Canadian by-elections, 2019
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Author Topic: Canadian by-elections, 2019  (Read 22305 times)
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #100 on: February 25, 2019, 10:17:29 PM »
York-Simcoe 20 polls
Conservative 51-29% NDP 9%

Outremont 23 polls
Liberal 45-24%-11-9

Burnaby South 0 polls
0-0% Smiley
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #101 on: February 25, 2019, 10:20:20 PM »
York-Simcoe 25 polls
Conservative 51-29%-9

Outremont 30 polls
Liberal 47-23%-12-9
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #102 on: February 25, 2019, 10:22:28 PM »
York-Simcoe 31 polls
Conservative 50-30%-9  John Turmel 10 votes Smiley

Outremont 35 polls
Liberal 46-23%-12-9 7% Conservative
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #103 on: February 25, 2019, 10:24:11 PM »
York-Simcoe 35 polls
Conservative 51-30%-9 John Turmel 11 votes

Outremont 40 polls
Liberal 45-24%-12-10-6
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #104 on: February 25, 2019, 10:26:41 PM »
Outremont
Liberal 1,263
NDP 631
Almost exactly 2-1
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #105 on: February 25, 2019, 10:27:43 PM »
Burnaby South Prediction
NDP 40%
Liberal 20%
Conservative 20%
People's Party 20%
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #106 on: February 25, 2019, 10:30:09 PM »
York-Simcoe 46/136 polls
Conservative 51-30%-8 John Turmel 15 votes Turmelmentum!

Outremont 55/171 polls
Liberal 45-23%-12-9-7
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #107 on: February 25, 2019, 10:31:37 PM »
Burnaby South 1 poll
NDP 15
Liberal 11
PPC 9
Conservative 7
Other 1
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #108 on: February 25, 2019, 10:32:59 PM »
York-Simcoe 50 polls
Conservative 51-30-8

Outremont 59 polls
Liberal 44-25-13-9-7

Burnaby South 5 polls
NDP 40-25 Liberal Conservative 19 PPC 15%
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trebor204
TREBOR204
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« Reply #109 on: February 25, 2019, 10:35:04 PM »
Weird:
 # polls reporting  for Burnaby went from 5 to 4, and so did the vote totals
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #110 on: February 25, 2019, 10:35:52 PM »
York-Simcoe 60 polls
Conservative 50-31-8

Outremont 70 polls
Liberal 42-26-14-10-6 (Green Party are the major gainers overall in Outremont)

Burnaby South
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #111 on: February 25, 2019, 10:37:28 PM »
York-Simcoe 65 polls
Conservative 50-31-8

Outremont 75 polls
Liberal 42-26-14-9-6

Burnaby-South 8 polls
NDP  39-27-19-14
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adma
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« Reply #112 on: February 25, 2019, 10:39:39 PM »
While the talk is of Con + PPC potentially outpolling Singh in BS, the more unforeseen possibility is of NDP + Green outpolling the Libs in Outremont...
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #113 on: February 25, 2019, 10:40:06 PM »
York-Simcoe 69/136 (just over half of all polls)
Conservative 51-31-8

Outremont 80 polls
Liberal 42-26-14-9-7

Burnaby South 13 polls
NDP 38-28-21-12
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #114 on: February 25, 2019, 10:42:31 PM »
York-Simcoe 75 polls
Conservative 51-31-7

Outremont 85/170 polls (half way)
Liberal 41-27-14-9-7

Burnaby South 15 polls
NDP 39-27-20-13


Unless there is a massive advanced poll outstanding, it looks like turnout in all three by elections will be in the 15-20% range.
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #115 on: February 25, 2019, 10:45:37 PM »
York-Simcoe 80 polls
Conservative 51-31-8 John Turmel 34 votes!

Burnaby South 21 polls
NDP 39-27-21-11
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Jeppe
Bosse
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Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

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« Reply #116 on: February 25, 2019, 10:46:41 PM »
NDP is avoiding a disaster scenario in Outremont. Given that a leadership bump that existed for Mulcair is gone, second place at 26% isn’t as horrific as it could’ve been.
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #117 on: February 25, 2019, 10:47:07 PM »
Outremont 90 polls
Liberal 41-27-14-9-7

Burnaby South 25 polls
NDP 38-28-22-12
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #118 on: February 25, 2019, 10:48:32 PM »
York-Simcoe 85 polls
Conservative 51-32-8

Burnaby South 30 polls
NDP 40-27-21-11
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #119 on: February 25, 2019, 10:49:35 PM »
Burnaby South 35 polls
NDP 38-27-22-11
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #120 on: February 25, 2019, 10:51:10 PM »
Burnaby South 40/196
NDP 38-27-22-12
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trebor204
TREBOR204
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« Reply #121 on: February 25, 2019, 10:55:03 PM »
CBC Projects, Conservatives to take York-Simcoe.
Liberals to take Outremont
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #122 on: February 25, 2019, 10:55:31 PM »
Outremont 99 polls
Liberal 42.5-26-13.5-9-7

Burnaby South 45 polls
NDP 39-26-21.5-11.5
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #123 on: February 25, 2019, 10:56:41 PM »
Burnaby South 50 polls
NDP 39-26.5-21-11
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #124 on: February 25, 2019, 10:57:41 PM »
Burnaby South 55 polls
NDP 40-26-21-11
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