*Official Election 2005 Results Thread*

[J-Mann]

Things are looking pretty good for Arnold in CA.  If he defeats the Teachers and the Unions it will be a major win for him.

These preliminary results are surprising.  I expected all measures except redistricting to fail.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Things are looking pretty good for Arnold in CA.  If he defeats the Teachers and the Unions it will be a major win for him.

"Pretty good" is that half his Props are passing in early returns? LOL. We're California, we still have another few million votes.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Props 76-80 will go down hard.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I had a pretty awful day at work, so I was really hoping once I got home I would see that Kaine pulled an upset and I would feel better. I do.

[The Vorlon]

The GOP ground game in Virginia is indeed much better, but they are also a tad disspirited right now taking much of that edge away. - Kaine, by perhaps a bit more than expected - will not be a blowout, but margin of victory might creep up to maybe 5% or so.  

Corzine will successfully purchase a Governors seat, to match the Senate seat he purchased previously.  The GOP always over polls in Jersey, so I'll say Corzine by 7. - If "None of the above" was on the ballot in Jersey it would win in a walk.

Candidates  Party Percentage

  T M Kaine  Democratic  - 51.64%
  J W Kilgore  - 46.08%

Margin = 5.56%

Missed Jersey pretty badly however.  Expect 7, got 11.

[2952-0-0]

Props 76-80 will go down hard.

What do you think will happen to the other 3 (and I'm looking for what will HAPPEN, as opposed to what you WANT, jfern)?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Props 76-80 will go down hard.

What do you think will happen to the other 3 (and I'm looking for what will HAPPEN, as opposed to what you WANT, jfern)?

Prop 74 should go down.  Prop 73 is hard to say. Prop 75 looks like it could pass. 

[Sam Spade]

The GOP ground game in Virginia is indeed much better, but they are also a tad disspirited right now taking much of that edge away. - Kaine, by perhaps a bit more than expected - will not be a blowout, but margin of victory might creep up to maybe 5% or so.  

Corzine will successfully purchase a Governors seat, to match the Senate seat he purchased previously.  The GOP always over polls in Jersey, so I'll say Corzine by 7. - If "None of the above" was on the ballot in Jersey it would win in a walk.

Candidates  Party Percentage

  T M Kaine  Democratic  - 51.64%
  J W Kilgore  - 46.08%

Margin = 5.56%

Missed Jersey pretty badly however.  Expect 7, got 11.

You win some, you lose some.  At least you got the winners right, as did I.  

[Sam Spade]

I had a pretty awful day at work, so I was really hoping once I got home I would see that Kaine pulled an upset and I would feel better. I do.

Kaine winning was not really an upset, considering the last two weeks of polling in which every poll showed him ahead, albeit not by great margins.

[Politico]

None of the precincts in Los Angeles, Santa Clara, Contra Costa, Alameda  and San Francisco have been reported yet. All of these propositions are going to be defeated.

[Jake]

None of the precincts in Los Angeles and San Francisco have been reported yet. All of these propositions are going to be defeated.

Gore vs. Bush 2004

Honestly, I don't think it would have even been close. Instead of the election being about Kerry and gay marriage, it would have been about the poor state of the economy compared to the late 90s, and the war in Iraq. I think we would have seen a very surprising landslide much like 1980:

Good calls on both

[The Vorlon]

The GOP ground game in Virginia is indeed much better, but they are also a tad disspirited right now taking much of that edge away. - Kaine, by perhaps a bit more than expected - will not be a blowout, but margin of victory might creep up to maybe 5% or so.  

Corzine will successfully purchase a Governors seat, to match the Senate seat he purchased previously.  The GOP always over polls in Jersey, so I'll say Corzine by 7. - If "None of the above" was on the ballot in Jersey it would win in a walk.

Candidates  Party Percentage

  T M Kaine  Democratic  - 51.64%
  J W Kilgore  - 46.08%

Margin = 5.56%

Missed Jersey pretty badly however.  Expect 7, got 11.

You win some, you lose some.  At least you got the winners right, as did I.  

Jersey is always a bugger to read the polls in - I never get that state dead on.  Polls never work right in New mexico and Wiscionsin either.

Virginia on the other hand polls really really well.  

Just one of those quirky things.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

None of the precincts in Los Angeles and San Francisco have been reported yet. All of these propositions are going to be defeated.

Prop 75 is the most worrisome, but you're right it doesn't look so bad when we look at the counties.



We can afford almost a 10 point swing from the 2004 Presidential result.

[Politico]

None of the precincts in Los Angeles and San Francisco have been reported yet. All of these propositions are going to be defeated.

Gore vs. Bush 2004

Honestly, I don't think it would have even been close. Instead of the election being about Kerry and gay marriage, it would have been about the poor state of the economy compared to the late 90s, and the war in Iraq. I think we would have seen a very surprising landslide much like 1980:

Good calls on both

Ignore my first prediction, my final predictions on election eve are:

Virginia

Kilgore....50
Kaine......48

New Jersey

Corzine......51
Forrester....48

Good calls.

[Citizen James]

Things are looking pretty good for Arnold in CA.  If he defeats the Teachers and the Unions it will be a major win for him.

These preliminary results are surprising.  I expected all measures except redistricting to fail.

The early results tend to trend very conservative. (as far as I can remember from the past decade or so of statewide elections)  I am cautiously optimistic that things will change by nights end.

Still, I do have a horse in this race - as I'm going into teaching and our schools are already getting reamed badly enough by the bureaucrats.

[Sam Spade]

Early opinion on the Cali Props:

76-80 will obviously be defeated.

75 will be tight.

74 looks like a possibility to pass now, but will fail.

73 is iffy, but won't predict right now, because of the Hispanic vote.

[Smash255]

Big night for Long Island Dems

Nassau County Exec wins re-election easily 20% or so

DA  30 year veteran Republican Dennis Dillon gets upset by Democrat Kathleen Rice

Dems hold their 10-9 majority in the nassau leeg ( looked like they would pick up a seat by Ciotti looks like he held off Ali Mirza

Suffolk County with term limits facing 6 incumbents was really up in the air.  The GOP held an 11-7 majority in the county leg & its now 10-8 Dem

Town of Brookhaven which was hit by scandal after scandal (called Crookhaven) GOP was in trouble, but the town is overwelmingly Republican.  However that goes Dem as well both on Supervisor & town board level

[True Democrat]

Does anyone know what happened in San Diego for the mayoral race?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Here's how Arnold's Props are doing

The ones that were his:

74 : teacher tenure - probably fail
75: union political one - hard to say
76: education spending - getting spanked
77: redistricting - definitely going down

Other's he supported:

73 : abortion - should fail
78: big pharma - getting spanked


77 was his main one.

[Hatman 🍁]

Has anyone said anything about CA - 48 ? How is that race going?

[Moooooo]

Is there anyway I can see where the results are comming from in CA?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Has anyone said anything about CA - 48 ? How is that race going?

I don't think that's tonight.

[Sam Spade]

http://vote2005.ss.ca.gov/Returns/prop/00.htm

[Jake]

Does anyone know what happened in San Diego for the mayoral race?

Sanders is beating Frye about 59-40 with 10% counted. Last count I've seen was an hour ago

CA-48 is in December

[AkSaber]

Are there any results for the San Francisco handgun bill?