NH-SEN 2020: Put a Cork in it

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Hopefully, Ayotte runs

I agree, I'd enjoy seeing her lose again. Likely D either way.

You mean the lady who was unseated in 2016 and failed to run ahead of the Donald lol. I’m sure Gardner is going to run ahead of Trump in CO, by like an insignificant amount. Republicans need to get their heads out of their @$$e$ in regards to suburban expectation in the Trump era. Focus on the rural areas, even if you won’t win districts like Kind’s or Bustos’ or Cartwright’s or Peterson’s (k they will at least here otherwise they are iq level negative) but you get the jive, next year, build up the base, get good candidates, get infrastructure, hasten the flips, and they will pay dividends in the future, and who knows, upsets always occur, in any way, it’s better than the GOP strategy of trying to win back suburbs with tax cut moderate TM peeps such as Sanlinguini Kim and that rando cuban lady in fl 26 etc you get the point, but whatever

[UncleSam]

Ayotte would be the strongest but there’s no way this flips if Trump isn’t winning NH.

[Nyvin]

If Ayotte declines to run, the Republican Primary is going to be super interesting.

[Woody]

Guess he's running for 2022 then. Smart move, 2 more years of gubernatorial experience on his resume. Hassan will be easy pickings by then.

[ElectionsGuy]

Guess he's running for 2022 then. Smart move, 2 more years of gubernatorial experience on his resume. Hassan will be easy pickings by then.

If Trump is still the president, that will certainly not be an easy pickup.

[DrScholl]

He wasn't going to win anyway and I doubt he'll ever make it to the Senate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sununu won't win in 2022, against Hassan, either, as Dems are favored to have a majority in the Senate by 2022, with WI, and PA as pickups

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Hopefully, Ayotte runs

I agree, I'd enjoy seeing her lose again. Likely D either way.

You mean the lady who was unseated in 2016 and failed to run ahead of the Donald lol.

She ran ahead of Trump by nearly 2000 votes.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Hopefully, Ayotte runs

I agree, I'd enjoy seeing her lose again. Likely D either way.

You mean the lady who was unseated in 2016 and failed to run ahead of the Donald lol.

She ran ahead of Trump by nearly 2000 votes.

Oh wow, impressive.

[Nyvin]

He wasn't going to win anyway and I doubt he'll ever make it to the Senate.

This is one of those posts that won’t age well come 2022 or 2026

Stands a good chance to actually.  Nobody in 2019 likes political dynasties anymore.   Chris Sununu reeks of them.

[DrScholl]

He wasn't going to win anyway and I doubt he'll ever make it to the Senate.

This is one of those posts that won’t age well come 2022 or 2026

Most people aren't going to care or even be on this board that many years from now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sununus and the Ayotte are the only pragmatic GOPers left in the NE and NH. Lamontagne lost to Maggie Hassan, and was too conservative.

[KaiserDave]

Good news, Likely D.

[President Johnson]

Good news. Shaheen would most likely have won against him, but this gives me more comfort. Except for Alabama, Democrats can't afford to lose any more seats. They must win back the senate.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/steinhauserNH1/status/1105805941004488716

Looks like Sununu is considering it after all. He'll probably wait until the last minute to announce, then win by a recount margin.

LMAO

Dude I thought that quote was from today for a sec, almost gave me an aneurysm!

[Politician]

What counties do you guys see Shaheen winning? I see her sweeping all of them except Belknap, tbh.

[Nyvin]

What counties do you guys see Shaheen winning? I see her sweeping all of them except Belknap, tbh.

Probably not Carroll or Coos.   I think those two are mostly gone, it doesn't matter much though.

Rockingham will be close most likely. 

[Nyvin]

What counties do you guys see Shaheen winning? I see her sweeping all of them except Belknap, tbh.

Probably not Carroll or Coos.   I think those two are mostly gone, it doesn't matter much though.

Rockingham will be close most likely.  

Kuster won Coos by like 3% last year and Hassan nearly won it in 2016. I don't think it's off the table if she's running against a joke.

Yeah, but I still think it'll follow the national trend,  especially for a Senate race.

Shaheen will improve in Rockingham and Hillsborough though.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I think Coos is definitely out. But I think Carroll would flip if the R is nut

[Sestak]

Yeah ok I think this is actually a legit sign he’s out (though even now it’s theoretically not too late to change his mind so idk).

[Lognog]

Sorry if this has been said earlier. I think Sununu runs in 2022 (if Trump loses) in what would be a Republican wave year against an Maggie Hassan, an incumbent much less well known and popular than Jeanne Shaheen.

[Woody]

Sorry if this has been said earlier. I think Sununu runs in 2022 (if Trump loses) in what would be a Republican wave year against an Maggie Hassan, an incumbent much less well known and popular than Jeanne Shaheen.

Hassan could still lose in a Trump midterm.

[Not Me, Us]

Sorry if this has been said earlier. I think Sununu runs in 2022 (if Trump loses) in what would be a Republican wave year against an Maggie Hassan, an incumbent much less well known and popular than Jeanne Shaheen.

Hassan could still lose in a Trump midterm.

There is a less than 0% chance of that happening.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Sorry if this has been said earlier. I think Sununu runs in 2022 (if Trump loses) in what would be a Republican wave year against an Maggie Hassan, an incumbent much less well known and popular than Jeanne Shaheen.

Hassan could still lose in a Trump midterm.

Could, yes? But unless something unforeseen occurs in that scenario, she would be the clear favorite.

[Woody]

Sorry if this has been said earlier. I think Sununu runs in 2022 (if Trump loses) in what would be a Republican wave year against an Maggie Hassan, an incumbent much less well known and popular than Jeanne Shaheen.

Hassan could still lose in a Trump midterm.

There is a less than 0% chance of that happening.

And why is that? NH is a battleground state, Hassan is less favorable than Shaheen, Sununu would have 6 years of good approval numbers by then (barring some unforeseen crisis/scandal), Hassan underperformed Clinton, Sununu manged to OUTPERFORM Trump. You could say the same argument was said against Scott when he ran (Trump-midterm/blue year, battleground state, D incumbent) yet he managed pull of a win, so why can't Sununu who is arguably more popular than Scott, do the same?