He probably knew what was likely to happen if he had run. Lean D for now, probably the best pick-up opportunity for Democrats, if it wasn't already.
Yeah, I’d put the Democrats’ top offensive targets list order as something like:
1. GA-07
2. TX-23
3. PA-01
4. NE-02
5. TX-31
6. TX-24
7. NY-24
8. IL-13
9. WA-03
10. MO-02
NY-24 is trending R. Even Molinaro won this district. WA-03 is gone, Maria Cantwell won by almost exactly the same margin as 2012 and yet Cowlitz, Wahkiakum, Skamania and Klickitat all flipped from D to R. IL-13 could flip in a wave year but it shouldn't be on our top 10. I'd replace them with the TX trio of TX-10, TX-21, TX-22