NH-SEN 2020: Put a Cork in it
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Author Topic: NH-SEN 2020: Put a Cork in it  (Read 18611 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: January 27, 2019, 09:28:23 PM »
« edited: June 13, 2020, 08:29:52 AM by Brittain33 »
https://www.wmur.com/article/shaheen-running-for-re-election-in-2020/26051139

Likely D.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2019, 09:56:28 PM »

For once you rate a New Hampshire race correctly
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: January 28, 2019, 01:06:49 AM »
Likely D, closer to Safe D
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: January 28, 2019, 02:11:55 AM »
Lean D. The Angry Women Theory has been proven Dead Wrong, the state will be extremely close in the presidential just like it was in 2016. Shaheen has an edge due to incumbency and a possible ferocious R primary, but it's going to be a real race.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: January 28, 2019, 02:51:21 AM »
Likely D, but after AL the most likely Dem seat to flip. MI might be competative as well though, if the GOP comes up with a decent candidate.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: January 28, 2019, 08:19:46 AM »
Tilt R if Sununu runs, Lean D with Ayotte, Likely D otherwise.
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mgop
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2019, 10:06:54 AM »
she is weakest democrat after jones
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Woody
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« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2019, 11:07:13 AM »
Toss up/weak tilt R if Sununu runs.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2019, 11:52:37 AM »
Sununu isn't that good of a candidate.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: January 28, 2019, 11:58:56 AM »
Lean D if Sununu runs, Likely D otherwise.
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windjammer
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« Reply #10 on: January 28, 2019, 01:35:35 PM »
That is the correct answer.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #11 on: January 28, 2019, 01:38:12 PM »
Tossup/Tilt D with Sununu
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #12 on: January 28, 2019, 01:59:27 PM »
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Peanut
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« Reply #13 on: January 28, 2019, 03:04:15 PM »
Likely D.
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JG
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« Reply #14 on: January 28, 2019, 03:21:15 PM »
What are the chances Sununu jumps in?
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #15 on: January 28, 2019, 04:41:44 PM »
Quote from: JG on January 28, 2019, 03:21:15 PM
What are the chances Sununu jumps in?
0.000%
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NyIndy
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« Reply #16 on: January 28, 2019, 05:19:45 PM »
Would Ayotte make the race more competitive? Has she shown any interest, because other than her or Sununu I don't see this race being anything other than Likely D. I'd Think MI would be closer if that were the case?
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JMT
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« Reply #17 on: January 28, 2019, 05:56:23 PM »
Quote from: NyIndy on January 28, 2019, 05:19:45 PM
Would Ayotte make the race more competitive? Has she shown any interest, because other than her or Sununu I don't see this race being anything other than Likely D. I'd Think MI would be closer if that were the case?

I think the NRSC will attempt to recruit Sununu first. He’ll decline (I think he has his eye on challenging Hassan in 2022). Then I think they’ll try to recruit Ayotte. I’m unsure if she’ll run; my gut says no, but perhaps she could be persuaded. I think Ayotte may wait till 2022 as well, to either challenge Hassan or run for governor if Sununu challenges Hassan. Or, I also wouldn’t be surprised if she’s just done with politics altogether.

As far as I’m concerned, Ayotte has shown no interest at this point. That may change in the next few weeks / months
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Esteemed Jimmy
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« Reply #18 on: January 28, 2019, 05:57:49 PM »
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free my dawg
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« Reply #19 on: January 28, 2019, 06:04:21 PM »
« Edited: January 28, 2019, 06:10:04 PM by Mayor Steve Pearce »
Anything under Lean D is partisan hackery. People will sour on Sununu when the ads hit and people realize he has governed closer to Paul LePage than Charlie Baker.

Probably closer to Likely D due to the awful Republican bench. Again, I doubt Sununu runs, and Ayotte doesn't seem to have the best political instincts either with how horribly she handled the question of Trump.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #20 on: January 28, 2019, 06:10:46 PM »
How about John Sununu (Chris' older brother)? He held the seat before being defeated by Shaheen in 2008, but I strongly suspect he would have won if he'd run in 2014.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #21 on: January 29, 2019, 07:46:04 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on January 28, 2019, 06:10:46 PM
How about John Sununu (Chris' older brother)? He held the seat before being defeated by Shaheen in 2008, but I strongly suspect he would have won if he'd run in 2014.

He seems like he's enjoying the private sector. I'm also really not big on also-rans unless they exceed expectations.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #22 on: January 29, 2019, 08:05:34 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on January 28, 2019, 06:10:46 PM
How about John Sununu (Chris' older brother)? He held the seat before being defeated by Shaheen in 2008, but I strongly suspect he would have won if he'd run in 2014.

This is the first time I've realized they were different people.

John Sununu seems to have faded into the private sector. I doubt he's interested.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: January 29, 2019, 08:31:40 PM »
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Nyvin
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« Reply #24 on: January 29, 2019, 10:50:31 PM »
Quote from: Mayor Steve Pearce on January 29, 2019, 07:46:04 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on January 28, 2019, 06:10:46 PM
How about John Sununu (Chris' older brother)? He held the seat before being defeated by Shaheen in 2008, but I strongly suspect he would have won if he'd run in 2014.

He seems like he's enjoying the private sector. I'm also really not big on also-rans unless they exceed expectations.

He's also been living in DC pretty much non-stop since 2009.
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