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| | |-+  If Howard Schultz runs, what percent of the vote does he get?
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Author Topic: If Howard Schultz runs, what percent of the vote does he get?  (Read 958 times)
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Adam T
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« on: January 29, 2019, 01:39:46 am »

Just curious on opinions.  Obviously there are things we don't know yet that will impact on this, but just an early ballpark.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2019, 01:43:01 am »

I could see 5-9% potentially if he gets enough attention but not much more than that.
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pops
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2019, 01:44:00 am »

Somewhere in the low to mid twenties if a progressive is the Democratic nominee, and the low teens if someone not progressive is the Democratic nominee. But that's just my best guess. People are way underestimating him.
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BeTo In DiSaRrAy
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2019, 01:50:58 am »

Less than 5%
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2019, 01:57:20 am »

Less than half of Gary Johnson 2016.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2019, 01:58:54 am »

.2%
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2019, 02:06:10 am »

Somewhere in the low to mid twenties if a progressive is the Democratic nominee, and the low teens if someone not progressive is the Democratic nominee. But that's just my best guess. People are way underestimating him.

Lmao.

In all seriousness, less than 3% generously. Do people seriously think a fiscally right wing (like, one even farther right than the GOP’s economic policy) and socially liberal agenda has mass appeal?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: January 29, 2019, 02:39:53 am »

1-2%.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2019, 02:44:50 am »

2% at most, but that may well be decisive in close swing states. The 2016 Libertarian ticket was theoretically strong, considering that it had two former governors, as opposed to random Some Dude freaks. Yes, Johnson made himself look like an idiot, but that didn't stop Trump at any point. They still only got 3% despite running against historically unpopular Democratic and Republican candidates. Howard Schultz has even less appeal than Gary Johnson, and the 2020 Democrat will most likely be more popular than Hillary. He will absolutely not win any electoral votes, and the only effect he may have on the race is spoiling it.
« Last Edit: January 29, 2019, 03:00:56 am by Roll Roons »Logged
Socialists are Pro-Choice Fascists
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« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2019, 08:31:59 am »

1-3%.
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Joey1996
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« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2019, 08:41:05 am »

Less than 2%
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2019, 11:06:19 am »

1-2%. There is no market for his type of politics, and Schultz is literally Some Rich Dude. Trump had been a household name for decades and had toyed with the idea of running for president many times before.
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jeb_arlo
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« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2019, 11:16:35 am »

In all seriousness, less than 3% generously. Do people seriously think a fiscally right wing (like, one even farther right than the GOP’s economic policy) and socially liberal agenda has mass appeal?

It's interesting, because the opposite (fiscally left wing, socially conservative) really could have mass appeal.  Yet there's never an independent candidate proposing to run on that platform.
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∀lex
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« Reply #13 on: January 29, 2019, 11:31:56 am »

Less than 1%
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #14 on: January 29, 2019, 11:33:46 am »

Perot 92 levels.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #15 on: January 29, 2019, 11:47:59 am »

0.3%
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UWS
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« Reply #16 on: January 29, 2019, 11:51:44 am »

The state where he will do the state is likely to be the Washington state (since Starbucks' headquarters are in Seattle), so it should not cause so much problem for any of the two nominees of the 2 major parties.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #17 on: January 29, 2019, 12:25:24 pm »

1.5-3% unless he is able to somehow get into the heated, but the major parties will make sure that doesn’t happen. If he did get into the debates, 10-20 %.
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Pollster
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« Reply #18 on: January 29, 2019, 03:17:18 pm »

He is running for the "hate Trump but would vote for him over the Dem" vote, so somewhere around 7-10%.
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #19 on: January 29, 2019, 03:20:37 pm »

4-7%
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #20 on: January 29, 2019, 03:27:10 pm »

How much fat is in nonfat milk?

Same percent as that.
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BeTo In DiSaRrAy
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #21 on: January 29, 2019, 03:28:12 pm »

How much fat is in nonfat milk?

Same percent as that.

What about soy “milk”?
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1776
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« Reply #22 on: January 29, 2019, 03:30:33 pm »

2-3% against an establishment Dem, 3-5% against Warren, 4-6% against Sanders.
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #23 on: January 29, 2019, 03:41:47 pm »

I could see 5-9% potentially if he gets enough attention but not much more than that.
same
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adrac
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« Reply #24 on: January 29, 2019, 04:01:22 pm »

He might beat Gary Johnson's numbers if he's lucky.
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