GA-07: Rep. Rob Woodall will not seek reelection
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  GA-07: Rep. Rob Woodall will not seek reelection		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: GA-07: Rep. Rob Woodall will not seek reelection  (Read 4808 times)
Gass3268
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« on: February 07, 2019, 12:42:17 PM »


D+1
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2019, 12:43:53 PM »
Bye-bye, Felicia!
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2019, 12:44:22 PM »
And so the meltdown begins
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Zaybay
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2019, 12:44:39 PM »
Gonna move this to tilt D for now. Not at all good for Rs that they lost their incumbent in this heavily trending D seat.

But, of course, we dont have any polling data, candidate data, or environmental data, so its just speculation.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #4 on: February 07, 2019, 12:44:41 PM »
He sees the writing on the wall.

If he did survive 2020, though, he’d probably have gotten a safe seat drawn for him as the Rs pack Dems in GA-06. But the timing didn’t quite work out.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #5 on: February 07, 2019, 12:50:35 PM »
He only won by 400 votes in a midterm. This seat is Lean D. Gwinnett is only getting bluer and if Abrams is on the ballot it’s over.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #6 on: February 07, 2019, 12:52:50 PM »
The Dems need to pick up 15 seats in the GA state house and 7 seats in the GA state senate in order to gain control of the legislature
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Zaybay
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« Reply #7 on: February 07, 2019, 12:54:54 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on February 07, 2019, 12:52:50 PM
The Dems need to pick up 15 seats in the GA state house and 7 seats in the GA state senate in order to gain control of the legislature

While I dont think they gain any chamber, they really only need to take 1. Ether the state house or state senate gives them leverage.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: February 07, 2019, 12:55:03 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on February 07, 2019, 12:52:50 PM
The Dems need to pick up 15 seats in the GA state house and 7 seats in the GA state senate in order to gain control of the legislature

Does anyone know how Abrams did via the state house and senate map in 2018?
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #9 on: February 07, 2019, 12:55:10 PM »
Not surprising. He probably couldn't win in a presidential year after having barely squeaked out a win in a midterm year in a district that's trending so rapidly. Ds are nowhere near tapped out in Gwinnett.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #10 on: February 07, 2019, 12:56:18 PM »
GOP should be able to hold this seat.  Woodall was an awful campaigner who didn't take his reelection seriously, so I think his retirement is just another indicator that he's a politician who doesn't like having to campaign.  A GOP nominee with more fire-in-his-belly will do just fine here.

Did Abrams even win GA-07 in 2018?
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« Reply #11 on: February 07, 2019, 12:57:58 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on February 07, 2019, 12:56:18 PM
GOP should be able to hold this seat.  Woodall was an awful campaigner who didn't take his reelection seriously, so I think his retirement is just another indicator that he's a politician who doesn't like having to campaign.  A GOP nominee with more fire-in-his-belly will do just fine here.

Did Abrams even win GA-07 in 2018?
Yes, by around 2 points.
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andjey
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« Reply #12 on: February 07, 2019, 01:01:06 PM »
It's Lean D
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #13 on: February 07, 2019, 01:02:13 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on February 07, 2019, 12:56:18 PM
GOP should be able to hold this seat.  Woodall was an awful campaigner who didn't take his reelection seriously, so I think his retirement is just another indicator that he's a politician who doesn't like having to campaign.  A GOP nominee with more fire-in-his-belly will do just fine here.

Did Abrams even win GA-07 in 2018?

Woodall won by 20.76% in 2016, but in 2018 he won by 0.14% in 2018. That is a massive swing
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: February 07, 2019, 01:03:12 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on February 07, 2019, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Del Tachi on February 07, 2019, 12:56:18 PM
GOP should be able to hold this seat.  Woodall was an awful campaigner who didn't take his reelection seriously, so I think his retirement is just another indicator that he's a politician who doesn't like having to campaign.  A GOP nominee with more fire-in-his-belly will do just fine here.

Did Abrams even win GA-07 in 2018?

Woodall won by 20.76% in 2016, but in 2018 he won by 0.14% in 2018. That is a massive swing

It's also rapidly diversifying, more so than even GA-06.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #15 on: February 07, 2019, 01:07:34 PM »
Bourdeaux is running again. She's going to make an official announcement next week
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #16 on: February 07, 2019, 01:08:14 PM »
this is GOOD for GOP chances. It is laughable to imply otherwise. The GOP are the people who were pressuring him to retire.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: February 07, 2019, 01:09:00 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 07, 2019, 01:08:14 PM
this is GOOD for GOP chances. It is laughable to imply otherwise. The GOP are the people who were pressuring him to retire.

Awww, it's so cute that you think that.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #18 on: February 07, 2019, 01:10:11 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 07, 2019, 01:08:14 PM
this is GOOD for GOP chances. It is laughable to imply otherwise. The GOP are the people who were pressuring him to retire.
Unless the incumbent is unpopular(*cough* Tenney *cough*), its always better to have an incumbent than run in an open race, especially in a rather even seat.

Woodall wasnt unpopular.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #19 on: February 07, 2019, 01:10:55 PM »
Quote from: Senator Zaybay on February 07, 2019, 01:10:11 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 07, 2019, 01:08:14 PM
this is GOOD for GOP chances. It is laughable to imply otherwise. The GOP are the people who were pressuring him to retire.
Unless the incumbent is unpopular(*cough* Tenney *cough*), its always better to have an incumbent than run in an open race, especially in a rather even seat.

Woodall wasnt unpopular.

To GA-7 I imagine Woodall didn't even exist until October.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #20 on: February 07, 2019, 01:18:28 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 07, 2019, 01:08:14 PM
this is GOOD for GOP chances. It is laughable to imply otherwise. The GOP are the people who were pressuring him to retire.

Abrams beat Kemp by 2 here
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Suburbia
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« Reply #21 on: February 07, 2019, 01:27:23 PM »
Tossup.

Gwinnett is leaning Democratic, but there is still a sizeable GOP suburban base there.
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Horus
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« Reply #22 on: February 07, 2019, 01:41:58 PM »
Lean D, would be close to solid if not for that annoying little portion of Forsyth county.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #23 on: February 07, 2019, 01:48:23 PM »
D+1
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #24 on: February 07, 2019, 01:51:37 PM »
Tossup, we aren't guaranteed another D+8 year lol
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