat McGovern by 52 votes.

Nixon - 271 Electoral Votes
McGovern - 267 Electoral Votes

[538Electoral]

Using President Elect to project a Goldwater 1964 victory.

Goldwater - 277
Johnson - 261

[538Electoral]

1968 - Goldwater wins re-election.

Goldwater - 321
Humphrey - 217

[538Electoral]

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton 1980

Trump 385
Clinton 153

[538Electoral]

A Mondale win in 1984.

Mondale 272
Reagan 266

[538Electoral]

Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it

How did you edit the Wikipedia page like that?

[538Electoral]

2004: Donald Trump (D) vs. George W. Bush (R)

279-259

Trump narrowly carries Ohio and Iowa. I was tempted to also give Trump West Virginia but since West Virginia was pretty Republican that year, I left it in Bush's column.

5 closest states

Iowa, 1.17%
West Virginia, 1.28%
Ohio, 1.46% (tipping point state)
Wisconsin, 1.89%
New Mexico, 2.08%

[538Electoral]

1980: Ford vs. Carter rematch.

403-135

[538Electoral]

1936: Alf Landon wins presidency with only 19 states, Loses popular vote by more than 5%.

273-258

[538Electoral]

2004: Bush does 10% better

National popular vote:
55.7 Bush
43.3 Kerry

What a nightmare this would be!

I do wonder if CA remained competitive from 1992-2004 would it be hotly contested today.

[538Electoral]

2016 if Clinton won every state Trump won by under 60%.

Ugly map, 482-56. Idaho is the most shocking state.

2016 if Trump won every state Clinton won by under 60%.

Beautiful map, 455-83. VT is the most shocking state.

[538Electoral]

2012 with Gary Johnson as the Republican.

270-268

[538Electoral]

2012 with Gary Johnson as the Republican.

270-268

Why does he get so close

Being from the west helps him in CO and NV. Home state factor allows him to win NM. His more libertarian views helps him carry a couple extra states, Namely VA and FL though OH very narrowly stays with Obama. Obama also pulls out very close wins in NH, IA and PA with Johnson only needing to have won one of those 4 states to win.

[538Electoral]

2000 if Bush won every state Gore won with a plurality.

314-224

[538Electoral]

2000 if Gore won every state Bush won by a plurality

321-217

Ohio is razor tight, going to Gore 50.03-49.97%

[538Electoral]

What a 269-269 tie could've looked like in 2012.

[538Electoral]

What I believe was the most likely Romney winning map in 2012.

[538Electoral]

When playing President Elect, I got this 1960 landslide Nixon map while playing a random scenario with Nixon against Kennedy.

418-119

[538Electoral]

Got this strange map trying to get a Humphrey 1968 win in President Elect. Don't ask how PA went Nixon.

348-163-27

[538Electoral]

2000: Donald Trump on the Reform ticket rides into the White House.

278-135-125